I’ve pondered how to start this thread without rambling for quite a while now and have decided to just bite the bullet.
Currently, having a video of someone doing something is considered almost absolutely reliable as evidence. I see this changing sooner rather than later.
Computer graphics are getting better ad better at an almost exponential rate. Eventually some public figure is going to be accused of some crime or malfeasance based on a video that will ultimately be proven to be faked.
Take a look at the trailer for the upcoming game Wolfenstein II: The New Colossus. Full CGI starts around 1:45.
Yes, this is still obviously computer generated even without the fantasy components. But also consider the details. Seamless clothing and facial features. Realistic facial expressions with synchronized speech.
Some of the trailer is rendered in real time on a high end home gaming computer. What if instead of HD quality it was being rendered at typical security camera resolution and focus. I’d bet even a skilled tech would be hard pressed to persuade a jury that a frame-up video was faked.
In a decade or two, how will we prove the video of the president kicking puppies didn’t happen?
Or flipping it around, there’s a real video of the governor taking a bribe. But then his defense team shows up with CGI work files (wire frame models, texture maps, CGI rendering of the room) claiming that it only ever happened on someone’s computer.