As pointed out you would have a primary between the two Representatives. What tends to happen is that the dominant party would try to draw the lines to eliminate a position from the other party anyways.
If there was a primary AOC would have a very good shot at winning it, so I don’t think she’d immediately think of jumping to a Senate run.
AOC did better in Queens than she did in the Bronx. This wasn’t a ‘conventional wisdom’ primary result.
And the poll was conducted by a group called “Mobilize the Message” which is a funny name for a pollster. Googling them doesn’t turn up much.
I wouldn’t just take this poll with a bag of salt; I’d just chuck it into the garbage. But I guess the readers of the Washington Examiner are suckers for crap like this that confirms their prejudices. The question is why a Doper would bother to cite an article in an extremely biased publication, about a poll sponsored by a blatantly biased organization, conducted by a ‘pollster’ with a name that sounds more like the name of an activist group, that barely seems to have existed outside of conducting this poll. (Yeah, I know the last wasn’t immediately obvious, but the first three should have sufficed.)
If the Democratic Party is stupid enough to even consider redistricting one of the party’s rising stars out of her seat, it goes a long way to explain why the party is so fucking ineffective.
The guy who conducted that poll is Justin Greiss, who is basically a Rand Paul acolyte and general crackpot. Link. Why anyone would think of him as running a poll that should be cared about is silly. And I’m not an AOC fan myself.
Push polls aren’t actually polls. Garbage in = garbage out.
It’s all Democratic. It’s Democrats trying to figure out which one of them has to leave the delegation.
Wow.
Color me shocked.
Queens is Crowley’s home turf and AOC seemed to be running a Bronx campaign.
I thought it was weird that so many low income residents in her district were upset about Amazon headquarters jobs. If they’re really young millennials then I can see where that sentiment came from.
Anyways, I don’t live there any more but most of the folks I know there are kind of confused by how AOC is their representative.
Currently 5 of New York’s 27 congressmen are Republican.
Yeah, this seems like a push poll to me too. Just reminding people that AOC cost them tens of thousands of jobs that they probably didn’t want anyways but at least she is proposing practical solutions to their problems like the Green New Deal.
NY is poised to lose 2 congressional seats. It’s tough to see how they will squeeze out 2 more Republicans in upstate New York, Long Island and Staten island in a state that only went 60% Democrat in the last presidential election. How much more gerrymandered can you get?
I think they are looking at losing at least one Democrat, probably two.
The 27th is currently vacant and it seems to usually go Republican too.
How exactly do you chop up Buffalo so it goes Democrat?
Dude, they have software for gerrymandering now. Quit acting like you can eyeball it.
Well, I have no big feelings about her one way or another, but I won’t lament the demise of the district per se, since it looks the most un-natural of all of New York’s relatively reasonable districts --which are the height of sanity compared to a lot of states. In other states, her district would be one of the more reasonably-drawn ones. (Which isn’t to say there aren’t weird-looking situations if you look at culture and influence zones rather than just looking to make sure there are compact, straight lines, for instance, Ithaca doesn’t seem particularly close to Jamestown, and there’s no particular reason the Finger Lakes region should be split between the Southern Tier, Syracuse, and the Buffalo Suburbs while being completely cut off from Rochester, but at least they don’t zigzag across the East River.)
The 10th Congressional District looks pretty funny looking too.
When one of their rising stars doesn’t believe in the party and starts a PAC to fight against incumbent democrats as well as republicans it becomes more believable.
From the map, the 7th, 14th and very specially the 10th districts could take some rationalization in a future redistribution. But with seats getting lost I only foresee more creative land surveying to protect valued members.
If the Justice Democrats efforts cost some seats of other well established members with valuable seniority (which is what bringeth home the bacon), I suspect the New York state legislature from both sides of the aisle will not go out of their way to diagram Miss OC a friendly safe territory.
So far she’s only targeted shitty Democrats in safely blue districts. Why is that a bad thing?
If the party sets itself against young, talented, and energetic progressives, it has no future. We should be ecstatic that someone as amazingly talented at such a young age is a Democrat. In 15 years she could be the next Obama.
She is so far left of Obama that they might as well be in a different party. Which is her point. I don’t see a problem with most of the party not wanting to be made into a far left party. If you are on the far left good for you but don’t expect everyone to follow along just because someone is popular or energetic. The future doesn’t have to be on the far left.