Wuhan writer/blogger Fang Fang has amazing courage standing up to the CCP and its handling of the coronavirus. She had 4.2 million Chinese followers.
My rural redneck retiree county easterly of Sacramento still reports only one isolated case from 12 days ago. The info page lists a second case but that’s a resident who hasn’t entered the county since testing positive, so the one is all we have here. Do other counties, boroughs, or parishes in the US also report minimal cases?
I found this disturbing: conflicting information about COVID-19’s transmissibility and infectious capability via the digestive system.
On the AP: Why health experts aren’t warning about coronavirus in food
On Today’s website: Diarrhea, nausea or vomiting may be first coronavirus symptoms in some patients (Some people may have the “gastrointestinal version” of COVID-19).
Here’s a dashboard for Alabama (which I look at on a daily basis, as that’s where one of my clients is located). As of right now, they still have eight counties without a reported case (all in the more rural southern half of the state), and a number of counties with only 1-3 reported cases so far.
Finger Lakes New York: only one case diagnosed in my county so far, and also only one reported in another area county, two in another, four in a third.
36 in one of the adjacent counties, though. And of course almost nobody has been tested. I’m expecting the numbers to go up.
And here’s a story of “It’s my party, dammit!”
Police charge parents with child endangerment after they throw a bat mitzvah Party with 50+ participants:
The Coast Guard is telling cruise ships with sick passengers to stay out of US ports, and to go to the countries whose flags they sail under.
Wow! This is shocking considering that those ships are often packed with Americans. I could maybe understand only allowing Americans to disembark, but this seems pretty extreme to not allow anyone off the ship.
With almost 7,000 confirmed infections, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis finally issues a stay-at-home order.
In America, younger patients seem to be at a higher risk than in other countries:
Personal hypothesis for the discrepancy:
If you vape or smoke, you might want to be extra careful.
I think all states have them. Just Google some variation of say “Kansas virus rates” or something.
He reminds me of the Mayor of Amity Island in the movie Jaws (scared of losing tourist revenue).
The lady on the Task Force (Brix?) said yesterday that stuck with me, as a warning for states and cities that are being slow to act: “If you wait until you see cases appearing in your area, the virus has already deeply penetrated your community”.
Technically, if they’re infected with a virus, they’re not healthy, are they?
Which brings to mind something I’ve been wondering: does using “asymptomatic” to describe a person mean that they’re only not showing symptoms right at that moment? If so, do such people develop some kind of symptom 100% of the time? I was wondering if this really was like Typhoid Mary (who never showed or felt any symptoms of typhoid, thus a big reason she was hard to contain).
Another hypothesis - size of the n.
Higher risk individuals, understanding themselves to be at high risk, are more commonly more compliant with social distancing as best they can. They are less likely to be in the “essential” workforce delivering food, packages, at the check out lines … Younger individuals? More often among the non-compliant and among those out there because they have one of those “essential” jobs. The number of infections are NOT likely to be evenly distributed by age cohort at this point but heavily overweighted to the younger who feel more invincible. (Making it up) 10% as likely to get very sick but ten times more likely to get infected by virtue of behaviors would mean same numbers per population size of the group. 13% of NYC is 65 plus. 44% is 19 to 50. I’d suspect the number infected among the 19 to 50 crowd is many more times that of the number of 65 plus individuals with infections.
Another something we’ll only know after seroprevalence studies are done.
Technically one can be infected and not ill. No symptoms, no dysfunction, and you are among the healthy even if you had the virus and cleared it.
If they develop symptoms they were, in retrospect, “presymptomatic”. The truly asymptomatic never get any symptoms. The grey zone are those who might develop some symptoms so minimal that they never even consider themselves as having been sick, let alone considering a COVID-19 diagnosis. It will be hard to parse those out.
DSeid, I’m curious about your views on the “pristine lung hypothesis”.
The US State deaths / million as of now, per worldometer (deaths) / wikipedia (pop), small territories mostly removed. These are going up FAST.
Italy…218
Spain…201
New York…114.1
Belgium…71
Netherlands…68
France…62
Louisiana…58.7
Switzerland…56
Luxembourg…46
New Jersey…40
Iran…36
UK…35
Michigan…33.8
Washington…33.4
Vermont…25.6 (relatively Luxembourg-sized small population)
Sweden…24
Connecticut…23.8
Denmark…18
Portugal…18
Massachusetts…17.6
Ireland…17
Austria…16
District of Columbia…16 (relatively Luxembourg-sized small population)
USA…15
https://www.wsj.com/articles/italys-coronavirus-death-toll-is-far-higher-than-reported-11585767179
Italy death toll higher than expected because many dead not being tested for the virus.
Just a couple of pixels in the bigger picture, but the White House Correspondent’s Association has kicked new Trump favorite One America News Network out of pool coverage of the daily WH press briefings, for violating social distancing guidelines two days in a row:
I’ll be gobsmacked if Mr. Trump doesn’t have something to say about that tomorrow.