Any guess at the 2012 Grammy nominees/winners?

Who, at this juncture, look like the likely nominees (and winners, if you feel like guessing) for the 2012 Grammys? (They will be held on February 12.)

Song of The Year/Record Of The Year
(These are separate, but I’ll leave them together because I can’t figure out if they will vary from each other)
Adele - Rolling In The Deep (biggest favorite in years - should win)
Maroon 5/Cristina Aguilera - Moves Like Jagger
Foster The People - Pumped Up Kicks
Tony Bennett & Amy Winehouse - Body & Soul (have to believe the Grammy people will feel compelled to nominate this)
Katy Perry - Firework (won’t win but Katy may lots of nominations because of her continued huge sales)

Album Of The Year
Adele - 21
Kanye West - My Beautiful Dark Twisted Fantasy (won’t win because rappers always underperform Grammy expectations, and because West is a dick)
The Decemberists - The King Is Dead (Arcade Fire won this last year, so another indie-type band will get a nom)
Paul Simon - So Beautiful or So What (Paul is a NARAS favorite)
Coldplay?

Best New Artist
I have no idea.

What else is likely, in these or other categories? I don’t have a lot of other opinions, except that Weird Al should win Best Comedy Record.

I think a little lady named Adele is a sure bet.

Adele is going to clean up, and rightly so. I also hope that she’ll perform on the show, perhaps for the first time since her surgery - showing that she didn’t lose her chops (the way Julia Andrews did).

No, he needs to be nominated and win. Then be pushed off stage by Taylor Swift. Preferably a very tall stage.

There are other potential nominees?