Read the screenplay? A real scriptment, yes. Don’t believe me? Then why did you ask? I could prove to you I know about it by telling you all the details of the movie, but then I’d have my head on a stake.
You assume too much, Cisco(quoting Padme here).
SW2 (I am not using the stupid title)
HP
LOTR
Harry will get a lot of kids, but they are a fickle bunch at times. Will they keep coming, and will their parents keep bringing them? I know some adults who have seen this, and said it was juvenile, and they aren't exactly Kurosawa fans.
LOTR may even be the best film, but it has the smallest fandom, and will probably be aimed at an older audience than HP. If the quality is high enough, it will sell despite length. Remember The Godfather?
SW2 will probably be the biggest box office. Those fanboys have their own money and transportation, unlike the HP kids. It is hurt by the fact that TPM was not very good, especially compared to the first SW films.
I personally WILL DEFINITELY see SW2, almost definitely LOTR. Harry is possible if I decide to go with friends, but I won’t be suggesting it. Actually, the film I most want to see this year is Behind Enemy Lines, as Hackman is ALWAYS good.
The alltime champ should be SW3 - JarJar dies a lingering,painful death and is cremated on a pile of live burning Ewoks.
I think most of you guys have to get out more. The ONLY people I know who are going to “Lord…” are SF/fantasy fans, and yes they (you) are dedicated, but they are a subset of filmgoers. Star Wars (whatever) was the Harry Potter of it’s day, but subsequent efforts appeal to a hard-core group, not the masses. Plus, kids today know Harry Potter, Star Wars was another generations film, and Lord of the Rings many have never heard of. Harry Potter will double the other two, easily.
You’re forgetting one thing: Star Wars fans hated Lucas before TPM came out. Nobody hates Lucas more than SW fans. After TPM, they hated Lucas even more… BUT they still loved Star Wars. They blame Lucas for TPM sucking… as far as they’re concerned, Star Wars is still golden.
And that’s why it will do better at the box office than the other two. However, LOTR will be a better movie, and I will sell my soul, my testicles, my limbs, my kidneys, and my entire collection of souls, testicles, limbs, and kidneys taken from the bodies of my slain foes, just for a chance to see it.
WHOAH. Settle down there buddy, all I did was ask a question, I didn’t say I wasn’t going to believe the answer.
LOTR a sleeper? Is that possible? I always figured a sleeper was a movie that came out of nowhere and shocks everyone by doing well. LOTR is hugely hyped and would be the biggest movie any year.
It just happens to be a year with Potter and Star Wars, 2 movies that are nearly guaranteed huge box offices. Going against those two, even though LOTR may be the better movie, it would be hard to win.
That’s kind of what I’m getting at. It would be the biggest movie of almost any other year, but considering the circumstances, it could be somewhat of a relative “sleeper.”
Whoa!
I’m not changing my prediction but whoa!
One Movie to rule them all, one movie to find them,
One movie to bring them all and in movie theaters bind them
In the Land of Hollywood where shadows lie.
Resurrecting this thread to report some box office totals as of April 6th, 2002:
Harry Potter: $316,823,907
Lord of the Rings: $304,117,086
I see that my predictions were a little high for Potter and WAY low for LOTR…in fact, I’m impressed at how LOTR seems to have surpassed everyone’s expectations!
Also, LOTR made $1.74 just last weekend. I saw it again tonight (the Two Towers trailer rocked) and the theater was about 2/3’s full, very impressive for a movie almost 4 months old. If it doesn’t pass HP in the next few weeks, it certainly will when it gets re-released a month prior to the Two Towers premiere.
Of course, AOTC has yet to make it’s mark…I’m praying it bombs. 
Where did you hear this? I’m not challenging your statement but just wondering where you heard/read it. Do you have a link?
I know I read this somewhere but for the life of me I can’t remember where or when it was, and come to think it was about how it will probably be rereleased, not that it’s a definite thing. But the idea was to get people up to speed who hadn’t seen FOTR in its first run, or forgot what happened, and to build anticipation for the 2nd movie (and, next year, the 3rd.) The first two Star Wars movies were used in this fashion, too.
Well, I guess now we just have to play the waiting game. Somehow I doubt AOTC will bomb. And I think it will end up surpassing both of the others in the end. We’ll just wait and see, it’s only a month away…