Alberta votes on Monday May 29 - Thoughts? Predictions?

Politics & Elections
21

Alberta’s corporate tax rate is currently 8%. (Active Business Income) The lowest of any Province or Territory. If Alberta raised this rate back to 10%, as it was January 2020, then Alberta would have the lowest Corporate tax rate of any Province or Territory.

For business investment income, Alberta currently has the lowest tax rate (8%) of any Province or Territory. Again, if they raised this to 10%, they’d still have the lowest business investment income tax rate in the country. (next is 11.5%)

Alberta’s personal tax rate is fairly regressive, with a flat 10% rate on all taxable incomes up to $134,238. This means that if you’re making above $60,000 or so, you’re paying the lowest in the country. If you’re making less, you’re likely paying more than others in the country. Soak the poor.

I’m willing to bet that your coworker is blissfully unaware of these basic facts.

22

I guess that’s just bizarre and inappropriate me. I really should be careful to not say those things, eh?

23

I couldn’t say who is going to win. It isn’t going to be the Liberals, or eleven other parties. Based on the national news it will come down to Calgary. Most Albertans I know are sensible, but all of the Albertans I know have an opinion. Turnout will be relatively high.

I don’t think the personal recommendations of Nenshi, Harper or Kenney will carry that much weight. Rural districts will favour the Conservatives, and Edmonton the NDP. The oil patch will favour the Conservatives. Both party platforms have crazy elements and unfunded promises. The Alberta NDP has been wise to keep some independence from the federal party. As for the wildcards of wildfires and my views on Alberta’s medical needs, well who can say?

24

It seems that Smith’s final messaging was basically “Notley is Trudeau’s buddy. I hate Trudeau, and you do too, so vote for me.”

25

Well, I voted. It was not crowded at all, but then, it was also over the dinner hour, so it was not surprising.

I don’t know what the likely result will be, but having voted, I feel that I’ve earned the right to complain if I don’t like the result. :slightly_smiling_face:

26

Why wait? Smith’s already the Premier and anyone who wants to emulate Ron DeSantis deserves all the heckling they get.

27

I wish I could vote, but being here on a work permit I can’t. I do, however, have a big orange sign in my yard, and crossed fingers for the sanity of the province.

28

Polls have closed and the talking heads are just filling air until the votes start coming in.

29

UCP 14 (leading)
NDP 4 (leading)

But less than a thousand votes counted yet.

30

UCP now leading with 35, NDP leading in 17

44 needed for majority

Some of the “leading” seats have vote counts in the low 10s, because advance polls have been counted in some ridings.

31

UCP now leading with 47
NDP leading in 25

NDP leading in popular vote, 53% to 47%

32

UCP at 50
NDP at 32

Pop vote now at 53%, NDP at 43%, but only 2% of votes counted.

Talking head castigating Elections Alberta for slow returns.

33

still talking about slow returns. Talking head says that in 44 of the ridings, the margin between the two candidates is 20 votes or less.

57,000 votes counted, out of potential 2 million voters

34

That’s pretty hard to believe. But if the Conservatives won most of Calgary they’ll probably win, as the predictions I saw suggested.

35

Talking head says that all the seat numbers are still “leading” - no projections to win yet, an hour and a half since polls closed.

36

Earlier polling said 76% chance of a UCP majority, so that would be my bet, though certainly not my wish.

37

First projection of a win in a seat: Danielle Smith.

38

I wore my Bob the Angry Flower baseball hat today in solidarity with Rachel Notley. (It’s a cartoon by her brother Stephen.).

39

185,000 votes recorded; over 40 seats where the current margin is less than 100 votes.

40

Notley won her seat. The two leaders are going back.

That’s about it from Elections Alberta, over two hours since the polls closed. Two seat projections, out of 87 seats.

I’m off to bed.