9th Annual SDMB Early Super Bowl Pick Contest

crap.

That;s why I never bet on football. Always with my heart, never with my head. I had a bad feeling about yesterday;s game. We were tebowed

Now I’m rooting for the Broncos! but, I think the Pats will kill them. But who knows? Tebow dissected the number 1 defense in the NFL, just imagine what he’s going to do against the worst!

Edit: Wrong thread.

Update after Divisional Saturday:

UNSCATHED:
Hal Briston - Giants 38, Patriots 35
UFC Is Sux - Packers 48, Patriots 45
Shinna Minna Ma - Ravens 24, Packers 17
MemoryDump - 49ers 24, Ravens 17
wheresgeorge04 - Packers 31, Ravens 14
Little Nemo - Packers 42, Patriots 28
Snake Plissken - Patriots 31, Packers 28
An Arky - Packers 3, Patriots 2
Locrian - Ravens 28, Packers 21
Wolverine - Packers 35, Ravens 24
minlokwat - Packers 37, Patriots 31
Gray Ghost - Ravens 27, 49ers 16
PacifistPorcupine - Ravens 24, 49ers 17
Hamlet - Packers 31, Ravens 23
Justin_Bailey - Packers 28, Ravens 20
It’s Not Rocket Surgery! - Packers 28, Ravens 17
Fear the Turtle - Ravens 20, Packers 17
Enginerd - Ravens 23, Packers 20
Chessic Sense - Packers 27, Ravens 23
Skammer - Packers 41, Patriots 38
ShadowFacts - Patriots 34, 49ers 27
dalej42] - Packers 38, Patriots 31
digs - Packers 31, Patriots 28
Jules Andre - Ravens 28, 49ers 26
bouv - Patriots 34, Packers 28
garygnu - 49ers 26, Patriots 23
sitchensis - Packers 34, Ravens 17
SenorBeef - Packers 38, Ravens 31
ONE GONE:
Frosted Glass - Giants 24, [del]Steelers[/del] 17
Suburban Plankton - Packers 35, [del]Steelers[/del] 21
Oakminster - [del]Saints[/del] 31, Ravens 13
Shawn K - [del]Saints[/del] 31, Patriots 38
Frank - [del]Saints[/del] 27, Ravens 24
Kiros - Patriots 37, [del]Saints[/del] 35
Barkis is Willin’ - [del]Saints[/del] 38, Patriots 21
FuriousGeorge - [del]Saints[/del] 38, Patriots 24
Omniscient - [del]Saints[/del] 38 - Ravens 17
ugly ripe tomato - Giants 28, [del]Broncos[/del] 23
Blunt - Packers 54, [del]Broncos[/del] 6
PSXer - [del]Broncos[/del] 22, Packers 21
DEAD IN THE WATER:
notfrommensa - [del]Falcons[/del] 35, [del]Bengals[/del] 24
Airman Doors, USAF - [del]Steelers[/del] 24, [del]Saints[/del] 21
Jackknifed Juggernaut - [del]Steelers[/del] 33, [del]Saints[/del] 31
Stink Fish Pot - [del]Steelers[/del] 21, [del]Saints[/del] 20

I’m guessing you can throw out at least half of the picks that are left.

The loser lounge is starting to get crowded!

I have my seat saved. don’t anyone take it.

And now that Divisional Championship Sunday brings us down to four teams left in the mix:

