NY Post? That’s all I needed to see.
Yes, lets ask the extreme right what they think about Biden. That won’t be biased at all.
Yeah, please point to the part where Biden actually “praises” or “celebrates” high gas prices.
It’s the New York Post for God’s sake. About as useful as the writing on a mens’ room stall.
I’ve seen things written in the snow with urine that I give more credibility to than the NY Post
Understandably.
The latest from CNN: The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2022 | CNN Politics
FiveThirtyEight just came out with their forecast:
GOP has a 54% chance of taking the Senate and an 87% percent chance of taking the House according to the models. I know that a lot can happen between now and November but if recent events didn’t move the needle, I don’t know what will. We are doomed.
The House going R is all but a done deal. The size of the wave still matters though – with a narrow majority, McCarthy (or whoever gets the gavel) may find it difficult to balance his wingnuts with the still-somewhat-sane caucus. Pelosi’s done an incredible job keeping her party together with the narrowest of margins, but I don’t think the Republicans have the same discipline.
As for the Senate, it’ll come down to whether Republicans nominating flawed or untested candidates in GA, PA, WI and OH will matter light of the Republican wave. Hershel Walker is proving to be a terrible campaigner, but that doesn’t mean he won’t be carried into office by the wave.
And possibly even MO. Missouri is very red, so it’d take a really flawed candidate to put that state in play. But Eric Greitens is up to the task and the last I heard, he was leading in the primary there.
I don’t think the red wave will hit Georgia as hard as elsewhere. For one thing, Kemp is on the ballot as governor and he’s in Trump’s shithouse. The D-seat I’m worried about is NV.
Not likely to ever be described as an environmental policy wonk:
It’s Georgia, so I’m not surprised. Remember, this is the state where a state rep proposed a law to put Georgia on permanent Daylight Saving Time, because “criminals like the dark, so changing to perpetual DST will deprive them of the cover they desire.”
I’m also not worried about Georgia. Not only is Kemp on the ballot, but so is Stacey Abrams. Warnock is also no slouch himself. It’s NH and NV that worry me. Democrats would have to win both PA and WI to balance them out, so that’s where the focus should b. I don’t think there’s a chance for any other pick ups other than those two. As for the other races, IMHO the people who talk about Ohio, Florida, and even Missouri possibly flipping must have their rose colored glasses on.
Right now my guess is 51-49 D with Democrats losing NV, keeping NH an GA, and winning PA and WI.
I’m quite optimistic about the Democrats increasing their numbers in the Senate. I think GA stays blue since Herschel Walker is nothing more than an athletic male version of Sarah Palin. Will OH voters be interested enough in the 2020 election enough to vote for JD Vance? I don’t think so, I see a blue flip here. I don’t think PA voters are going to go for a Jersey boy quack, another blue pickup. So I see 52-48 D Senate. Maybe even 53-47 if WI voters have finally had their fill of Ron Johnson.
In the House, I think the combination of Roe and the possible candidacy announcement of DJT will be enough to hold on for the Democrats. Inflation should be easing by then and I bet gas goes under $3.50 by then.
I like the cut of your jib, BLD… but I’m not that optimistic, not by a long shot.
I’m still predicting a red wave, but there is some polling that shows that individual Democratic candidates are significantly outperforming Biden’s dismal job approval numbers. If Trump announces for President in September as is being floated in the press, all bets are off.
You’re being unjust to Palin. She’s FAR smarter than Walker.
Now consider where she set that bar, and shudder at the idea that Walker might get elected.
I think it is looking better for the Democrats than they dared hope two years ago when this thread started.
i’m a bit more optimistic about warnock. in the last race he went ahead and never lost the lead it was close…but he held the lead. it was ossoff that seesawed and was a nail biter.
i believe he has a good solid base behind him.
Hmmm:
John Fetterman is killing it going after Dr. Oz (yeah, easy target). This is awesome. Hopefully, Pennsylvania is listening.
Wow, that’s a great ad. Negative ads work, especially when they’re funny, like this one.