After a wild last few days, I thought I’d start a thread similar to my previous one, but with fewer options. At this point it seems to be down to a two person race with two spoilers. This thread is to offer your best guess about whether Bloomberg, Warren, or neither one will drop out by the time people start to vote in the next batch of primaries on 3/10. Will we see a Sanders vs. Biden duel, or will one or both of the other two stick around?
ETA. The poll is multiple choice. And congratulations to everyone from the previous thread who picked both Klobuchar and Buttigieg.
I’m guessing Warren will since she will realize she is just making it easier for Bloomberg to get his way.
I also think Bloomberg will stay in until the bitter end. Bloomberg wants to stop both Trump and Sanders, but I think his ego is big enough that even if him staying in the race cuts into Biden’s lead, he will stay in the race anyway until the convention.
I think it’ll be a 3 person race by the end of the week. Sanders, Biden, Bloomberg and all 3 will stay in until the end.
At this point it seems it does have more to do with the candidates themselves rather than the voters. I misjudged both Klobuchar and Buttigieg and didn’t expect them to drop out when they did. From what I’ve read Bloomberg hasn’t bought any ads to run after Super Tuesday, but who knows if that actually means anything.
Warren will first. Now that we’re past debate madness, it’ll depend on Bloomberg. He’s got to realize he will be the punching bag up on stage and he hates it.
Warren will drop soon because donors will [del]bet on[/del] invest in a better chance. Bloomie will spend another half-billion bucks or more because what’s he got to lose?
I didn’t know he hadn’t done ad buys for after super tuesday.
Warren raised 29 million in February. However that may just be due to her good debate performances against Bloomberg, and her money will dry up after Tuesday.
Operating under the assumption that Biden does moderately well and Bloomberg fairly far behind him.
Bloomberg will not want to play spoiler. He does not believe Sanders can win and he got in when Biden looked like he was falling off the cliff, having stayed out when Biden seemed stronger. He’ll drop out after a disappointing performance.
Warren? Her team sees her path as the contested convention and in a three still standing contest she will pick up delegates. She won’t get the plurality but her small chance is as the compromise candidate to the delegates at the convention.
Is there a path between Bernie and Biden for Warren though? And, how about money? She had to take out a line of credit back in January. Fundraising is one thing but burn rate is another.
Not sure. But with that as her perceived path she will try to keep going as long as she can and will hang on at least through the March 10th races even on a shoestring burning as little as possible.
I think Bloomberg ran because the thought of Sanders at the top of the ticket scared him shitless. Now that Biden has emerged as the premier anti-Bernie, he has no reason to stay in.
Personally, I hope Warren stays in, she dilutes the pool that Bernie swims in.
I voted “neither.” I don’t think either will drop out until after the March 10 votes. But I think both Warren and Bloomberg will do so soon after that.
I mailed our ballots today (couldn’t get to the county clerk’s office) and Stupor Tuesday starts in a few hours, local time. So we’ll have answers to this poll’s question very soon. Have we prizes and punishments for our votes? Can they be self-administered? No vids or GIFs, please. Will an end to Bloomberg ads be reward enough?
I keep thinking the only reason for Warren to stay in is to play spoiler against Sanders, but there could be a second reason the party wants her to stick around a while longer. They need her to continue attacking Bloomberg, which helps Biden. Let’s face it, no one else can put Mike in his place like Liz, and it keeps Joe’s hands clean.
If Warren doesn’t pull off a fairly decisive win on Tuesday, she’s going to ruin everything I think about her if she stays in. Also, if Sanders can’t hold his own against Bloomberg, he doesn’t deserve to win, and I’m sure he can hold his own against Bloomberg.
I’m not really fearing that Bloomburg can win, but then, I didn’t think Trump would get the nomination, and I thought he’d get Mondale’d in the general.
I feel like this, too. It’s a toss-up in a way. If Warren stays in to help attack Bloomberg, it’s the same old boring trash talk we’ve had for a while. And I think she’s way above stuff like that. And she is best qualified for POTUS, IMHO. But electable? There’s the rub, or more like a chronic itch in the US today.
Still, if Bloomy stays in after he sucks in the polls-- like not even winning one state-- he should get out the checkbook for whomever needs it in the end.
She’s still in the race, and there doesn’t seem to be a reason related to her getting elected to STILL be in the race at this point. She’s angling for something.
It’s not to be Bernie’s VP, because I heard she’s still pushing the donations really hard. If, as I understand it, she can throw her campaign funds to whoever she wants when she drops out, she’s trying to look a little EXTRA attractive to Biden. “Look, I can bring money, and the woman vote, and make you look like you’re uniting the party.”
I’m disappointed. She went for the prestige, the mark in the history book, the power, instead of trying to boost the guy who most matches her policies, as I’ve understood them these past years. Maybe she thinks Uncle Joe’s cheese is sliding off his cracker, and will 25th him, or someone else will, or he’ll step down himself. Maybe she thinks she can still run in 2024, and Joe can’t.
I don’t know anything for sure, of course,*** except she can’t really believe she’s gonna win now***. She’s not stupid, and I don’t think she’s delusional.