UNSCATHED:
Hal Briston - Giants 38, Patriots 35
MemoryDump - 49ers 24, Ravens 17
Gray Ghost - Ravens 27, 49ers 16
PacifistPorcupine - Ravens 24, 49ers 17
ShadowFacts - Patriots 34, 49ers 27
Jules Andre - Ravens 28, 49ers 26
garygnu - 49ers 26, Patriots 23
ONE GONE:
Frosted Glass - Giants 24, [del]Steelers[/del] 17
Oakminster - [del]Saints[/del] 31, Ravens 13
Shawn K - [del]Saints[/del] 31, Patriots 38
Frank - [del]Saints[/del] 27, Ravens 24
Kiros - Patriots 37, [del]Saints[/del] 35
Barkis is Willin’ - [del]Saints[/del] 38, Patriots 21
FuriousGeorge - [del]Saints[/del] 38, Patriots 24
Omniscient - [del]Saints[/del] 38 - Ravens 17
ugly ripe tomato - Giants 28, [del]Broncos[/del] 23
UFC Is Sux - [del]Packers[/del] 48, Patriots 45
Shinna Minna Ma - Ravens 24, [del]Packers[/del] 17
wheresgeorge04 - [del]Packers[/del] 31, Ravens 14
Little Nemo - [del]Packers[/del] 42, Patriots 28
Snake Plissken - Patriots 31, [del]Packers[/del] 28
An Arky - [del]Packers[/del] 3, Patriots 2
Locrian - Ravens 28, [del]Packers[/del] 21
Wolverine - [del]Packers[/del] 35, Ravens 24
minlokwat - [del]Packers[/del] 37, Patriots 31
Hamlet - [del]Packers[/del] 31, Ravens 23
Justin_Bailey - [del]Packers[/del] 28, Ravens 20
It’s Not Rocket Surgery! - [del]Packers[/del] 28, Ravens 17
Fear the Turtle - Ravens 20, [del]Packers[/del] 17
Enginerd - Ravens 23, [del]Packers[/del] 20
Chessic Sense - [del]Packers[/del] 27, Ravens 23
Skammer - [del]Packers[/del] 41, Patriots 38
dalej42] - [del]Packers[/del] 38, Patriots 31
digs - [del]Packers[/del] 31, Patriots 28
bouv - Patriots 34, [del]Packers[/del] 28
sitchensis - [del]Packers[/del] 34, Ravens 17
SenorBeef - [del]Packers[/del] 38, Ravens 31
DEAD IN THE WATER:
notfrommensa - [del]Falcons[/del] 35, [del]Bengals[/del] 24
Airman Doors, USAF - [del]Steelers[/del] 24, [del]Saints[/del] 21
Jackknifed Juggernaut - [del]Steelers[/del] 33, [del]Saints[/del] 31
Stink Fish Pot - [del]Steelers[/del] 21, [del]Saints[/del] 20
Suburban Plankton - [del]Packers[/del] 35, [del]Steelers[/del] 21
Blunt - [del]Packers[/del] 54, [del]Broncos[/del] 6
PSXer - [del]Broncos[/del] 22, [del]Packers[/del] 21
I, for one, am very happy being the only one who has the clear SB champ favorites picked.

From the “unexpected file”: ShadowFacts is the only one remaining who has the Patriots picked as winning the Super Bowl.

I am running up quite a tab here in the Loser Lounge. The drinks are mighty tasty when they are the winner.

I am on my 5th Crown Royal on the rocks with a twist of lime.

And you there, get out of my seat!!

Related to that, current odds from Bovada for 2012 Super Bowl Champion:


Odds to win the 2012 Super Bowl XLVI
Baltimore Ravens         6/1
New England Patriots     6/5
New York Giants          3/1
San Francisco 49ers      3/1

Looks like ShadowFacts is the odds on favorite to win, according to them. The three of us who picked the Ravens are the biggest underdogs to win. This is probably due to the 9(!) points the Patriots are laying the Ravens.

If the Ravens were to pull off the upset, then if you were handicapping by Football Outsiders’ DVOA, I’d guess the Ravens would be a Pick 'Em with the Giants, and about a 1.5 pt underdog to the Niners; all assuming the Championship Week performances didn’t skew DVOA too far away from the Week 19 totals.

man, what a turd pile of a final four.

I have absolutely no interest in any of these teams for a variety of reasons. I would root for the 49ers, but I loathe Jim Harbaugh and his rah-rah coaching style. You have to admit, though it works for him.

Oh, and Alex Smith is quite possibly the worst overall number one QB picked in recent memory, so the niners have a few things that bug me.

Giants - This is a team that I could get behind… maybe… But I hate Eli with the burning intensity of a thousand suns. His moping, slumped shoulder, pointing the accusatory finger at the teammate who screwed up (and it’s never him) just make the rest of the team disappear. However, I like Tom Coughlin mainly because he takes more shit than anyone who coaches in the NFL (NYC is brutal to the coaches and players that don’t win every game). I also like the idea of Eli having more rings than Peyton, so the Giants are currently the front runner.

