Canadian Election Prediction Thread: Contest, With A Real Prize!

Thank you all for participating. The winner of the contest is Helen’s Eidolon, whose predictions missed reality by just 13 seats total error out of all parties. Helen missed the Conservative total by 1, Liberal total by 3, Bloc by 7 and NDP by 1, and did not predict an indepedent, hence the score of 13. Helen, please E-mail me an address to send your prize to!

Oh, and, be glad the Election Prediction Project did not enter; they would have won, with a score of 12.

The final standings. Remember, low score is best:

Helen’s Eidolon - 13
Ms Macphisto - 16
cowgirl - 16
Kid_A - 16
spectrum- 21
qwest - 24
Raygun99 - 24
Grey - 27
Sam Stone - 28
Sunspace - 31
Governor Quinn - 31
severus - 35
Sgt.Pepper - 36
Polycarp - 38
Frank - 40
Flying Dutchman - 42
alice_in_wonderland - 44
kingpengvin - 44
RickJay - 44
dalej42 - 48
Nature’s Call - 54
bob_loblaw - 54
KarlGauss - 62
Leaffan - 67
Northern Piper - 69
borschevsky - 73
Cunctator - 74
Palooka - 120
Barbarian - 178

Intersting notes:

  1. Despite the large number of guesses, not a single person predicted the exact seat totals of the Conservative, Liberal or Bloc parties.

  2. However, **Sam Stone ** and **Nature’s Call ** did correctly guess the NDP total of 29 seats.

  3. The most frequently overestimated party was the Bloc, who were predicted by 25 out of 29 contestants to win more seats than they actually did.

  4. I finished tied for 17th in my own goddamn contest.

Thanks, everyone!

Wow. I guess this is one bright spot in my agony at the results! I’ll send you an email right now.