Well, the summer had all the business with the foreign election interference. It takes time for that to start moving people’s attitudes, and that probably explains some of the lag before the big drop around August. Then add in the India vs. Canada accusations, the screwup with the Nazi in the House of Commons, and now a war in Israel, and all those push people to the right, as they often think the Conservatives will be better at dealing with those problems.
Canada votes governments out more than it votes them in, and fatigue with the current government is rather understandably at all all time high after a series of gaffes.
Fatigue with the party in power, plus the constant drumbeat from media of "Trudeau, Trudeau, Trudeau! Look how much we hate him now!
I mean, there is an anti-Trudeau headline daily in the National Post. (Many of them are deserved. Many of them are not)
My mother in law (Calgary) now hates Trudeau passionately. She mostly looked at policies before, and could have a reasoned discussion. Now? She is a bag of emotional hate. What happened? She listens to Calgary talk radio and reads the “I hate Trudeau” newspapers. She now does not give a toss for policy.
But essentially the electorate becomes tired of the party in power, and when the opposition does their (political) job properly, they point out any errors of the government over and over and over (without necessarily saying what they would have done differently). Polievre is a very good politician, and does this very well. I don’t happen to think he’ll be a very good leader of government, but we’ll see.
Yeah, that all sounds about right.
In a way, this helps Trudeau hold on to power. No way is the NDP going to break their deal with polls like this. Both they and the liberals would wind up completely out of power. Instead, it looks like they are going to try to drive through their main agenda items (universal pharmacare being the current one) before they inevitably wind up on the sidelines.
Some Conservatives credit images of a kinder, sweater wearing Poilievre who comes across as less rabid. To some extent, a little, but the NDP seems a junior partner and Liberal fatigue real in many places for many reasons.
I’m somewhat tired of Trudeau; however, there’s no chance I could vote for the CPC because I don’t believe that PP can make things better. In fact, I’m absolutely certain that he will make things worse. Combined with the social conservatism that the Canadian right has been adopting. Support for the convoy. No viable climate change plan. It leaves me with only one option. Vote for whoever can beat the CPC locally.
Sigh. Which politician is behind door number three?
Uhhh… Singh?
Honestly, I’d like to see the NDP win just to end the back and forth of the two parties, but there is something about Singh I just don’t like.
I would much prefer Zombie Jack Layton. I don’t approve of his brain eating policy, but at least his policy is that everyone gets to eat brains.
I don’t dislike Singh, nor Mulcair or Layton. They have a few good ideas. But the NDP comes across as Liberal junior partners on some levels. The party may have some compassion, but sometimes struggle with fundraising, budgets (like all parties these days, to be fair), some social intolerance, and getting their views in the news.
Which to me translates into the continued stranglehold the Liberals and CPC have on our politics to the detriment of us all (unless your rich or a landlord).
Anyone else watching Wab Kinew being sworn in as the 25th Premier of Manitoba.
First indigenous Premier. What an amazing ceremony they put together. Awesome.
A great day for this country.
Minor correction: Kinew is the first First Nations premier, not the first indigenous premier. John Norquay of Manitoba was Métis.
Kinew is charismatic. And there aren’t many politicians who admit they made mistakes. Good on Manitoba for choosing him.
I have to state my opposition to Legault’s “plan” for English Québec universities. Short-sighted. Will hurt their economy and reputation. And it might well make the rationalizing non-problem worse, since it will mean more foreign students and fewer Canadian ones. I hope the federal government grows some spine here and student and faculty federations respond too. Legault my egault.
Apparently their legislature launched the Act last Dec. (within a United Canada Act)
Interesting to see what would come of this if “push came to shove”.
Saskatchewan has also threatened to stop remitting the carbon tax. This is blowback from Trudeau announcing that the carbon tax would be eliminated for eastern heating oil, but not for anyone else. Just last year Alberta was told that a key principle of the carbon tax is that everyone pays it, and there can be no exceptions. Except, I guess, when people whose vote you need start complaining.
The western provinces are serious. The Federal Government’s Net-zero by 2035 plan is simply not feasible on the prairies, and trying to achieve it would break us. So it’s not going to happen, and if Trudeau keeps trying to force the issue he’s going to wind up triggering a constitutional crisis.
Danielle Smith is going to have a hard time fighting anything if she keeps giving all your money to tv and radio stations to play commercials about how the rest of us are going to face blackouts.
If we try for net zero by 2035, we WILL be facing blackouts. Alberta has almost no power sources other than natural gas, a bit of coal, and some wind and solar, both of which are fairly useless here. And our grid partners are in the same boat.
We need to build more natural gas plants in the short term, and nuclear in the longer term.
Don’t forget Youtube! I have to admit that I’m surprised by the media blitz in Ontario from the government of Alberta.
I’ve noticed that Hydro One has started counter-propaganda around here, with ads that basically say, “Hey, don’t worry, we’ve got things in hand.” They don’t explicitly call out Alberta’s bullshit, but with the timing of it all, it’s pretty clear what they’re doing.