Accurately speaking, Trump’s approval rating was 36% yesterday. Currently, big increase, 39%.
I’m not very good at dates and such, but isn’t today the 27th? Yesterday, the 26th, according to your cite, his approval rating was 39%, right? The day before that, the 25th, it was at 37%. If we go all the way back to the 24th, then it was at 36%, right? Or am I misreading something?
They update it at noon (so yes, you are wrong). But hey, your great defense of the guy continues! Good job.
I am sure there are people who regard Real Clear Politics as an utterly non-partisan source of solidly reliable fact. I am not one of them, and I am not alone.
Explain this a little bit for me, would you? Hours before Sherrerd’s OP, Gallup apparently posted that Trump was at 39% approval, right? And then you came along and said, “Trump’s approval rating was 36% yesterday”. It wasn’t though, was it? It was 37% in the morning, and 39% after noon, right?
How about 538, which currently has it at 38.5%?
Try working backwards. It says 39% now (helpful hint: it is currently after noon). So what did it say yesterday?
P.s even if you were right (which, I should remind you, you are not) this would be a horrible defense of Trump’s approval rating.
37%. That’s just what was posted yesterday. His actual approval rating yesterday was 39%, right? not 36%? I understand that it takes Gallup a few hours to compile the numbers and get it posted, but that delay doesn’t alter the fact that his approval rating was 39% yesterday (the 26th) right?
It’s not intended as a defense of his approval rating. I’m just trying to make sure we’re both in the same universe and one of us isn’t off in some alternative timeline.
Not too bad, not your first choice either.
No, definitely not. I think Nate Silver’s “special sauce” weighting just screws stuff up, but everyone’s entitled to follow, or cherrypick, whichever pollster / aggregator they like. I imagine some libs probably still worship at the alter of Sam Wang, in spite of his fall from grace.
All day? Even though it’s updated at noon? I feel that I have failed to properly explain the chronological nature of time to you, or perhaps you’re just not yet done thinking this through.
I got high once and realized that it’s never really “now”. That was an experience which I believe we now share.
You’re very close to convincing me that Trump never had a 36% approval rating because yesterday is, like, so long ago. And now is, like, tomorrow, so, like, it’s even further ago.
It’s not a defense, it’s a diversion.
If I showed a bunch of 5th graders the link you provided, and asked them “What was Trump’s approval rating on the 26th”, what do you imagine their answer would be? Do you think that answer (obvious, I hope) would be correct or incorrect?
If I asked them “On which day did Trump last have an approval rating of 36%?” do you think they would answer “July 24th” or some other day (like maybe ‘yesterday’)?
If we had a phone number we could call up Gallup and ask them questions, and I asked them “What was Trump’s approval rating on July 26th?” do you think they would respond with:
A) 39%
B) 37%
C) 36%
?
Whatever you do, don’t ask them “what did the site say yesterday?” As that is apparently much too difficult a question for a 5th grader, and they will likely just change the subject.
If you had said ‘yesterday morning the site said that his approval rating was 36% on the 24th of July’, you’d have a really solid argument here. But that’s not what you said. Instead, you said:
That wasn’t accurately speaking at all though. It was wrong.
I’m like 90% sure that I asked you what the site said yesterday. Im also like 90% sure you couldn’t get it right despite multiple attempts. I’m also like 90% sure upon realizing how wrong you were you changed the subject. Should I go back and check?
Go ahead, but I’ll make it easy for you. Here was my response:
That was your second response (which by the way was also wrong), here was your first response:
I like the “right?” at the end. So confident.
You snipped my post, and not in a very charitable manner. The one you call '[my] first response" was NOT a response to “So what did it say yesterday?” That question came later (probably after you realized that “Trump’s approval rating was 36% yesterday” was wrong). Here’s my entire post in context, with the quote from you that I was replying to:
Let me try asking you a simple question:
On which day did Trump last have an approval rating of 36%?
So, 35% is bad, 36% is not bad, 37% is pretty darn good, 38% is awesome, and any more than that is a crushing electoral landslide? Or what, exactly?