Preventing a greater evil is something I’ve been genuinely proud and happy about, which isn’t something I feel morally conflicted about: if the alternative involves standing back to let some greater evil happen, if it’s that or the lesser of two evils, then how is it even an interesting question? I obviously can’t pick “greater”, so where the heck is the conflict supposed to come in?
Drudge says “Exit Polls Show Huge Dem Wave Building*”
Well, in the broken-clock sense, Drudge is about due for an occasion to actually be right about something…it has been years since Lewinsky.
With an asterisk which leads to “Clinton campaign manager says ‘exit polls will break your heart’.”
Yeah, more participation in the political process is generally bad for the GOP.
I’m not going to be allowed to draw any conclusions from that, I’m sure.
Listening to WV Metronews. Exit Polling is 49-47 Morrissey over Manchin in WV.
Wirt County, WV…Morrissey 333, Manchin 317!!!
1 precinct reporting!
Early results consistent with 538’s forecast, by my reading – likely blue House, red Senate, Gillum looking good in FL, Abrams not so good in GA.
538 has a real-time forecast for both house and senate. At the start of the night, Dems were 6/7 to retake the house, GOP 6/7 to keep the senate. Odds have gone up for Dems to 14/15 to retake the house, and are now only 5/6 for GOP to keep the senate. So… yay?
Still sweating bullets here of course.
538 has adjusted their House forecast to 94% chance for a takeover, which makes sense as all the races so far have been pretty close to expectations, and when Democrats had the advantage, no change is to their advantage. They still have the chance for a Blue senate at 1 in 6 although I don’t know if they just haven’t updated it yet or if the Dems are doing slightly better than expected but not good enough to push the needle.
Well 538 now has Dems with a 95% chance to take the house.
Still 1 in 6 for the senate though.
ETA: Damn you Ludovic
Barbara Comstock loses in VA-10, which is not a huge surprise but is absolutely awesome.
In the last 10 minutes, chances of dems winning house went from 14/15 up to 19/20, then down to 11/12, then back up to 14/15. Watching this too closely is probably not good for my sanity.
Huzzah!
A nitpick but I am seeing 538 as 87.9% to take the House. Still good though!
Expanding on this a bit:
With 58% of the vote in, Wexton (D) has a 58-42 lead over Comstock (R). In 2016, Comstock won with 53% of the vote, and in 2014 Comstock won with 56.6%.
That’s the final pre-election projection from 11 this morning.
The currently updating projections are here What Went Down In The 2018 Midterms | FiveThirtyEight
FL 27 (Donna Shallala) goes blue! That one was more in doubt, so that’s great news for Democrats.
Ah! Thanks! (Although it says 86.3% right now)
No problem!