Help me work through a trade offer I just got. On the face of it, it seems like a bargain for me, but too good offers rarely end up being as good as they seem, and the guy offering it to me isn’t an idiot. I am starting to look for the sucker in this deal, so can you guys help me figure this out?
Same dynasty league 12 team, full point PPR, we keep anyone who is on our roster at year end drafting only rookies. Some money (not much but some) is available as a prize so, I would like to win now if possible but who knows.
We play 1 QB, 2RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, standard scoring D/ST and K and a WR/RB/TE flex
My roster has changed a touch since I last posted it, so for ease of reference here is what I currently look like.
Manning, Peyton DEN QB
Rodgers, Aaron GBP QB
Bradshaw, Ahmad NYG RB
Hardesty, Montario CLE RB
Jones-Drew, Maurice JAC RB
Thomas, Daniel MIA RB
Turner, Michael ATL RB
Bess, Davone MIA WR
Crabtree, Michael SFO WR
Ford, Jacoby OAK WR
Heyward-Bey, Darrius OAK WR
Jackson, DeSean PHI WR
Jennings, Greg GBP WR
Johnson, Steve BUF WR
Wayne, Reggie IND WR
Gates, Antonio SDC TE
Tamme, Jacob DEN TE
Gostkowski, Stephen NEP PK
Jets, New York NYJ Def
Here is the trade offer
I get
Luck, Andrew IND QB
Ryan, Matt ATL QB
McGahee, Willis DEN RB
Austin, Miles DAL WR
Streater, Rod OAK WR
and
first round pick in 2013
I give:
Rodgers, Aaron GBP QB
Wayne, Reggie IND WR
and I would probably drop Davon Bess, Michael Crabtree and Jacoby Ford, though I might drop the Jets D instead of one of those three while I see how things shake out with Ford and Crabtree.
What the hell am I missing? Rodgers is good, very good, but…that good?