2024 US Senate Elections

“Politics is show business for ugly people.” - Paul Begala (maybe)

Stay in your lane Hill Harper.

Well, I’d say he’s got at least some cred as a Senate candidate:

Speaking as a progressive Michigander, I’m fully behind the more-moderate Slotkin. We’ve got an amazing thing happening here, with Dems finally grabbing the governorship, AG, SoS, state house, state senate, both Senate seats and a majority of the House delegation. We’ve done this by capitalizing on the republicans running further and further right (and loony), while the dems have remained pretty vocally moderate (while often governing more to the left). I want to keep this good thing going, so I don’t want to rock the boat with a openly-progressive state-wide candidate for the Senate.

I may align more with Harper’s politics, but I want to keep this blue wave going as long as possible, and not do anything, or nominate anyone with an ideology, that the loonies on the right can point to as “bad, bad, bad.” I’m a Slotkin man, and I hate that she has to now spend money on a primary campaign.

I’m also a progressive Michigander and I think Slotkin has earned her shot. Harper should cut his teeth on something a little lower. He’d be a formidable candidate, I think he should try for a state legislator post and then governor/senator.

Much of the blue gains were made by ungerrymandering the districts, but you can’t overlook the effect of abortion on the election last year. As Republicans dig further into the hole on this issue, I’m all for sitting back and watching them.

D’oh! I meant Limitless.

Made my day:

And see:

The Lose Cruz PAC has a commercial out skewering him for his trip to Cancun while the rest of Texas was frozen and without power. I like it.

Cancún Cruz - YouTube

Oh yeah, that’s good.

Former one-term Florida Congresswoman Debbie Mucarsel-Powell has announced she’s running for the Democratic nomination for Senate. The only other entrant so far is the guy who lost to Matt Gaetz by 31 points in 2020.

Man, I’m gonna be so pissed if Rick Scott is able to sleepwalk his way to reelection. He should be the definition of a vulnerable incumbent. He won his last race by 0.2% and shot himself in the foot with his harebrained proposal to raise taxes and sunset Medicare and Social Security. But Florida Democrats are such a shambles and Democrats nationally are stretched so thin defending vulnerable incumbents that I fear it’s gonna be a cakewalk for him.

Democratic NJ Senator Bob Menendez has been indicted – again – on corruption charges. His seat is up next year.

I dearly hope that New Jersey Democrats finally primary out this corrupt sack of shit. New Jersey is a solidly blue state, but Doug Jones in Alabama showed that the right set of circumstances can (temporarily) flip even a strongly partisan state. If Menendez is the nominee, Democrats are likely going to have to spend money on him that is desperately needed in a half dozen other endangered Senate races.

A random no-name candidate got 38% against him in 2018, when the entire party establishment was behind him. Now he’s weaker and he’ll hopefully have a stronger challenger. And it’s a fairly late primary (June), so there’s still time.

(I was hoping for a primary challenge even without this. He’d be one of the worst members of the caucus even if he was squeaky-clean.)

Here ya go:

I like this tactic - if they come out in support of Trump, rub their effing faces in it. As the article mentions, Independent voters could be swayed to vote D, and this is especially helpful in several key states.

And out west:

Yeah, right, since she won the governorship, it just makes sense that the citizenry loves her.

Go Ruben Gallego!

She lost by 0.3% despite being an election denier and stridently anti-“McCain Republicans” who she equated with machine moderates. She’s very dangerous and not to be underestimated as an anti-democratic threat.

Yep, I was being sarcastic (should have done the /s thing). Generally the next move after losing a statewide election is not to pursue a different office via another statewide election.

She is a dangerous loon.

I fear this will be the loony-toons playbook from now on: If you lose one election, call it stolen, then run again in another election for the same role or something else. It does not matter if you win or lose - it’s the only way to keep the grift going.

The scariest part is that in places like AZ they have a very real chance of actually winning. I don’t really much care about the grift in the abstract (go ahead, fleece the rubes). But I do care about the diseased red meat they toss by the truckload to their slavering followers when they actually win.

Kari Lake will likely be a genuine competitive threat to take the seat and that is depressing.