Presidents generally lose support over time as they invariably default on campaign promises and fail to satisfy everybody. The Big Beautiful Bill, for all its “conservative” bells and whistles, is impacting out-of-pocket health insurance costs for many of his younger supporters that rely on marketplace subsidies. And Mr. Trump’s 2025-26 foreign policy is a far cry from his 2016 campaign. Trump tarriffs were a hard sell in 2024 and it’s difficult to blame the economy on Democrats when your party has a trifecta; it is even more difficult to deflect responsibility for oil prices when you are the one poking the Middle East.
But these are gripes about governance. Even as Trump’s approval ratings decline and his agenda proves divisive, the electoral formula that returned Republicans to unified control is likely to remain the party’s organizing principle until it demonstrably stops winning elections.
Conservatives souring on Trump is real but not as dramatic as might be thought because Donald will let them have their way on a few issues without a fight.
The purpose of the bill is to bring down housing prices.
Trump is supposedly refusing to sign the bill because of insisting that the unrelated SAVE Act come first. But, actually, Trump is against the fundamental goal of the Housing Act. Associated Press:
So what will Trump do? Will he defy his party and veto the bill. My prediction is No.
If Trump wanted to annoy his congressional base without generating a lot of publicity on his desire to raise housing costs, Donald could try a pocket veto over the July 4 congressional recess. He won’t do that either. Johnson and Thune will, I expect, briefly open Congress during the recess in order to prevent a pocket veto, causing a bill Donald dislikes to become law, and without Trump making a big issue over it.
I mean, they’d have to meet and officially adjourn, wouldn’t they? Simply missing a pro-forma session doesn’t automatically put congress into adjournment.
Much of the speculation I saw on Trump’s move was that his intent was for a pocket veto rather than a regular veto as the latter can be overridden. The question then was if either house would be so spineless as to adjourn for him. (It is unclear to me if only one house adjourning would be enough.)
You’d think that after something like 235 years under this constitution, there would be clear precedents for all such questions about how the pocket veto works. But apparently it isn’t totally clear how long they have to be away for it to be an official ajounment.
My prediction is that Trump will not push for a pocket veto because he doesn’t want to force Johnson into a humiliating backdown.
I could see that happening if Trump has enough over Vance to force him to go along with it. That dirt might even be stuff Trump made Vance do in the first place. That’s very much a “wannabe Mob boss” move that seems very much on brand for Trump.
His tax bills did help out rich dudes. But most of his supporters arent wealthy.
That would be my guess also. Right Wing Populism is doing well all over the world.
Yes, they elected him again, but that was two years ago. He is corrupt-
President Donald Trump and his family continue to dominate the field when it comes to corruption, with two new scandals exposed just within the last 24 hours.
On Sunday, The New York Times reported that the Trump family stands to reap the financial benefits of a deal that gives the U.S. access to one of the earth’s largest reserves of tungsten, a metal needed to make fighter jets, computer chips, and missile warheads.
But he isnt getting away with everything-
The Supreme Court ruled that Mississippi can continue to count some absentee ballots received after Election Day, rejecting a Republican challenge to the state law.
The 5-4 ruling is a blow to ongoing efforts by President Donald Trump and the GOP to curtail mail-in voting ahead of the midterms.
“Nothing in the federal election-day statutes requires ballots to be received by election day,” the high court held.
Trump wrote after the ruling, “In light of the tremendous loss in the Supreme Court today … it is more important than ever to pass THE SAVE AMERICA ACT.”
and
The Supreme Court on Monday announced that it will not hear an appeal by President Donald Trump seeking review of the $5 million jury verdict entered against him in the sexual abuse and defamation case filed by journalist E. Jean Carroll. The petition for review was conferenced by the justices for the first time on June 25 after being first scheduled for a conference in February and then rescheduled more than a dozen times.
If by conservatives we mean Roberts and whichever other Republican justice he can join with on a disputed case, I do not see today’s ruling as a strong indication of souring.
The most important case today, when it comes to the question of whether Donald Trump is a dictator, is the reversal of Humphrey’s Executor: