Who will deliver the next nuclear strike? Who will receive it?
Cast your vote for both the giver/receiver now. Prizes may be be given to the winners! Choose from a gas mask, 3 weeks canned food/water, or a .22 pistol.
Organizations other than nations may also be included as options.
I’m not sure what the debate is supposed to be, but I suspect the next military use of nuclear weapons will be from either India or Pakistan; culminating in a nuclear exchange that devastates the region. North Korea is another contender, attacking…someone. Their hostility is rather indiscriminate.
My vote is for Iran on Israel.
I think it will come from a terrorist organization, the target will be either the U.S. or Israel, and it won’t be a full blown nuke. More of a “dirty bomb”, but close enough to count, and I’d like the .22 pistol as my prize.
A dirty bomb isn’t even close to a nuke, and isn’t even all that dangerous.
Gonna have to go with the perennial favorites of India and Pakistan. Take your pick about assigning a sender and receiver.
Reason: Neverending hostility and deep-seated mistrust combined with proximity mixed with nukes. It just takes one mistaken weather balloon to do the trick.
It would be a whole new level of terrorism, expanding the impact zone beyond the immediate blast area, and have immeasurable psychological effects. Also considerably easier to achieve than an actual nuke, thus more likely to be deployed first.
North Korea goes cold stone bonkers.
Depends on what you mean by “dangerous”.
Imagine (gawd forbid) a dirty bomb detonated in front of the New York Stock Exchange or Times Square. Probably not ‘too many’ casualties, but devastating to the local and national economies. The psychological fall out would be enormous, especially given people’s (often unjustified) fear of anything having to do with radiation.
Dirty bomb’s are plenty dangerous.
It will almost certainly come from Pakistan… and 10-20% from a Pakistani bomb allowed to fall into the hands of Taliban or other non-government rebels.
A bit of advice-don’t deliver the prize in person, otherwise they’ll pick the pistol…and take the rest at gunpoint.
Oh you cynic, you 
Where’s the trust, man?
From: USA
To: N. Korea or Iran
Attackers
[LIST=A]
[li]Iran[/li][li]Pakistan[/li][li]India[/li][li]North Korea[/li][li]China[/li][/LIST]
Targets
[ol]
[li]Israel[/li][li]South Korea[/li][li]India[/li][li]The United States Of America[/li][li]The United Kingdom[/li][li]China[/li][li]Japan[/li][li]Pakistan[/li][li]Iran[/li][/ol]
Mix and match, almost randomly.
Some appear on both lists–this allows for Civil wars, Revolutions & Coup D’etats, using nuclear weapons. This is not an error (on my part–big mistake on their’s).
No bets on U.K. nuking Argentina?
The scenario would be that Argentina is suffering from internal problems and sees that the U.K. no longer has carrier aircraft so invades the Falklands again. Unfortunately, they underestimate the British resolve and Argentina’s military sites disappear under mushroom clouds.
A British Prime Minister might survive (as PM) initiating a nuclear attack; he or she will not survive losing the Falklands. Or Gibraltar. Or any other territory.
The only way I can see nukes getting used is with a serious political shift in a country. North Korea seems most at risk of this, and the least at risk of sanity overcoming insanity. But I don’t even see the current NK regime nuking anyone. They wouldn’t still be around if they were that stupid.
Pakistan seems the next most likely to nuke someone, if some real religious fanatics came to power. Considering the suicidal nature of anyone nuking anyone, it would need real insanity or extreme religious zeal to decide it’s a good idea.
Bets are off in the case of war. I can see NK using nukes if invaded, assuming all the people required for a launch don’t desert or mutiny, but no one is going to risk that by invading NK unless they’re very sure they won’t get nuked. War between Pakistan and India seems more likely but I don’t think either side is stupid enough to think they’ll gain anything by using their nukes. Even if Israel bombs Iran, what Khamenei and Ko. (or whoever is in charge by then) has left will be better than the nothing they’ll have left if they go nuclear.
China won’t nuke anyone. Why would they?
I think Iran would nuke Israel to gain street cred with other countries in the region.
I think India v . China is by far the most serious risk. I honestly think the Middle East is on its way to fading into the background of the world stage, and not nearly as much of a risk as they’d like people to believe.
That “street cred” wouldn’t last very long. Less than an hour, I would say.
Indeed, put those guys are testosterone poisoned.