If there is anything like a saner head left in the GOP, it should be becoming clear to them that a Trump candidacy in 2024 would be not just a sure loser in the POTUS race but possibly disastrous downticket as well. (Yes, that’s what we all assumed in 2016, too, but let’s just assume it’s true going forward.) Other assumptions:
- Trump is alive, not in prison, no less capable of running than in 2020, and wants the nomination.
- Biden (or Harris) is beatable.
- There are other viable GOP candidates.
- No huge, unforeseen disruptions (e.g., large-scale war, zombie apocalypse) have occurred.
So those saner heads want Trump out of the way for 2024. Short of assassination or other criminal act, can they stop him from getting the nomination? Or will he, as in 2016, suck all the oxygen out of the room and dominate the primaries to an extent that the party has no other choice?