They’ve done very well compared to the left-wing caricature of Republicans as being sexist, racist pigs.
Anyway, Bachmann’s most likely path to being the VP nominee is if she manages to pick up a whole bunch of delegates as a third-place contender for the nomination and a deal is struck to get her to join the front-runner, or something like that. Because otherwise, I’m not sure what she brings to the table that other candidates couldn’t bring, without dragging along her significant liabilities.
That said, I wouldn’t underestimate her. She was the clear winner of the last debate, and she has sharpened her message and toned down the over-the-top rhetoric. She’s got top people on her campaign staff, and she’s very smart and very motivated. She can also raise money from the grassroots better than anyone other than Sarah Palin.
Looking at the conventional wisdom, the VP candidate is supposed to fill holes in the candidate’s resume or geographic support. Look for a VP candidate that could seal Florida, for example, which would put Marco Rubio fairly high on the list. He’d also bring the Tea Party vote. But Rubio only works if the candidate has enough personal gravitas to avoid being upstaged by him, and so far the only person in the race who has that kind of stature is Romney. I think a Romney/Rubio ticket could be quite formidable. Rubio could also cut into the hispanic vote in other states.
I have to think the VP candidate will have to be a Tea Party favorite, since the presidential candidate will necessarily have to run towards the center in a general election. A Tea Party VP will help keep the base engaged. Looking at the candidates out there now, the most favored by the Tea Party are Bachmann, Palin, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, and non-candidate possibilities like Marco Rubio, Rand Paul, and Paul Ryan.
Looking at that list, Bachmann doesn’t seem out of the question.
The other conventional wisdom about a VP candidate is that if the presidential candidate doesn’t have foreign policy experience, the VP candidate is supposed to bring it. That could pull John Huntsman into the list of contenders, or some wildcard like General Petraeus or some other ex military or ex state department type.
One problem a lot of these candidates have is inexperience. Rubio is in his first term as Senator. Bachmann and Ryan are members of the House of Representatives, which has never been a springboard to the White House. Only Romney has the kind of extensive experience in government and industry that would make experience a non-issue in the campaign.
If one of the lesser stars like Bachmann or Ryan became the presidential nominee, look for them to pick an old warhorse as a running mate, like Obama did with Biden.