Not only am I going to get one as soon as I can, but I’ll go out on a limb and say that this may be one of the most successful computing devices in history, and a real paradigm shift towards a new way of using computers.
Of course, it’s going to come down to the apps that are available for it, but the stuff available at launch is very encouraging.
For example, have a look at The Elements. Ooh, big deal - it’s a periodic table on the iPad. But look at the interface - look at the seamless data interchange with the internet. Look at how you can interact with it. It’s amazing.
Now multiply that by thousands of applications that will eventually be available that provide similar access to other types of data. Imagine downloading manuals for equipment that have 3-D expanded views you can rotate, and videos showing you how to do certain things. Yes, you can do this on a PC or netbook now, but it’s different having it in tablet form right in front of you when you’re working on something.
eBooks look amazing. The iPad is the only device that can play every eBook format on the market, plus all the free eBooks. I was going to buy a Kindle because I like my wife’s, but now I can use this thing - the Kindle was $250, so now I’m only looking at a $250 premium for all the other features.
The full-size touch keyboard looks like it will be plenty useful for short typing like E-mails and blog comments and such.
The Marvel iPad App is another example of something that sounds like a yawn (“Oh, so I can read comics. Who cares?”). But in fact, if you watch the video you’ll see that it has the potential to completely change the way graphic novels and comics are presented. It’s almost cinematic.
There’s an app that’s simply a physics engine for dealing cards and manipulating chess and checkers pieces - that turns your iPad into a game table you always have with you. There’s a scrabble app that uses your iPhone or iPod touch to show your rack of tiles, and all you do is flick them and they ‘land’ on the board on the iPad (using bluetooth to connect everything).
None of these are killer apps for everyone, but a lot will be a killer app for someone. If that results in huge market penetration, then major development efforts will move to the iPad, and you’ll be able to do things you simply can’t do on any other device.
I think they’ll eventually be just as common as the iPhone/iPod touch. That means tens of millions sold, and a huge market for applications.
Why doesn’t it have a camera? That seems obvious - if you want people to use these on a bus or a train, in school, in meetings, or in other public spaces, the existence of a camera could be a liability. Schools are already banning cell phones that have cameras. When I was at my daughter’s music recital, I tried recording the whole thing with a digital flip cam, and I got so many dirty looks from people I had to shut it down other than when my daughter was performing. No one wants their mistakes to become the next Youtube viral video. So leaving the camera off should increase acceptance of the device in public places.