We all know about Trump’s base. They are dedicated. They are passionate. And, in spite of Internet Research Agency attempts to imply otherwise,* their numbers have held fairly steady since Trump was inaugurated. No noticeable bumps up have occurred.
But could that change as the Trump fans get more and more mired in Trump’s swamp of indecency? Could what seems to be a campaign by Trump to be ever-more disgusting, actually pay off for him?
Yesterday, chess grandmaster Garry Kasparov was responding to reports about Trump’s most recent rallies (June 28 in Fargo and July 6 in Montana), at which he mocked John McCain, ridiculed the “points of light” volunteerism campaign of the former president whose wife recently died, discussed forcibly conducting DNA testing on a US Senator, referred to the MeToo movement derisively, and claimed that the IQ of a US Representative who’d challenged him was in the “mid-sixties.”**
Kasparov tweeted:
As the crowds cheer Trump’s indecency, they take on that indecency—and this ties them more closely to him. If he loses, then they will be exposed to the eyes of the world as disgusting and disgraceful pariahs. But if he wins, they will be carried along with him–winners, too.
The coarseness and offensiveness Trump shares with his fans makes them not just his supporters–it makes them fervent zealots. They will do anything to keep him in power–because if he loses power, they themselves will be revealed as contemptible.
I don’t believe Kasparov was suggesting that Trump has figured out all of this–but instead, that it’s the natural instinct of the bully to gain followers by making them feel that no one else will have anything to do with them, deplorable as they are. So the bully wins, not just by behaving more and more deplorably—but by making sure that his followers participate in the indecent and vile conduct. Laugh at the disabled, mock the dying, ridicule the elderly widower…it ties them more closely to him. This is a function his rallies serve (in addition to feeding his ego, of course).
If this is a valid observation, then we can predict that Trump will be looking for new lows to hit—for things to say and do that are ever-more abhorrent and ugly.
I would suggest that merely shrugging at this—saying ‘it’s Trump, what can you do?’—is something we’ve been doing all along, and we know that it has little effect. But making a concerted effort to point out the tactic might have some potential for derailing it.
We’ve all simply assumed that Trump says horrible things because he’s a horrible person, and his fans are horrible people too, and there’s nothing more to say about it. But maybe that’s not all there is, here–maybe Kasparov is right, and there’s a psychological dynamic that’s worth shining a spotlight on.
*most recently with the rather lame ‘walkaway’ attempt at meme-creation
**The rallies: one account is at https://www.cnn.com/2018/07/06/politics/donald-trump-montana-speech/index.html