It looks more and more like Russia might invade Ukraine.
(Probably) Russian troops without identification as being Russian were already seen patrolling aggressively in the Crimea.
Now explain this situation to me. Why would Russia invade?
Simplified, this is what I get, correct me if Im wrong.
- Since USSR fall, Ukraine has up to now been Russian satellite state. (more or less)
- 2014 protests basically make that Pro Russian regime fall democratically. The protests were mostly instigated by Ukrainian Nationalists and Pro-EU / Nato guys.
- Russia sees this as NATO encroachment and intervenes.
Am I wrong here?
Basically Ukraine along with Eastern Europe since 1940 is backyard of Russia. It was entirely run by USSR. Now its indirectly run by Russia (USSR people still run Russia). So basically Ukraine having a regime not aligned with Russia/USSR is unacceptable.
And basically since there is no more strong power in West Europe since Nazi Germany, and USA has no intention to intervene (Asia pivot), Russians will do as they please and swiftly “clean up Ukraine” (NKVD style like they did in Poland 1940)
Am I far off-base?