De'endee Mafia

Lonely?

I desperately need a girlfriend.

I am usually not this boring, either. But guess what, here’s what YOU’ve been interested in all game.

**Normal Phase **

septimus- 1111111111111111111
Silver Jan- 1111111111111
pedescribe- 1111111
Kelly- 111111111111
stanislaus- 111
choie- 11
ATPG- 111111111111111111111
Diver- 111
Scathach- 11111
koldanar- 1111
special ed- 11111111
Inner Stickler- 11
MentalGuy- 11
Romanic- 11
ShadowFacts- 111111111
Lightfoot- 11111
gnarliecharlie- 111
Suburban Plankton- 1
TexCat- 1
Red Skeezix- 1
Hirka T’bawa- 1

I see I have betrayed my obsession with the Pizza.

Koldanar and Hirka are the same “person”, btw.

I have problems with both Septimus and choie currently. More in a bit.

Yes, but I felt including the separate posters was necessary for complete information’s sake.

I will be combining the data soon.

Septimus first:

“Let’s keep hunting for real scum” makes my nose twitch, Septimus. Just so you know.

This is outright false. You did defend yourself against Pizza’s accusations, in a piecemeal fashion, so don’t say you couldn’t defend yourself there. Even more to the point: Special Ed and I both voted you on the strength of Texcat’s observations about your OMGPizzaSucks vote being inconsistent with your own self-reported beliefs about how bad such votes have worked out for you in the past; and about your interactions with choie. I don’t remember whether you ever addressed the former point (you certainly COULD have – why did you vote for Pizza despite your track record with OMGUS?), but you did attempt to defend yourself against the latter.

FALSE! Voting inconsistent with your own beliefs (in very close proximity), and snuggling. That’s what got you near-lynched, not anything to do with Pizza.

Seriously, Septimus, what’s your point? My vote didn’t swing the result by itself; unless someone already voting for Silver Jan changed their vote after me (which is what actually happened), the odds of you being lynched over her were very slim. Ed, who did do that, was to all appearances town. Silver Jan was town. Even if I were scum there would be no possible machination going on here, and you should be able to recognize that.

You still haven’t addressed why you voted at the very last minute, and not right after Ed. Your own defense – that no one but you could have changed their votes to help you – works against you. If you believed no one was around to help, you could have voted right after Special Ed, and not with one minute to go. But you didn’t believe no one was around. You believed someone WAS (or could have been). That’s why you held your saving vote.

False. If you were paying that close attention you would have seen the last vote counts before your move, in which Silver Jan already had two votes, both placed on Special Ed. She was locked in. She could not have done anything to save herself. Astral even made a special note of it, due to Jan’s ambiguous unvote. And you were around to see that that was the case. You are lying.

So, you’re blaming Silver Jan for not being around to vote you to save yourself if had been scum – though you’re not?

This strikes as just so much hand-waving. It’s about all you can say in your own defense, but it’s not convincing. Why sit passive saying nothing and hope someone else will step in? And you’re contradicting yourself again – if you really hoped someone might step in and save you while you yourself say nothing, then you expected someone might be around. If you expected someone might be around, you can’t say you thought you had nothing to gain by speaking up earlier. You’re throwing the kitchen sink at this issue, but some of the parts are from a bathtub, know what I mean?

Separately …

I had some meta-created doubts last night and into this morning about you. Specifically, that almost no one was turning up and questioning your actions who sounded fake about it. (SP did, will get to that later too if it ever comes to the top of the to-do list. But he was the only one.) If you are scum, I would have really, really expected a stack of your fellows to come out and condemn you harshly for that move, just so they could say they’d done so later, if town in fact turned against you today (or if a vig killed you). Instead it was mostly crickets and has continued to be, even into this morning. It’s closer to what I’d expect to see if town was trying to do something stupid (from scum’s perspective), than if we were doing something right.

Secondarily, the case on choie has raised large doubts in me about her, and I still don’t particularly think you are both on the same mafia team due to that snuggling from you to her. Pair that with her defense of you, and I think that if she is mafia, she thinks you are town.

Thirdly, one-shot bulletproof is a classic defense (whether real or fake) for a third-party player, not for a scum, who’d have much higher incentive to claim doc. (AllWalker in Screamers had one-shot bulletproof (as SK); a survivor on Idlemafia recently had it; BillMc had it as an oddball third party, also on Idlemafia.)

Finally – you’re not acting like a TOWN bulletproof. You’re a talkative player, Septimus. Sure it gets you in trouble sometimes, but it’s still your best tool in getting yourself attacked by the scum – be right, and make yourself a tempting target. You’ve been, on the contrary, much quieter than usual. You also hinted quite strongly last night that you expected to be alive in the morning – this is the OPPOSITE of what you should do as a townie with that role. You want to encourage attacks, not dissuade them. But it is what you do if you are a third party and want to keep attackers from testing you.

