please prepare yourselves for the wrath of my schizophrenia, for this post is going to be all over.
be very very careful, Mithrilhawk, that you know precisely what you mean by intent, and that you are sure that it indeed exists.
on:
this is one of the more strikingly fallacious arguments as proof that god exists. at least to me. consider the state of the world’s oceans at time t. the likelihood that the oceans will ever be in that state again is nil. yet it occurred. through causes that are relatively observable. when you’re dealing with a set as large as everything, the likelihood that anything happens is nil. indeed, there is 0 probability for the existence of god. if we consider time and space continuous, there is exactly 0 probability that i am in the place where i am right now. i could be in infinitely many other locations. but i’m here. i don’t consider that divine. as far as life goes, the probability that life began spontaneously at a given time t is nil. but over the course of 8 to 20 billion years, across the span of the universe, the sample space is so great that at one point, the chances aren’t quite so low.
on logical proofs of god’s existence: usually these can be used to prove some ridiculous conclusions, like that yellow polka-dotted purple rhinocerous that is sniffing me right now, who i’m quite sure i couldn’t have thought up if he didn’t exist as he does. but since i haven’t dealt with the ontological argument in a while (also because this has been on my mind), i’ll give the example of pascal’s wager:
the bet: to believe or not to believe in an infinitely benevolent god.
the expected value of believing: infinitely high.
the expected value of not believing: at most finitely high.
the choice: to believe.
it goes like this, if you believe in god, you get to go to heaven if he’s real, and you’re no worse off than SOL if he’s not. if you don’t believe in god, you might get to brag about it if he’s not real, but you’re in a world of hurt if he is real, or at least worse off than you would be if he wasn’t. so by calculating the expected value of this game of chance, we reach the values mentioned above. the problem is, suppose your choice is whether to believe or not believe in a god that rewards you infinitely for leading a murderous and impious life, or more to the point, for not believing. there are a few hidden assumptions here that lead to the conclusion, that aren’t necessarily granted.
lastly, i’d like to illustrate many arguments stated so far in the following conversation. please note the fallacy, and ask yourself if it applies to you:
a: “why does anything exist? why isn’t there nothing?”
b: “because god exists, and created it all.”
a: “how do you know god exists?”
b: “because everything i see exists, and it couldn’t without god.”