I just explained this to you.
I still think the Republicans will lose both Virginia and North Carolina very narrowly. Close, but there are no moral victories.
Sounds like the Global Warming thread.
I guess one question is, if it winds up 50-50, does either party have a Jim Jeffords? Or would Biden wind up casting votes for the next two years?
CNN has Reps picking up another seat in Montana.
Daines in Montana. +5 GOP.
It’s actually the same sort of ignorance at play.
Nevada and Iowa governerships go Rep.
According to the 538 model, these seats were in play:
Kansas
North Carolina
Iowa
Colorado (projected R)
Alaska
Georgia
New Hampshire (projected D)
Louisiana (projected Runoff)
These seats were outside of the 90% confidence interval: Likely or safe.
Minnesota D
Kentucky (!) R
West Virginia R
Virginia D
New Mexico D
Michigan D
South Dakota R
Mississipi R
Oregon D
Illinois D
South Carolina R
Maine R
Tennessee R
Delaware D
South Carolina R
Nebraska R
Montana R
New Jersey D
Idaho R
Massachusetts D
Hawaii D
Rhode Island D
Texas R
Oklahoma R
Oklahoma R
Wyoming R
Alabama R
The moral victory is GOP Senate control. It’s a Republican Majority Leader.
We need one more seat.
I’m just about ready to pop the cork on this (admittedly cheap) bottle of wine.
Yes, you explained that no matter what event happens, it proves your theory.
No, I explained that you’re looking at the matter simplistically. You’d need to control for the results with more data.
No, no, no, no. No. Anything less than a pickup of 12 seats will be a crushing disappointment. (Don’t worry, Bricker: I won’t rub it in.)
This will all be sorted out soon. Relax.
Moral in the sense that it would cause much needless suffering in order to enrich the top few percent.
Here I remember what one expert said on NPR commenting on what people like Chris Christie were doing by ignoring science when they forced doctors into quarantine or preventing them from traveling when there is no evidence to justify it: (Paraphrasing: )
“Eventually, politics has to yield to science” or otherwise waste and solutions that are misguided (discouraging volunteer doctors to not go to danger areas) are going to bite us later. Like in the global warming issue.
BTW by looking at the polling, and history I did predicted that it was most likely that the senate was going to become Republican (So yes I do look at the science and not just ideology), but the small majority the Republicans will have will mean that even scientifically speaking it is the Republicans the ones that will cause the most “fun” in the area of stupid legislation, I do think that Jon Stewart is ordering a lot of popcorn.
I’m chill as a cucumber. My innate pessimism prepared me for this.
Just send the $100 check with your losses to me, so I can cash it and have the $100 that you lost to me by losing.
Tillis and Gillespie holding onto slight leads.
Rick Scott wins in FL. I observed earlier in the day that when I voted in my heavily Democratic precinct, no one was there.