So long story short, for a number of reasons I am currently leaning some sort of PFK on you, not scum, and not town.

@ Normal Phase, above-

Nice.

general comment-

Stupid thing I’m working on is almost wrapped up, but I’d still have to add myself and Romanic and Koldanar to the results, can’t keep eyes open. Then, once I’ve posted the thing I still have to try to remember why I did all this. Something about scums not mentioning each other much, probably. That will need some analysis-related parts of my brain to still be functional. Thank goodness this round ends on Thursday. I’m going to need half that time just to sort out what I’m driving at. I skipped ahead a bit and I have some notes- during the re-read, about 5 players stood out as potentially dangerous.

For now I’ll leave my vote on choie and observe septimus and choie’s reactions and everyone’s reactions to choie and septimus.

I suppose I should

unvote: Septimus

according to my guesses, as PFKs are rarely a direct early threat, especially with no sign of a traditional serial killer. (Although on the off chance of a non traditional one, may I ask that if the game contains a role whose purpose is to find bombs or booby traps or anything out of the ordinary, that they consider claiming? Thinking of my hybrid mad bomber/delayed serial killer role from last game.)

[OOG] Sorry I have not been posting, everyone. I’ve been laid up with a stomach bug that just won’t go away, unfortunately. I will be back and participating as soon as possible - I promise before the end of the Day no matter how I’m feeling. Sincere apologies! [/OOG]

Choie –

Mmm hmm. Vanilla claims are terrible for townies. Exactly the sort of “but she broke the “this is how to act townie” rules” thing that scum are so often bothered by.

Not my defense, my reason.

I’ve explained this a number of times, and I’m starting to have a very difficult time believing that your confusion on this point is genuine at all, even by “scum thinking a townie is acting anti-town” standards. My concern was never with scum getting the details of vanilla PMs. I assume they must already have at least one of their very own to look at, quite possibly more. My concern – as I’ve laid out multiple times – was with town power roles possibly outing themselves by the way they related (or failed to relate) to revealed vanilla PMs. Your criticism is beyond off base.

Nor, I might add, was I defending Jan, despite that it had that outcome, and despite that I did believer her at the time and later to be a townie. My concern was with the town power roles. All else was secondary or separate.

Rhetorical question. As Pizza likes to say, “who are you talking to”? Smacks of a contrived post.

Minor townie points for actually having a potential scum motive to back up this vote. Townie points taken away again for the contrived manner in which it is suggested, and for the fact that you are nevertheless still voting for the “weird” and the (in your opinion, perhaps) anti-town, which is right in the scum sweet spot.

I’m not going to respond to all of Pizza’s case again you; it’s just too much. But I’ll say that I agree with some of the things he sees as disingenuous in you, and particularly with the argument about Septimus-PIS. He didn’t highlight the sentence I found the most indicative, so let me go find it myself.

As an aside:

Mafia rarely defend each other (in games with reveals), which is far from saying it doesn’t happen at all. It’s just risky: even if it’s justifiable on logical grounds, there’s always going to be someone coming along later to say, “hey you defended Mr Scummo there! Lynch!” Better it be some hapless townie who gets that treatment, than you. Mafia DO defend townies, frequently. They defend them, they cuddle them, them compliment them, they do whatever their devious little minds can come up with to ingratiate themselves with the people who might otherwise vote for them.

Septimus’ compliments aimed at you – particularly given the content of your own post – looked like just that sort of subconscious desire for approval, finding an outlet. Pizza’s as regards Silver Jan looked more honest, at least to me. Your mileage may vary.

More distractions:

OK. Why do you point this out now?

At 6:59 and 30 seconds?

Actually they’re distinct in exactly that way. Scotsman roles are by definition revealed when “killed” (though sometimes a mod will not show alignment upon first “death”). Bulletproof only means that you can survive one (or more, depending on setup) kill attempt. I would not expect to see it in the writeup.

I might expect Septimus himself to be informed if he is attacked, if the role is genuine – otherwise he wuold never be aware of his own status as to whether the bulletproof still holds or not. So there is a point, regardless, though not necessarily a definitive one – it all depends on Astral.

I’m tempted to ask Septimus how he thought about all of this himself.

Why?

[oog] Glad your Dad’s recovering well, gnarly![/oog]

Normal, I was nodding along with the bulk of your last post to septimus, right until you got to your conclusion. I think he’s scum.

septimus has: evaded the case against him; gone out of his to way to manipulate the vote to save himself; produced an unverifiable roleclaim. (Particularly the way he not only doesn’t know who attacked him - common with Scotsman roles - but doesn’t even know if he’s used his power). These are all strong scum traits, but I can see how you could tag them as PFK. For me the most damning thing is that scum evidently didn’t feel the need to attack him.* If he were not scum, and had gone to such lengths to save himself, why would they not target him? Either they’re astonishingly paranoid or somehow didn’t think he was the most likely town power role out there.