Ravens? I’m a Steeler fan, so it’s a requirement to hate the Ravens. And I do; Ray Lewis is the biggest reason for my hate, but there are a few other players I can’t stand. Like Joe Flacco. However, I do like John Harbaugh as a coach, and I think it would be good to get rid of Brian Billick’s name as the only Raven’s coach to win a SB.

And finally the Patriots. I simply can’t root for any Belichek team ever since it was exposed that he cheated. If Brady wins this game, though, he might finally supplant Montana as the greatest QB in history, which would be just fine by me. This team has absolutely no defense, so Brady’s done a lot of work on his own to get the Pats here,

So, where does that leave me? Nowhere. I will end up picking a team that I dislike the least instead of a team I could really root for. The Saints losing really killed my chances of having a rooting interest in the SB after the Steelers laid an egg against Denver.

This is just a big shit sandwich and I’m going to have to take a bite.

OK - No harbaugh super bowl, so the 49ers are out for sure. So that puts the Giants in from the NFC. And it pains me to say this, but I will root for the Ravens to beat the Patriots, since I just can’t get past the cheating.

I can’t root for the Ravens, so I won’t watch any football this weekend.

<sob>

I can’t believe I hate all 4 teams left!

“Rah-rah” coaching style? You haven’t been playing very close attention. Jim Harbaugh is Bill Belichick with a personality.

No way. JaMarcus Russell was picked first in 2007. Alex Smith is a first ballot HOFer compared to Russell.

Ohhhh…so you’ve never watched a Giants game, then.

Second point first, when it’s him, he most definitely owns up to it – but it rarely is him. Anyone on that team will tell you that Eli knows that playbook better than anyone on the team, coaches included. So yes, if he’s yelling to Nicks that he was supposed to run a sluggo and not a out, then Nicks was supposed to run a sluggo and not a out.

You’d rather a QB who says “Ah, no biggie…you keep screwing up those routes, no need for me to point out what went wrong there”?

I disagree - it’s more like Bill Cowher, west coast style (no spittle). He still has a bit of that college rah-rah for me, but it works, so hey… if I were a 49er’s fan, I’d be thrilled with him. No insult meant.

You are correct, and I can’t believe I forgot Russell, who finally got Ryan Leaf off the top of those “worst draft pick ever” lists.

Sadly, I watch the Giants every week, and it’s the result of where I live, not desire. I don’t argue that Eli knows the playbook. He’s still the second biggest baby in the league behind his brother. If you ever get a chance to watch an old Saints game, with Archie QBing, you’ll be shocked to see how similar the body language is between father and sons.

And of course I want a QB to own up to it. Just not on the field in front of everyone… go do what you need to do in the locker room or the sidelines, but keep the whining to yourself. If what you say is true, he doesn’t need to be so demonstrative when someone runs a bad route. Everyone knows it’s not him anyway, right? He’s the leagues biggest girly man, and that’s because Peyton was out this year.

Neil ODonnell threw 2 bad interceptions in superbowl 30 that cost the steelers the game. I know for a fact that one of those passes was not his fault, possibly both. He didn’t mope and skulk off the field. (He beat the shit out of the receiver that ran the wrong route, and left for free agency at the end of the year. Go Jets!)

And Tim Couch and David Carr.

Tim Couch doesn’t deserve to top those bust lists.

He was a quarterback for the least talented team in league history, yet improved every year. He got that team to the playoffs within 4 years and was continually improving, and his career was ended because he did irreparable damage to his throwing arm. He doesn’t deserve to be on the same list with Russell, or even Carr.

Meh, he’s not Leaf or Russell, but he sucked. He didn’t have much help, this is true, but he never really caught up to the speed of the NFL. That wasn’t really the point, he’s just worse than Alex Smith which is what I was getting at.

This thread got really funny all of a sudden.

“Jim Harbaugh, in his first year as coach, is just like one of the greatest coaches of all time, but better!” -49ers fan.

“Eli Manning has no faults! He’s an offensive savant who, outside of his 17INT/year average as a starter and twice leading the league in picks, almost never makes a mistake!” -Giants fan.

“Tim Couch was an incredible talent who kept improving until he stunned the league with his 18TD 18INT peak!” -Browns fan.

Hey, now. I never said Jim Harbaugh was better than Bill Belichik. I said he has more personality. Obviously Belichick has hall of fame credentials, and Harbaugh is merely a promising rookie. I see enough of what Belichick does in Harbaugh (extreme competitiveness, detail-obsession, out-thinking opponents, tight-lipped) to believe the comparison worth making.

