The game ends in mid December? That’s the blink of an eye in terms of investing. Any stock you pick could do anything over such a short time frame.
eunoia is right BTW…you wouldn’t know if someone gave you a bad stock just by looking at its history…stocks that have been going up can go down, and stocks that have been going down can go up. Believe it or not.
My advice to you is to think along these lines: between now and December is when a lot of money gets spent at retailers in this country. If you think this is going to be a good holiday season for Target, WalMart, KMart, Sears etc than you might expect their stock price to go up between now and the middle of December. If you think this will a poor holiday season (Iraq, budget questions, etc) than you might expect those retailer’s stock prices to go down.
You also might want to consider whether the recent election in California might change the mood in that state…it comprises a huge chunk of the American economy…for the better. If you think that Arnold is going to solve the problems there than you might expect companies that either have a lot of their facilities in California or do a lot of business there to experience a quick bump in their stock price.
That’s my advice. It is worth exactly what you paid for it.