But on a more general note, after I got fooled by a PFK claim last game, I’ve pretty much given up on the idea of trying to separate out PFKs. On sheer numbers, you’re more likely to find scum than PFK and there’s a bigger downside than upside to letting your suspect live a few Days longer. (E.g in this instance, if septimus is a scum blocker we lose N Days of results from Lightfoot). “Kill 'em all and let the mod sort 'em out” is my new motto.

*Unless they did and someone else killed special ed? But down this path of empty speculation lies madness.

I just realized that the thing I thought I saw as really blatant PIS regarding Septimus (from choie) wasn’t. I misread a pronoun (“we should be hunting real scum” as “he (ATPG) should be hunting real scum”).

I’m not certain enough to vote her in the absence of that comment given all the other names I have floating in my head right now.

I’m nervous about three “mislynches” in a row, Stanislaus. I’d very much like to get one of the Lords of Slaughter, and those items I mentioned (suspicion of choie slightly less so given the above, but I still have significant suspicion of her) are getting in the way of me thinking of him as one of them.

“Why would scum not target him”? They got his rather unsubtle hint and took it as him being bulletproof/scotsman or WIFOM-ing doc, and took it elsewhere for the night in hopes of a “mislynch” today. Without that hint I’d agree with you entirely. With it, I think it’s a great deal more ambiguous.

I need to look at Suburban Plankton in full, and let the choie case settle for what it is rather than what I thought it was, before trying to sort it out.

What I meant was this:

The Scum would quite possibly have not tried to kill you, considering that they apparently have a Roleblocker. You would be the most likely target for a Doc’s protection, so you would likely be a wasted kill attempt. But with a Roleblocker, they can keep you from acting and ‘shoot blind’ in an effort to find the Doc, or some other Town Power. So I said it was a combination of Point 1 (Scum have a Roleblocker) and Point 2 (Scum figured you would be protected). If not for Point 1 they might have taken a shot at you anyway, hoping that the Doc would protect someone else, or that there is no Doc in the first place. But with a Roleblocker they were free to target someone else, safe in the knowledge that you would be unable to act anyway.

Regarding the Paranoid Doc: It is certainly possible that a Paranoid Doc both protected you and blocked you. But I think it’s more likely that a Scum Roleblocker blocked you and that the Scum did not attempt to kill you.

I’m not so sure that **Septimus **was ‘snuggling’. I often find Septimus’ manner of expressing himself to be ‘unusual’, and for that reason I often find him suspicious.

Something that concerns me about this issue is this: the ‘snuggling’ was originally pointed out by **Texcat **in Post 600. Since that point, a number of people have commented on it and several have voted based on it. But **Texcat **hasn’t mentioned it again. In fact, the only time he has mentioned either of them was Today when he said

"I am not sure what to make of Septimus’s claim. It’s certainly has some advantages as a fake scum role. No need to explain why the scum aren’t killing you at night. No way for the town to prove the role, except by lynching. I don’t find his last minute vote unsettling. I was, unfortunately, unable to get back for EOD, but had I been around, I would have expected Septimus to change his vote to save himself, whether he was town or scum. "

It bothers me that **Texcat **opened up this can of worms and has since done nothing but sit back and let others discuss the issue, to the extent that the two players he was ‘concerned’ about are now the leading suspects.

Pizza, your post on Choie was very detailed and very convincing. i’m rather confused as why you seem to be trying to convince yourself that she might be town.

as for Septimus’s claim, i’m rather wary. Bulletproof is a great hiding place. it will be difficult to counterclaim and would explain why he isn’t NKd. i seem to recall a game i read that discussed this but can’t remember which. :frowning: i acknowledge that he might be a PFK and we need to find scum but his last minute vote and his claim is just too much to believe.

Vote Septimus

also, i went through MentalGuy’s posts before voting for me. here’s what i found.

discussing game mechanics and commenting on pedescribe’s vote.

discussing game mechanics again and voting in agreement to case made by someone else.

more agreement and changes vote due to a case made by someone else.

discusses more mechanics and possible communication between scum.

comments on possible scum tactics.

agreeing with another case.

trying to unvote.

finally unvoting.

commenting on vote count.

you’re welcome. :stuck_out_tongue:

do his posts scream scum to me? no. but accusing me doing something he is doing himself and voting me for it does. at first, i felt Normal was taking advantage of MentalGuy’s vote to join in. however, seeing her posts, i feel she is town and may have just taken MentalGuy’s posts at face value.

i’m also suspicious of USCDiver for his vote on Pizza after saying earlier he thought Pizza was town but for now:

Vote MentalGuy

as a post script i see people are more comfortable with using both their votes, including me.

TexCat is a “she”, but yeah.