Can the Democrats win the Alabama senate special election in December?

I gotta say, the last time I saw that goddamned dial was back last November, when it started at 90% chance of Clinton victory, and over the night dropped and dropped.

Fucker is nightmare material.

From the 538 feed:

I really don’t know what they’re basing it on. I hope like hell they’re right and would love to be wrong on this, but everything I’m seeing now is looking more and more like a Moore win.

I’m reading that, if Moore loses, Bannon will blame McConnell. I think we may be witnessing the beginning of the end of the GOP.

And of course if Moore wins then the GOP will be called the pro-pedophilia party forevermore. Fun times.

By the way, if the margin of victory is 0.5% or less, it’s an automatic recount.

Hope not, one way or the other, I don’t think my nerves can take it.

Love your sig line.

But other than that he’s a fine person.

The wild flights of fantasy that I get exposed to here are the stuff of legends. I read an article after the November 2017 elections that said something like ‘Dems went from the window ledge to giddy’. That’s the feeling I get from reading posts here too.

ETA: The GOP is at just about the peak of power it’s held in decades, but you think tonight might be “the beginning of the end”?

With 77% in Jones is in the lead by 3,000 votes

Moore now up by only .7%, and most of the remaining counties have been swinging for Jones.

Heeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee!!!

Pretty much all gravy from here. :smiley:

I hope the giddy feeling distracts you from having to think about how the GOP nominated a child molester for Senate.

Still to early to say anything except that it’s extremely close. And shame on almost half of Alabama voters for supporting a guy who said that the last time America was great was during slavery.

This strange feeling…is it optimism? In 2017?

Great time for a hairball, cat. :rolleyes:

Well I’ll be…this could be an early Christmas present to humanity.

I did see that Talladega County, normally a good indicator of the state, had the vote nearly split. A potentially bigger indicator was Mitch McConnell saying that he wouldn’t seat the new senator until after the new year to preserve his tax bill. I just wonder how long he would hold out a duly-elected Senator. I mean he did block a vote on the SCOTUS and got away with it.

And what do they do with that power? They nominate child molesters and fuck over the middle class. Win or lose, the margin in ALABAMA shifted almost 30 points toward the Democrats.

The (tax bill) vote is probably going to happen before the results of this election are even certified, but I don’t think it makes a difference anyways. Isn’t a non-vote just as good as a “no” vote for purposes of whether the GOP passes the bill or not?

About 320 precincts left to report, and 90% of them are in Birmingham, Mobile and Montgomery, all of which has been heavy for Jones. NYT is at 84% chance for Jones to win.

Yertle doesn’t have to do very much either way. I’d expect a call for a recount either way, doubly so if Jones wins, and tactics similar to those used in Minnesota after the 2008 election to delay seating Jones as long as possible.