Aaron Rogers had a pretty solid first season starting, I doubt they’re regretting the Favre thing much (especially since it means Rogers will be there long term, rather than 1 more year of Brett) - their defense regressed more than the QB position.
Unless Brett can play on the D Line and stop the run, or cover a back out of the backfield as a linebacker, or not bite on double moves, he wouldn’t make much difference. I’ll assume you haven’t seen many games, because we’re not losing because we don’t have Brett, or his league leading 17 interceptions, anymore. Out of his last 10 games, he’s thrown more picks than TDs in a whopping 7 of them.
You’re using the stats wrong, IMO. The main reason Portis’ raw stats have dropped off is not that he’s playing worse, it’s that the *Redskins *are playing worse. You point that he’s only topped 77 yards once in the last six games, but that’s mainly a function of the Redskins’ being 1-5 over those six games – they’ve been mostly playing from behind, hence the lack of rushing opportunities (and, of course, the lack of scoring opportunities). In their lone victory in that stretch, a close win over Seattle, Portis ran 29 times for 143 yards. In the five losses, OTOH, he’s gotten 13, 15, 11, 11, and 25 rushes. Granted, he wasn’t very efficient with those rushes, but neither was he terrible, and much of the downgrade has to be attributed to the struggles of the team as a whole (the offense is averaging 11 points per game over the past 11).
Portis isn’t a bad selection. If I were going to make a change at RB, I would swap out Turner for D. Williams. The 2008 Fantasy Football MVP has put up huge numbers mostly by by getting a ton of carries. Don’t get me wrong, he’s played pretty well, and the ability to stay healthy enough to play pretty well over 332 carries (and counting) is very valuable. And he’s far from being a terrible pick. It’s just that, at the end of the day, he’s been good while Williams has been great.
Farve
G GS Comp Att Pct Yds Avg TD Int Sck
14 14 305 451 67.6 3,052 6.8 21 17 26
Rodgers
G GS Comp Att Pct Yds Avg TD Int Sck
14 14 296 466 63.5 3,470 7.4 23 12 30
These are really similar statlines, but I’d say Rodgers’ is a little better, as even with the lower completion percentage, Rodgers has a higher average yards per throw and is less likely to throw to the other team. This is ignoring that Rodgers has also run for 213 yards this year, averaging 4 yards a carry.
As a Chargers fan, I’d say Rivers and Scifres should be in, but I’m not sure Gates played a pro bowl year this year.
You’ve got to try to account for other important variables, of which there are many.
At least as important, consider this: last year the Jets faced the hardest schedule in the league according to DVOA. This year, they’ve faced the *easiest *schedule to date: they get to play the two putrid, awful Western divisions, as well as six games against the AFC East, a collection of mediocre teams that happen to have winning records because they get to play (by far) the two worst divisions in football.
The Packers, meanwhile, have gone from the 4th easiest schedule last year to the 6th toughest (so far) this year. And, for whatever it’s worth, they’ve played extremely well for a 5-9 team (or, put another way, their record is abnormally bad for a team that has played as well as they have). Rodgers hasn’t played as well as Favre did last year, but, of course, neither has Favre.