You know me only too well.
Can you daykill me and make the suffering stop?
You know me only too well.
Can you daykill me and make the suffering stop?
I can whine about something not related to this game on MSN, if you come online. At least it might distract you from your troubles.
For what it’s worth I agree 100% with your suggestions on the remaining claims. Need a player list with claims filled in, though.
I’ve been busy with work and this game, I haven’t been able to finish analyzing your chess games and I work the opening shift today (for 3 hours, wth???) then I do the closing shift tonight, and, once again, I haven’t slept.
But sure. Come talk to me.
Okay Normal Phase, your task is to play Stickler’s advocate.
You MUST talk me down from this position, as best you can, because I trust you’re townie and I trust your reasoning and I trust your judgment.
Is Inner Stickler caught as lying, using arcane spells, yes or no. Be as specific as you can, and please examine all of my above dozen or so posts very carefully.
If you can come up with plausible reasoning, I’ll stick with ShadowFacts. If not, I lock on Stickler.
Defense Attorney Normal Phase, go.
Ack. Do I gotta? If it weren’t for the so-far lack of counterclaim I might be voting for him myself, town read or no town read. The lack of result PMs bugs me, the interactions with SP’s claim bug me (I focused on SP/Shadowfacts yesterday in terms of contradictions, but Inner is also wound up in that), the lack of distinction in Lightfoot’s three block PMs bugs me (even if it shouldn’t), and his votes are what they are. But I’ll try.
Post 1917 is where I start to try to piece together what the scum team looks like. Feel free to read it, or skip it. There is where I get the idea that, like the Paladin, the Cleric is a cover for a similar, evil role. A sorcerer or Wizard.
Post 1932 I have a visceral reaction from Inner Stickler’s scummy prediction that he will continue to live as “lynch bait”. I just summarized it so you can skip it.
Post 1934 I’ve finally had all I can stands, and I rip apart the entire Cleric/Tracker claim bit by bit, and include the case I had on Stickler beforehand which caused the initial suspicion. MUST READ
Pay attention to the part about divine and arcane spells, and especially read the closing part of that post “the bottom line”.
Post 1936 and 1938 basically put the nail in the coffin on the case that he was absolutely using arcane magic, which is not what clerics use. Easy enough to digest in full. **MUST READ
**
At one point you completely disagreed with me that Stickler had done anything scummy, and you insisted that I was wrong that he was breadcrumbing being a paranoid doctor.
If you have no defense for Stickler, and you’re willing to vote for Stickler, I’ll take that as a sign that I’m not just impressed by my own reasoning and I’m biased into thinking I’m right.
Inner Stickler’s fate is in your hands, Renata. Tell me he’s innocent, and so he shall be.
This part taken in isolation: SP’s description of Inner’s power use, plus Inner’s role claim, in no way match what Lightfoot describes, and I trust Lightfoot. I agree with your ultimate conclusion here:
– if Inner is town, then there is a scum roleblocker who has also been blocking Lightfoot, and Inner’s protection/block is invisible to LF’s PMs.
– if Inner is scum, he is the scum roleblocker. [Note that even if Inner is a scum paranoid doc (or began as such, maybe with option upon leveling up to separate those two powers and use either/or), then he would have to have been sitting on LF each night since night two – it’s not the explanation for Skeezix’s failure with Septimus.]
(As an aside, almost always around here, scum teams can choose freely who does the kill on a given night; however, that usually means they can’t use another power at the same time. I could see that as being a Level 5 bonus for scum, though.)
Well, goodness, look what MentalGuy claimed.
(NPC “fighter”, if you didn’t notice.)
I’m not so sure about this one, since we do get the roles on a fairly short delay. And by color, that is based on us literally putting the bodies back together each evening. I don’t see how a coroner would fit. But I would buy some sort of action-delaying role at this point, town or scum I don’t know. And I think it’s overwhelmingly likely the scum have some form of investigative role, to cope with all the powered-up townies. How that all fits together I dont’ know.
