- Why are you assuming anyone owns a home? Most people move out of their parents houses and rent, right?
- While a person probably does become more established in their religious belief with ge that is still miles away from your belief that every single person becomes totally fixed and never, ever converts. I still don’t understand why you can’t even imagine a 30 year old person changing heir religious belief. Are you willing to just take my word that this happens, or do you need m to provide actual examples of it happening before you will believe that it does indeed happen?
Not really. The vast majority of biographies are of fairly normal people in interesting times. People who were exactly like hundreds of millions of other people for the most part. I know hat if you haven’t read extensively it’s easy to get the idea that all biographies are of great men, but that isn’t true. Biographies are actually fairly representative of society. Think “Great Gatsby” or “Grapes of Wrath” rather than “James Bond”.
- Once again, why assume “well into adulthood”? JWs visit people of all ages, and they have no idea how old the people living in a house are.
- “well into adulthood” and “how profound” are way to vague to discuss. Not least of all because a change from Baptist to JW (for example) is not itself a profound change.
I can only say that you have had an extremely atypical life experience, which may explain why you find it unimaginable that anybody every changes faith. Statistically over half of all people have moved away from their chidlhood faith at some point in their adult life.
I gave you those examples because you said that you couldn’t couldn’t even imagine a single human being doing so. Well you don’t need to imagine it because it actually happened to those people, who you know. Lennon I specifically included because his experience was actually fairly typical of that of many, many baby boomers.
As I pointed out, all my life experience and all the biographies that I have read lead me to believe that at least half of all people undergo a major religious transformation in their adult life. Now that I have bothered to find the stats they support my experiences and are in total contradiction to your experience of nobody ever changing religion in their adult life.
The simple fact is that most people undergo a major religious transformation as adults.
What do you mean again? You said “adult”. The legal and social definition of adult in pretty much every jusridiction in the western world is 18. I am using adult in the normal way. It is you who are being odd and using unconventional definitions by suggesting that adult is older than 30.
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A bit, certainly, but once again my experience and reading tells me that >33% of people over 30 undergo a major shift in religious belief. Having children seem tot be a major driver in people changing their spiritual outlook and the average age for first child for suburban couples is around 28.
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JWs have absolutely no way of knowing how old an occupent of a house is or whether they own the property or not. Lots of young people rent houses, right?
Once again, my experience tells me that this is completely incorrect. Just as a great many people in their 30s and 40s are changing their political outlook to become more conservative they are also changing their spiritual outlook. In fact I would not be at all surprised if more people experienced major shifts in religious belief between 28 and 38 then between 18 and 28.
I can’t imagine we will ever find stats on this, so I can only say that everything I know and have experienced tells me that you are comepletely wrong to say that people in the 2808 bracket are settled in. I’m in that age bracket myself and I know far too many who were/are not to believe that. The very act of settling down and having kids prompts some major soul searching in most people of that age.
I have no idea what you think this tells you, but whetever you are thinking, it’s based on faulty logic.
You apparently don’t realise that there are only ~40, 000 people convert to the religion ever year. That’s about the same as the number of people who die in traffic accidents every year. I bet none of your neighbours ever died I a car crash either. That doesn’t mean it doesn’t happen, does it? Nor does it mean that your neighbours are statistically less likely to die in a car crash, does it?
All it means is that you are discussing a fairly rare event and the odds of you actually living next door to someone who it effects is incredibly remote.
AS I pointed out, that is not the intent of marketing of this type. Never has been, this marketing strategy works because it encourages people to question their current beliefs and it makes sure that your alternative is being considered by those who are looking for an alternative.
IOW you are totally missing the point. There [ii]is* no right moment. No more than McDonald’s adds are trying to target people specifically when the are hungry. The whole point of these campaigns s that they know that most people will get hungry, and when they do hey are aware that your product exists and have easy access to it.
There’s nothing novel here. Door to door salesmen used to use exactly the same tactic. Commmonly they’d call in the morning and say they only had a few minutes but wanted to leave a sample. Then they’d call back that afternoon or the next day after the customer had started questioning whether there current product was good enough and build on any desire they had created.
That is why JWs keep calling back. The seed is planted and hopefully the desire will grow and when it does they’re there to encourage it.
Again, you can deny that this technique works, but lots of multi-billion dollar organisations are quite cure that it does.
Nope, you’re completely missing the point. See above. Or better yet look at some of the numerous website on effective cold–calling/door-to-door canvassing. You’re effectively saying that door to door sales don’t work because most we know most people don’t actively want to change try a new product at any point in time. In fact we know that cold calling is one of the most effective ways to get people to switch product.
It has absolutely nothing to do with the success rate. Door-to-door was killed by two factors: the widespread adoption of TV and an increase in white collar wages. It simply wasn’t economically competitive. That’s why it was extremely common up to the early sixties but largely died by the late 60s. If you have limited money and number sof free workers door to door remains the tactic of choice. And guess what the JWs have?
No, it’s not different, and the efficiency you are talking about is economic efficiency, not adoption efficiency. That is why the kids selling popcorn is no different wand why it works: low loverheads, high adoption rate.
I’ll repeat: this is a religion, not business. The idea isn’t to make maximum money from investment. It’s to maximise the message being heard and adopted.
This just makes no sense.
- They are not different for the reason I gave: in both cases you are trying to get people to question their current belief system and adopt your alternative.
- I have no idea what relevance short term or long term choice has. The only difference it makes is that the door to door campaign has to be prolonged for long term choice. Is >100 years long enough do ya think>?
- The vacuum comment is totally mystifying.
What numbers? The number of converts per salespersons readily availble on the JW website. But what does that tell you? You have been claiming that it is less successful than something else? What numbers will allow you to gauge that?
It is the only use of the resources. The only resource you have are people’s time. JWs don’t tithe so there is no money available. What else are yo going to do with people’s time?
Once again you totally miss the pint. The aim is definitely not to generate goodwill. The task is to get a message heard and adopted.
The Salvation Army generates a lot of goodwill. How many people know what the SAs core beliefs are? More importantly how many people convert as a result of all that goodwill?
Huh? This is a total non sequitur? Catholic Missionaries are primarily there to help people, not to gain converts. They mostly work I countries that are already overwhelmingly Catholic. Why in the world would they want to convert anybody
In short, WTF is your point with this statement? I asked is their any evidence at all that more people would here the message through the technique of building playgrounds. Your response does not in any way answer or even address that issue.
Do you have a shred of evidence for any of this stuff that you claim?
If you can’t provide any then we’ll leave it here, The simple facts (supported by evidence) are:
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Most adults experience major religious conversion in their life, contrary to you being unable to imagine even a single adult doing so.
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Door to door cold calling is one of the, and probably the, most effective ways to change people’s belief systems on a limited budget.
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You have absolutely no evidence at all that any other technique works any better at gaining converts.