So what are the Kurds in northern Iraq up to these days, besides those peshmerga who are busy becoming the darlings of the U.S. Special Forces? Will they get an independent Kurdistan, or even an autonomous one within Iraq, if they play their cards right? Should they? If they try, will the U.S. (and possibly also the U.K.) support them in this endeavor, at risk of pissing off the Turks and a whole pile of others? Do they have a realistic hope of even regional autonomy without U.S. support? If the U.S. did support the Kurds, would it end up simply as another case of divide-and-conquer?
A friend of mine posed an intriguing scenario yesterday, which although it seems to have been partially overtaken by the events of the past 18 hours or so since he posed it, still has certain interesting elements. His idea: “I think the strategy…would be for them to wait until the U.S. has withdrawn a substantial number of its troops in six months, and THEN move into Kirkuk and Mosul. By that point, the U.S. won’t really care, since I expect Iraq to go the way of Afghanistan, which is held together by duct tape and baling wire.”
Go ahead, post your Kurdish hypotheticals here, and any predicted results you care to share with the GD class.