Actually I would buy that on numbers alone, against godfather/roleblocker/investigative role/some other power. Probably not against a three powers-and-a-goon scum team.
We know the scums have these roles:
Apropos of nothing related to IS, where did that head-bonker come from, if not out of Red Skeezix’ hind end? As much as I want him alive one more day, that really bugs me.
We’ve only had two scum kills, though. No one could have leveled up based on that alone. (Unless performing a kill gives a whole point. But then they’d be able to bash heads earlier than last night. Maybe something like this:
– goon kills nights one and two. Levels up then or the next night by other means. Gains head-bash roleblock ability thereby.
– last night someone else performs the kill (Shadowfacts?, while faking a Pizza-block?), goon bashes Red Skeezix.
shrug It’s possible. It does imply that Red, even if town, isn’t producing any kills tonight unless we first lynch a scum today (might not matter which one, if there are only four total).
Devil’s advocate: consider that besides SP confirming Inner, he also contradicted him. Inner has claimed to have blocked Ed on night one. SP claimed, in effect, to have been blocked by Ed on night one (after Inner’s claim). I’m still trying to work my way through the possibilities here. On current information:
Inner is scum, SP is scum, they tried to confirm each other and screwed up.
Inner is scum doc, NOT a roleblocker at all, or at least not to start. (Yes I know that contradicts what I said at the top. Halp! He protected some scumbag last night, which is what SP saw: SP’s claim caught him in a lie about his night one activity. Someone else is the full-time scum roleblocker.
Inner is telling the truth, SP is scum who missed the implications of his claim for his own credibility (the claims came close enough together this might be plausible), or town whose story about a result delay will somehow make sense when it all comes out in the wash.
Can we just lynch Mental Guy now?
vote: Mental Guy
I’m not even sure if I’m serious. Next post.
Sorry, will continue on IS in a moment, distracted by shiny object.
I needed this list, and having seen it, largely agree. I’d put choie and Mental Guy as top priorities, Weedy and Diver next, and pedescribe as a potentially useful side option. (Doubt he’s scum, unless Astral is allowing teammates to proxy orders – just way to much going on on the anti-town front for that to be likely. (And pedescribe does not send his own orders when he disappears like this, based on history.) But as mentioned yesterday, having it confirmed could be very useful.)
If ShadowFacts or Stickler pops up scum, we can have Red Skeezix assassinate Mental Guy.
However, I’m not sure we wouldn’t have more luck just *assassinating *ShadowFacts and *lynching *Mental Guy. Mind you I haven’t done any *thinking *about Mental Guy.
Ouch that was horrible.
Anyway yes, next post. Give me what I need.
Mental Guy, who do you think is scum and why?
Ah-bah-bah-bah-bah-bah. Focus, focus, focus.
Pertinent question, but don’t be distracted by the shiny objects. I need you to tell me Inner Stickler didn’t just get caught using entirely the wrong class of magic power.
Inner Stickler’s “I might live a while” conversation.
gnarly says LF won’t live long. Implication is that Inner will die tonight if telling the truth.
Ouch. Trying to devil’s advocate this and it is really difficult. About the best I can do is that if Inner is assuming that Red Skeezix is telling the truth about being roleblocked, then his logic that the scum might consider waiting until after their “main” roleblocker is dead to attack Inner Stickler would make some sense – because they’d still have the one who bashed Red over the head around as emergency backup to keep LF under wraps until IS is out of the way.
What is IS’s position on Red Skeezix?
Never waste a NK on lynchbait has more than a grain of truth to it.
Same thing repeated.
Same thing. Makes sense in a strictly logical way if IS trusts Red that the scum have a second roleblocker.
Trying, but I’m not a De-endee afficionado – what I know is entirely second-hand or from Order of the Stick. Anyway I think that post is next.
I’ve played the game all of two times in my life, for roughly 30 minutes.