And if you look in this very thead, I’d like Jim to beat Bill head’s up in the Super Bowl.

After the Conference Championships:

UNSCATHED:
Hal Briston - Giants 38, Patriots 35
ONE GONE:
Frosted Glass - Giants 24, [del]Steelers[/del] 17
Shawn K - [del]Saints[/del] 31, Patriots 38
Kiros - Patriots 37, [del]Saints[/del] 35
Barkis is Willin’ - [del]Saints[/del] 38, Patriots 21
FuriousGeorge - [del]Saints[/del] 38, Patriots 24
ugly ripe tomato - Giants 28, [del]Broncos[/del] 23
UFC Is Sux - [del]Packers[/del] 48, Patriots 45
Little Nemo - [del]Packers[/del] 42, Patriots 28
Snake Plissken - Patriots 31, [del]Packers[/del] 28
An Arky - [del]Packers[/del] 3, Patriots 2
minlokwat - [del]Packers[/del] 37, Patriots 31
Skammer - [del]Packers[/del] 41, Patriots 38
dalej42] - [del]Packers[/del] 38, Patriots 31
digs - [del]Packers[/del] 31, Patriots 28
bouv - Patriots 34, [del]Packers[/del] 28
ShadowFacts - Patriots 34, [del]49ers[/del] 27
garygnu - [del]49ers[/del] 26, Patriots 23
DEAD IN THE WATER:
notfrommensa - [del]Falcons[/del] 35, [del]Bengals[/del] 24
Airman Doors, USAF - [del]Steelers[/del] 24, [del]Saints[/del] 21
Jackknifed Juggernaut - [del]Steelers[/del] 33, [del]Saints[/del] 31
Stink Fish Pot - [del]Steelers[/del] 21, [del]Saints[/del] 20
Suburban Plankton - [del]Packers[/del] 35, [del]Steelers[/del] 21
Blunt - [del]Packers[/del] 54, [del]Broncos[/del] 6
PSXer - [del]Broncos[/del] 22, [del]Packers[/del] 21
MemoryDump - [del]49ers[/del] 24, [del]Ravens[/del] 17
Gray Ghost - [del]Ravens[/del] 27, [del]49ers[/del] 16
PacifistPorcupine - [del]Ravens[/del] 24, [del]49ers[/del] 17
Jules Andre - [del]Ravens[/del] 28, [del]49ers[/del] 26
Oakminster - [del]Saints[/del] 31, [del]Ravens[/del] 13
Frank - [del]Saints[/del] 27, [del]Ravens[/del] 24
Omniscient - [del]Saints[/del] 38 - [del]Ravens[/del] 17
Shinna Minna Ma - [del]Ravens[/del] 24, [del]Packers[/del] 17
wheresgeorge04 - [del]Packers[/del] 31, [del]Ravens[/del] 14
Locrian - [del]Ravens[/del] 28, [del]Packers[/del] 21
Wolverine - [del]Packers[/del] 35, [del]Ravens[/del] 24
Hamlet - [del]Packers[/del] 31, [del]Ravens[/del] 23
Justin_Bailey - [del]Packers[/del] 28, [del]Ravens[/del] 20
It’s Not Rocket Surgery! - [del]Packers[/del] 28, [del]Ravens[/del] 17
Fear the Turtle - [del]Ravens[/del] 20, [del]Packers[/del] 17
Enginerd - [del]Ravens[/del] 23, [del]Packers[/del] 20
Chessic Sense - [del]Packers[/del] 27, [del]Ravens[/del] 23
sitchensis - [del]Packers[/del] 34, [del]Ravens[/del] 17
SenorBeef - [del]Packers[/del] 38, [del]Ravens[/del] 31
And since we have only one player remaining with both teams alive, I’ll impartially bestow myself my second SDMB Early Super Bowl Pick Contest trophy, winning it in exactly the same fashion as in the Year 5 version.

And as the only player to win this honor twice, let me just say: “Wooooohoooooooo!!!”

Thanks for playing, everyone!

Dude…consider the source, and don’t even bother responding. He’s got enough to be sad about – no need pointing out things like reality to bring him down even further.