On the Democratic side it’s shaping up to be a big battle between Hillary and Obama. I don’t figure that anyone else can be a major presense in the campaign.
Biden is old and comes from the not-very-important state of Deleware. Besides he comes up lacking in the charisma department and he’s not an impressive speaker. He’d be Kerry all over again.
Feingold is out.
Bayh comes from Indiana, which is looking much more swing now than it did in '04. Nevertheless, I can’t see him winning. His long Senate career probably gives him a lot of potential mudslinging targets, and he has no outstanding achievements to his name.
Richardson I don’t think is running. He’d be making more noise right now if he really wanted a shot.
What’s-his-face from Iowa doesn’t have the name recognition, though if Congress’ approval ratings remain in the toilet he might make an outside move as Clinton did in '92.
To me the Republican side looks more interesting. The party heads didn’t use the midterm defeat to annoint a candidate the way they did for Dubya in '98. No clear front-runner emerges from the field. They’ll certainly want a strong campaigner after last week’s elections.
McCain
Advantages: old, experienced, wildly popular, has cred on financial issues
Disadvantages: old, connected to various scandals, infuriated the Ann Coulter wing of the party by rejecting conservative values (torture)
Frist
Advantages: rich, southern, good-looking, right age range
Disadvantages: just screwed up what should have been a sure-fire Senate campaign, wishy-washy on stem cells
Jeb
Advantages: rich, comes from an important swing state, great name recognition, lots of fundraising potential
Disadvantages: is named “Bush”, probably not running
Romeny
Advantages: popular with the James Dobson crowd
Disadvantages: Mormon, from Massachuesetts, lousy name recognition
Hagel
Advantages: old, respected
Disadvantages: old, we all remember what happened the last time the GOP nominated a Senator from a Plains state.
Tancredo
Advantages: none
Disadvantages: insane, racist
Guiliani
He’s been mentioned a lot lately, probably because certain Republicans think he could help the GOP win back its support in the Northeast. But of course he barely agrees with the 'Pubs on any issues. His only claim to fame is as ‘hero of 9/11’, but that’s just a way of saying that he happened to be Mayor of New York of 9/11.
Gingrich
Advantages: great name recognition, cred on financial issues
Disadvantages: is Newt Gingrich, formerly of the 23% approval rating, long list of scandals, probably not running
Condi
Advantages: black, female, foreign policy experience
Disadvantages: Iraq, not running
My predictions: The Obama/Richardson ticket beats the McCain/Rich White Guy ticket by 6 percent.