I still wasn’t aware of the cleric and wizard distinction until I noted the word “arcane” and did a little research. I remembered that arcane was a type of magic, so I was simply trying to verify it was the correct type. Well, **Wikipedia **bashed me over the head and left a big welt, and now I’m sweaty and tired, and there’s no blood on my knives. I want to kill things.
There’s a lot swirling around, and Pizza has helpfully dumped another overnight War & Peace on us but I really think with one Day left it would be good to focus back on me and Red for lynch candidates, as the above comments say. After all the claims, there is high informational value from either one of us dying. So, please, everyone: take a look at the claims, the night actions, and vote for me or Red. Look at the night action analyses that SP, Stanislaus, and I did. Consider who is playing and trying to help, and who is lying low, posting nothing, and hoping to skate by for another Day.
I haven’t seen a vote count, but unfortunately it looks like right now I’m going to be the one. This sucks, and is the wrong play, but I’m OK with it *as long as you don’t let Pizza convince you not to lynch Red the following Day. * He’s convinced himself that Red is absolutely, positively the Vig, but he’s wrong, and you’ll know that when I flip.
Assuming I am the lynch, I will post a few final comments on who I think is Scum before I go. But in the meantime, I will continue to push for **Red’s **lynch toDay. To me, he is the obvious choice by a country mile. I am going to lock in my votes for him and power myself up in the hopes that Town makes the right decision.
Vote Red Skeezix
You might just want to read some of that War and Peace stuff I posted, ShadowFacts, because I have what I think is 100% proof that Inner Stickler is guilty.
But go ahead and “lock” your votes; you’ve got more.
Don’t tell me you’re going to bus ***yourself ***to save Inner Stickler?
Caveat: much of this is not what I would be saying if not explicitly asked to play devil’s advocate. Sorry for not putting quotes back in, this is taking long enough as it is. Here’s the original post: http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showpost.php?p=14122070&postcount=1934
Devil’s advocate says …
No wait, I do have one, though it’s kind of from a twisted perspective. What’s really different about IS doing this and what Red did? That vig comment had to catch the attention of the scum at least in a “hmmm” sort of way, and “vig needs to breadcrumb” is somethign I don’t buy in itself. If you’re a vig, you prove your good intentions with solid kill choices, not by telling the scum what you are up front. What makes IS scummy for this and Red not?
Still don’t think this is or needs to be PIS. Both those roles are so very common.
I found his comments on Septimus’ actions to ring true, for whatever that’s worth. Inner couldn’t lynch Septimus with three minutes left in the round and couldn’t expect anyone else to either. With a power role he had to vote for someone who was going to get lynched, and if he and SF are both scum, he exposed himself unnecessarily (since SF still had his vote boosts in play that could have accomplished the same thing).
Devil’s advocate says that waiting a long time to vote is not atypical of Inner.
Devil’s advocate says why is he not afraid of counterclaim/what would be so incredibly awesome about counterclaim that a scum would want to play that card at the cost of his own life?
You did get Septimus lynched.
Blocking identical: There must be some town doctor at play, between no-kill nights (plural) and game setup expectations, yet there’s no sign of that in Lightfoot’s PMs either. So not seeing IS (whatever he’s doing there) can’t be taken as meaning anything.
A scum Inner had no need to claim a block both of the first two nights. He had two professed vanilla townies at hand (you and me) and less reason then than now to “believe” either of us townie. It’s not a good move for a paranoid doc, but by that same token can’t be used as evidence that he’s lying, that he claims as much.
One unreasonable explanation doesn’t equal scum, and the first half is obviously the true explanation, if IS is town.
Not related to IS, but a good point. SP can only determine activity or lack thereof at this point, correct? And he tracks a claimed roleblocker? Why? I see no motive for it town OR scum. And yet he clearly did do so (Shadow’s result PM), unless both players are scum and cooked this up between them. (And then where does that leave Inner Stickler?)
