Coronavirus COVID-19 (2019-nCoV) Thread - 2020 Breaking News

The situation in Switzerland is rapidly deteriorating.

They confirmed that the country was now more badly affected than its neigbours: it now has 495 cases per 100,000 inhabitants. Only France approaches these levels at 450 cases per 100,000. “We absolutely have to respect hygiene rules,” said Stefan Kuster from the Federal Office of Public Health.

Supposedly the feds will step in on Wednesday and they will make long term (3 months?) decisions to try to keep this mess getting even worse.

The excess death situation is not good. Any attempt to calculate it, of course, results in cries of data falsification from anyone determined to see COVID as “the flu”. 36% brings the total to about ~299K deaths due to COVID so far, which actually lines up with the CDC numbers recently released.

No, not New Hampshire. On May 1 we had 164 cases. The highest number of cases in the past month was 129 on October 24th, and there were 92 on the 25th, and 77 today.

I get my numbers from the Johns Hopkins site. They reported a record high on October 25 of 103 vases, and 99 at the highest in May

I see, though, that they’re doing some averaging on that plot.

43,777,133 total cases
1,164,515 dead
32,182,111 recovered

In the US:

8,962,783 total cases
231,045 dead
5,833,824 recovered

Yesterday’s numbers for comparison:

The world will go over 44,000,000 total cases tomorrow.

The US will go over 9,000,000 total cases tomorrow as well.

The second day with no new cases in Victoria. Some new cases in New South Wales, South Australia, and Western Australia; the only one I can find a number on is NSW at two new cases.
Looks like Australia’s about got it licked; let’s see if we can maintain it.

It can be done - it takes effort, restrictions, and inconvenience, but that’s a damn sight better than 697 deaths/million*, and an economy that’s going to be gimped for months to come. We’ll be back to normal-ish within a month or two; the US almost certainly won’t.

*Australia is at 35/million.

Not great news…

The Eli Lilly antibody trial had been cancelled in hospitalized patients. Per the article, not exactly shocking news, since the antibodies are more likely to help earlier in infections. Those other trials are continuing.

Things are continuing to accelerate in Wisconsin:

I’d been hoping to get in one more socially-distanced visit with my elderly parents in Green Bay before cold weather completely takes hold, but that looks like a truly bad idea now.

44,252,677 total cases
1,171,479 dead
32,447,505 recovered

In the US:

9,038,030 total cases
232,084 dead
5,877,964 recovered

Yesterday’s numbers for comparison:

Antibody therapy was specifically a suggested therapy for intensive care patients, and there were observations that it was successful. So it’s not surprising that there was a trial, and a little surprising that the trial failed. You don’t normally go into a trial unless you’ve got a strong expectation that it will be successful.

French president Emanuel Macron announced that the country will go into lockdown, at least until the end of November; non-essential businesses will be closed, but schools and factories will remain open.

Meanwhile, German chancellor Angela Merkel announced new restrictions on gatherings and limiting bars and restaurants to carryout business.

I had been tracking the general serious spike up since my sister lives in Paris. The 50k new infections is still shocking. Recent numerous days where they had broken 20k was really bad given their population.

Given my sister complaining about lack of mask wear around her even during the initial lockdown, I am not surprised it came back pretty hard. Still this is really damn bad compared to the bad I was expecting.

44,774,935 total cases
1,179,232 dead
32,727,721 recovered

In the US:

9,120,751 total cases
233,130 dead
5,933,212 recovered

Yesterday’s numbers for comparison:

New records today:

The world with 504,419 new cases in a single day.

The US with 81,581 new cases in a single day.

True, but then you don’t normally go into a phase 3 study less than 12 months on from creating a therapeutic agent. Let’s just say that because of the urgency of the situation, clinical programs are being compressed to the point that you don’t - can’t - have the confidence of success that you might have in more normal circumstances. Or was that the point that you were making?

j

Interesting study on transmission in different contexts. Transmission depends on ventilation, duration and amount of talking/shouting. (nice visuals)

It appears the US is getting ready to completely blow away the previous record set the day before. Not looking good. Definitely not looking good around where I live.

Aye; I’m going to have to stop posting about records and just go back to noting milestones. Thing is, those milestones are all going to be coming a lot quicker now. And even quicker in the near future.

The US hit 9m cases, and it only took 12 days to climb from 8m. It is helpful that fewer cases are causing death than earlier on, likely due to the younger age and better care.

45,322,464 total cases
1,186,243 dead
32,994,673 recovered

In the US:

9,212,767 total cases
234,177 dead
5,983,345 recovered

Yesterday’s numbers for comparison:

As I said, it’s not going to be helpful to mark a new record every single day, so I’ll try and stick to milestones.

The world is now experiencing more than 500,000 new cases per day and over 7,000 deaths per day.

The US is now experiencing more than 90,000 new cases per day which is about 18% of all new cases worldwide. US deaths are now more than 1,000 per day also.