Everyone is interested in “me issues”, and when the President and his followers are saying that all Hispanics should be deported, and you’re a Hispanic, that’s a “me issue”.
I think for most Latino voters, whether they can get a job and support their families is a “me” issue. The only Latinos that vote are citizens and citizens generally don’t need to bring their family members in illegally. Illegal immigration as an issue applies to a subset of the population that’s actually pretty seperated from citizens of their own nationality. I’m married to a Haitian woman and when I asked if we could help anyone she knew that was in trouble because of TPS status being revoked, she said she knew of no one. This just isn’t a high salience issue unless you’re into the “I always support my people before my own interests” thing, which I don’t think most Latinos really do when voting.
And if the Republicans were only targeting illegal immigrants, that might be relevant.
Does your wife have US citizenship yet? As Chronos notes, it’s not just illegal immigrants that are being targeted.
There are a lot of Latino citizens in Puerto Rico, and Donald plainly doesn’t consider them worthy of the same level of disaster relief as what the states get.
Actually, he’s enforcing the law in that regard. Immigrants are inadmissible if they are likely to become a public charge. That law has never been enforced, but it is popular and it’s not just some ancient Republican law.
My wife was born here, but her parents were not, and they are US citizens, and all of her other relatives and friends are legal immigrants. I don’t know if it’s different for Mexicans, but families in the Haitian community tend to either be legal or illegal, probably since citizens and legal immigrants have ways to bring their families over.
But immigration has never been cited by any Haitian I know as a voting issue. They vote on pocketbook issues and I assume it’s the same for most Latino voters.
Not sure where to put this, so I’m putting it here.
" (Reuters) - An 11-year-old boy managed to hack into a replica of Florida’s election results website in 10 minutes and change names and tallies during a hackers convention, organizers said, stoking concerns about security ahead of nationwide votes.
…
The boy was the quickest of 35 children, ages 6 to 17, who all eventually hacked into copies of the websites of six swing states during the three-day Def Con security convention over the weekend, the event said on Twitter on Tuesday."
Tell me… did the kid weigh 400 pounds?
No he isn’t just “enforcing an existing law”. Signing up for Obamacare - something which people were legally required to sign up to - does not make one “likely to become a public charge”, and yet it’s one of the disqualifying elements of the new policy. And let’s not forget the various other ways in which LEGAL immigrants are being targeted, including those which had signed up for military service.
But you keep telling yourself it can’t happen to your family. And I sincerely hope you never find out to the contrary.
Nitpick: The ACA. Obamacare never got passed, due to opposition from a few senators representing the insurance industry.
Nitpick: PPACA is “Obamacare”.
538’s house forecast was released today.
82 days to election day. Top line, it’s about 3:1 that the house flips to D.
There is a ton more stuff in there than that. This includes vote share projections for each of the 435 congressional districts.
Near me, but not my district, it’s nice to see that Mike Coffman might be in trouble.
By that logic, Obamacare actually is in place now, because a) no individual mandate, and b) you now can actually keep your insurance if you like it. So it’s a lot closer to his stated vision than it was before.
Holy cow, I’m amazed to see my CD (MI-2) shift over to “Likely R” from “Solid R.” This is a Congressional District that has gone R +25 for decades, if not forever. I still don’t think Rep. Bill Huizenga is gonna lose, but I’ve been to a couple of his opponent’s events, and this guy (Dr. Rob Davidson) is giving old Rubber Stamp Huizenga a run for his money.
My prediction for election night in MI-2: Huizenga by 6. 538 has it Huizenga by about 13. Either way, it’s gonna be a remarkable swing to the left here on Michigan’s west lakeshore.
Eh. My CD remains about as solid R as you can get (59/60 chance the incumbent gets returned), but then the district is full of grumpy retirees so it’s only to be expected. It’s Floridatown, Jake.
Obamacare included the public option. The ACA did not. Neither forced anyone to abandon a plan or doctor they liked. The ACA did, however, force some people off of extortion plans which they mistakenly believed were insurance plans.
That’s not quite true. It also forced people out of good plans that had selective pools because the government wanted those healthy folks in the exchange pool. It also outlawed catastrophic only plans, which are actually great investments for healthy people with a decent income. It’s also true that there were some crappy plans, but if people were satisfied with them, that’s their business. “Your plan was crappy anyway” as a response to people losing their insurance doesn’t fly.
So no individual mandate, consistent with his promise, plus now everyone gets to keep their plan if they like it, brings ACA much more in line with what Obama claimed to want. I’m sure the Democrats will add a public option when they next have Congress, and then it’ll be perfect, assuming the public plan doesn’t fail to compete in the marketplace and go out of business.
It’s our business when they declare bankruptcy and default on catastrophic medical bills, because those losses raise healthcare costs for all of us.
“Your brakes were crappy anyway.”
Being blissfully aware that you are in mortal danger may feel good, but it is harmful to not only yourself, but to your community when you expect them to take care of you when your insurance won’t.
As anything anyone has ever done in public or in private, nothing ever works perfectly the first time, or the second, for that matter. Just like anything else ever done by mankind, the ACA is something that will require refinement and adjustment. To expect perfection, and to condemn anything that is not, is unrealistic. To support a party that does everything it can to sabotage efforts of covering US citizens with affordable healthcare, and then to blame the party that tries for not getting it perfect is more than just unrealistic, it is being personally complicit in any failures.
Interesting to note that the indictment of incumbent Congressman Duncan Hunter on sixty(!) felony counts of financial fraud did not seem to affect the prediction markets, nor did it lead to a flurry of upticks in the D-counts at our own prediction contest.
Wednesday Cook Political Report demoted Calif-50 from Safe-R to Lean-R. Sabato’s Crystal Ball did the same demotion on Tuesday. But Real Clear’s Tuesday update still shows Calif-50 as Safe-R. I’ll bet a large bottle of Thai rice whiskey that Hunter wins re-election. For R voters, felony indictments are reassuring affirmation that their man is a true follower of the MAGA man.
Especially revealing is that indicted felon Duncan Hunter became the very second Congressman to endorse Trump 2½ years ago. The very first Congressman to endorse, Chris Collins (who is not running for re-election), was also indicted (for insider trading) just two weeks ago!