In my own voice for a second here: whatever the verdict on IS, I think I still have even more issues with SF and SP.
No arguments from me here. Wanna lynch Suburban? :headdesk:
See aforementioned comment about DND knowledge. This argument depends entirely on reading Astral correctly. If he would use the word arcane as a generic descriptor for “magical stuff” that could nevertheless include divine spells, then there is no indictment of Inner, here. If he would, then someone goofed badly with their cover role plan. I don’t know how to guess which is the case. As such I can’t consider this as evidence against Inner.
Something is severely wrong with this situation. If there’s a town role that can clear any of it up, they have to claim, as soon as possible. I’ve tried elsewhere to unpack the puzzle and can’t quite get there on current information.
This also seems solid on current information. Why aren’t you going after Suburban Plankton instead of IS, Pizzaguy? narrowed defense attorney eyes
Well, except for the potentiality of a doctor counterclaim tearing the whole thing to shreds, it’s perfect. If the counterclaim don’t fit .. yeah I can’t remember the rest of that line.
I’m getting tired and can’t WIFOM my way through this one in either direction. I’ll have to pass.
Why would scum not have killed LF by now? Inner taking his protection off and “getting burned” somewhere in there – and never being counterclaimed – has got to be at least as good in terms of town cred as never taking protection off at all over three nights. Not to mention the Seer is still alive to wreak havoc, should IS himself ever be roleblocked or whatever. Not to mention unless Astral gave the scum a lot more info than normal, they’d have to reason to believe there was no town doc in the game (and I don’t even want to get into LF right now). Not to mention the no-kill nights – what are those (or at least one of them) if not scum shooting at a protected Lightfoot? I don’t buy it.
Keeping the presumptive vig-designee alive another night, as Red Skeezix has claimed to believe happened with Septimus.
And this goes against the spirit of devil’s advocate but: IF what the scum have is a real investigator and not a tracker or some such; and IF they have just last night found out that pedescribe is the town doc; THEN this does all make sense. A lot of "if"s.
I have to stop here, because I’m just out of steam for teh moment.
BTW I edited the last “not to mention” in that one list.
Okay normal thank you very much, one last bit for later:
You mentioned the word “arcane” could be used in the generic usage, not the de’endee usage. Okay fair enough. Discard the word itself.
That’s not even the damning part. The damning part is that in the description, he’s doing [synonym for arcane] ritual thingies with his hands (which is a characteristic of “arcane magic”) and the spell cast is actually bright and flashy, (which is characteristic of arcane magic over divine magic, according to wikipedia).
And, in the wikipedia list of example spells, I found one in the arcana classification which matched a sorcerer, wizard, or mage casting brightly colored magic at someone for the purposes of incapacitation. I would wager this could cause headaches and drain their strength as well.
Next, I checked the divine magic list and found no such counterexample.
So, I have “arcane”, I have actions characteristic of arcane magic, I have a brightly colored spell which resembles arcane magic, I have a result that favors arcane magic, I have a mafia game where a “Paladin” claimed a role where they were bulletproof, not a vigilante, and I have a mafia game where a “Cleric” is casting what seems to be arcane magic which blocks people from doing actions.
That’s where it pushes it into the “I have to speak up” instead of “shut up and watch ShadowFacts die” category for me.
Off to work I go. Good luck sorting this all out, without getting a massive headache, trying to break out of it, and then collapsing in your bed exhausted.
Yeah, I didn’t get that far.
Back in my own voice, I would be willing in a broad sense to vote for Inner Stickler for the “why would scum kill me” post and for his role in the night one roleblock confusion. That’s what makes sense to me, personally. I’d be very, very nervous about getting it wrong, though, given that the only really rational explanation I can think of for such a gambit involves so many “ifs”. (There is an “irrational explanation” that runs along the lines of “oh fuck we’re screwed, let’s blow as many townie brains out their ears as we can, on the way out”, but that sort of assumes the conclusion.)