Butt-Hurt Trump Takes to Twitter Again (Part 1)

Are you saying that you don’t believe that the technique used was appropriate for the data? If so, do you have another one to propose? To put it another way, it appears you’re suggesting foregoing the mathematical model in favor of eyeballing it.

What “technique”?? All they’ve done is do a linear fit (linear regression) to a noisy data, and show that best-fit line. All it says is “if there is a trend, it’s downwards.” And that’s averaged over the whole 5 months. They haven’t even show how good those fits are (no correlation coefficient, no chi-square value, no P value).

If the question is “Has the Strongly Approve number declined over the past 5 months”, then this analysis is appropriate, if they’d show us how good those fits are.

If the question is “is the Strongly Approve number continuing to decline now”, then you need to ignore the initial drop, and look at the past few months of data. I’m an astrophysicist so I’d do this by doing a chi-square linear fit and reporting the chi-square value and the 1-sigma error for the slope. I imagine analysts in other fields may calculate the p value against a null hypothesis that the number is unchanged over time.

p.s. That is how I would analyze the numbers to show there is no correlation, but really, eyeballing the data is enough in this case. I have never come across a case where eyeballing the data shows no correlation, but statistical analysis showed a correlation. The reverse happens all the time though. The human brain is very good at seeing patterns; it sees patterns even when there isn’t any.

I’d be curious to see how some of the other analysis would come out.

Today’s treasure trove of batshit from the President of the United States of America:

And people still seem to insist this is somehow normal, not unhinged in any way at all.

Well, Paula Jones established that President’s aren’t immune to civil suits. Also, that lying under oath during a civil deposition is grounds for impeachment.

I say let’s go for it. Trump is incapable of not lying. He mixes some truth in occasionally to keep things fresh, but this seems like a good way to get him gone.

All true. It’s Trump beating up on a woman yet again, and in a spectacularly childish way this time. He’s always childish, but this time this bag of shit really does seem to have jumped the shark. And he’s continuing it! What doe we have today? “Crazy Joe Scarborough and dumb as a rock Mika are not bad people, but their low rated show is dominated by their NBC bosses. Too bad!”

It’s official now if it wasn’t before: The voters have elected an eight-year-old brat for President. And the coverage does not stop at the borders. You should check out the international press. The world really is laughing at us now, and this will have ramifications on Traitor Trump’s so-called foreign policy.

If I had his vicious wit and his ability to tweet out things like that and destroy my enemies, I probably would do it, too.” - Charles Hurt“He’s like a verbal jiu jitsu artist!” -Kimberly Guilfoyl

“He’s the Ernest Hemingway of Twitter!” Corey Lewandowski

Hemingway???
:confused:

“For sale
Baby shoes
Never worn
Sad!”

Yup! Fits in 140! :slight_smile:

We can only hope the similarities continue to the logical conclusion.

Trump fills the White House with dozens of polydactyl cats?

It would be both more useful and more positive than anything else he’s done since last November.

“Vicious wit”?? Seriously??? The man has never said a witty thing in his life, vicious or otherwise.

My God, the President of the United States is fucking nuts.

The pro wrestling tweet specifically? Yes, it’s come full circle that’s all his campaign ever was.

Well, all of them really, but he’s definitely getting more and more deranged in a seriously big way.

This somewhat randomly-selected tweet in response to his CNN wrestling video sums up how his supporters feel about having a lunatic flying the airplane:

So, how long before this happens?

Probably why his own party is working to curb his power.

Trump on the cover of Time magazine.

I suspect he is actually fatter than that.

And his diaper is always full.