Alberta votes on Monday May 29 - Thoughts? Predictions?

CTV has just declared a UCP victory–52 seats to 35–but some ridings have yet to be definitely decided.

If it stays like that, it will exactly match the 338 seat projection. Those guys nailed it.

Madness. Absolute folly. And we had the United States as an object lesson as well.

Interesting that Albertans had 15 parties to choose from. My riding only had four. Never mind.

Some real squeakers in the Calgary area.

A few more UCP wins at around the 100-200 vote range. A real battleground next election. Compare this to the riding of Drumheller-Stettler where UCP’s Nate Horner was able to pull over 80% of the vote. Safest seat I’ve seen anywhere.

Dinosaurs!

So there’s the UCP, NDP and you said 13 other parties in play? The reason I’m asking: on Google, they only list a few and some are uhmm defunct.

In Edmonton and Calgary, the UCP took 12 out of 46 seats. A real big-city weakness.

Look on the bright side – at least Notley isn’t going around claiming the election was “rigged”! :grin:

You can’t handle TheTooth!

(Sorry. Just wanted to say that. As a medical man you could guess my opinions. I would like lower taxes and smaller government too, but not at the expense of compassion nor necessary services.)

Not at all surprised, except maybe a little bit by Calgary. But the patch speaks loudly.

Well, as I said before, many people “know” that the NDP caused the world price of oil to plummet last time they were in government.

Notmey.

I see no bright side to coddling the likes of Take Back Alberta or letting hospitals collapse. I just hope Smith’s policies don’t ruin the lives of too many non-UCP supporters.

While I don’t agree with the result, it appears to have been a free and fair election. There were a few minor shenanigans (mainly sign destruction), but all in all, this appears to be Alberta’s choice. But I think they have chosen… poorly. The UCP is going to make the lives for anybody not rich more miserable. Higher costs for less services, but again, this is what they wanted to combat “wokeism”. I certainly won’t be moving to Alberta anytime soon.

The failure of the Left to take advantage of a partially insane opponent is a major thread by itself.

But the anti-woke sentiment is a real thing across not only among right-wingers, but centrists and swing-voters. It is, I believe, a reaction to decades of demands by special interest groups and the ceding of power to them.

It’s not the left’s fault conservatives are not rational people. They’re grownups, they can see for themselves what Smith is like just as well as I can.

You can tell how organized a party is by how many candidates they can field; in this election the UCP and NDP were the only parties able to pull enough people to contest the full 87 seats in the legislature. The Greens couldn’t muster half of that (41), the Liberals not even half of that (13).

This was mostly a two party race with ample choice for protest voting. We got yer crypto-Liberals (Alberta Party), yer commies (Communist Party), yer religious cults/fanatics (Solidarity Movement/Pro-Life Alberta), TWO provincial separatist parties (Wildrose or Alberta), and the rest are a hodge-podge of the provincially centric nutjob rightwing (Wildrose Loyalty, Advantage, Reform, and Buffalo).

I don’t think you can interpret these results this way. Alberta is overwhelmingly conservative, and this was a very close election. A couple of thousand votes in Calgary made the difference. The NDP only won last time because of a vote division between two conservative parties. The fact that they made this close is remarkable and speaks to Smith’s unlikability.

IIRC, the CBC did a poll a few days before E day and their poll showed 52% for the cons and 44% NDP. The final results were almost identical.

Here is a reasonable summary of the election for non-Canadians.