It’s a shame this messageboard doesn’t allow posters to start a new Thread for a new topic. It’s annoying that we have to use one Thread for unrelated topics and then drive them into the ground.
For instance, I wouldn’t think that a Thread titled “538 and the Senate” would be a good place for me to start a discussion about how best to plan snacks and refreshments for my Halloween party but, since we are not allowed the option to start new Threads for new topics, I have no choice.
So, can anyone recommend a decent pumpkin beer?
Also, we were considering doing bobbing for apples but I prefer pears. Is it a slap in the face of tradition to do bobbing for pears?
To sum up: if current trends continue the Democrats could pick up seats in some close races, adaher is continuing to rewrite history, and I don’t think pears float as well as apples do.
ETA: And the phrase “decent pumpkin beer” is an oxymoron.
So I can’t offer any more advanced insight into the likelihood of the Democrats taking the Senate, but on this point I can fight ignorance (including my own).
Speaking of ignorance and the Senate (but I repeat myself), how is it that Rubio can remain competitive in FL? He basically no-showed most of his current term before dropping everything to run for Prez.
Yeah he’s got name recognition. But that’s about it. And much of that is about scandal.
Well, Patrick Murphy is young and relatively inexperienced; he’s on his first term in the House. And Rubio has a high profile, plus the incumbency gives him an advantage. But really it mostly boils down to the letter after his name.
Like most states, FL is not too far off 50/50 state-wide, but the two parties’ adherents mostly live in different counties. I have to work pretty hard to find an R voter here. Other counties are the opposite. It’s easy to confuse the near unanimity of your neighbors for the total state-level reality.
I’m a (recently registered in) Florida voter. While I still wouldn’t vote for Rubio as we are pretty much diametrically opposed on every policy issue, I’d be less annoyed with him if he’d run his presidential campaign in parallel with a plan to continue in the Senate if he was unsuccessful, rather than this “I’m gonna be President so I won’t bother with the Senate anymore oh shit I lost so I better pretend I still care about my Congress job” shtick he’s been pulling.
Murphy has been calling him on this, insisting that he was willing to debate Rubio as long as Rubio would openly commit to serving a full term (i.e. not pulling this crap again for a 2020 run). Rubio appears to be dodging the question and is instead accusing Murphy of running from the debates.
Nonsense. The Republican Party has lost any legitimacy to be a part of the federal government. Even with the Democratic Party controlling both houses, we’ll have perfectly good checks and balances with their centrist vs left wings.
Clinton wins, Dems take Senate, and that razor thin GOP House … Speaker of the House? Is there anyone that can get keep all (or at least virtually all) the GOP House Representatives to vote as a bloc for Speaker? Or will there need to be some tossing of some of the most batshit under the bus and an appeal to moderate Democratic Representatives with promises of no more obstructionism?
I would posit Chronos that a GOP loss in the House pushes them into circle the wagons and keep the most batshit on board and the the path to a functional conservative party that is willing to work and to compromise is by way of that narrow win that requires compromise with Democrats in order for the House to have a Speaker and do any business at all.
Don’t get me wrong, I’d love to see a Democratic House. But I not only very much doubt it will happen, I see a narrow miss as likely being quite good.
I’m with you. It just might have a salutary effect on the House Republican Caucus, and force them to govern more responsibly in conjunction with President Clinton and a Democratic Senate.
