Poll coming. Who do you think will win in Q4 fundraising? I’ll include the top 4 and an other although I honestly can’t see any of the second or bottom tier shocking the world.
Warren sent an email saying that Q4 fundraising was only at 17 million as of now. That’s…not good and may explain her doubling down on the fundraising purity attacks on Pete. I have no idea how much is left in her Senate campaign war chest should she need to transfer more over.
I’m guessing buttigieg. He seems to be coming out as the younger, more charismatic alternative to Biden which means a lot of rich people want him over Warren and sanders.
I’m on Bernie email list. He keeps asking for money but mostly so he can claim he got 5 million individual donations before the year ends. He doesn’t really say he wants it for the money itself (they’re even asking for a few dollars at a time). So I’m guessing sanders is OK with money this quarter and probably raised 20-30 million but is more concerned with the number of small donations total.
Probably paywalled NYT Story with some fundraising info.
Twitter link to the author. https://twitter.com/shanegoldmacher/status/1211655757856247809?s=21
It looks like Sanders will lead in fundraising, but who knows how much that heart attack hurt him in October?
If I had to guess as of today the big 4 would be:
Sanders
Buttigieg
Biden
Warren
I voted for Buttigieg before the NYT article came out today. While I despise Sanders, I can’t deny he’s a fundraising machine with a passionate base of supporters. I thought the heart attack in October would really hurt the $$$ as candidates really need to front load their Q4 fundraising as the holidays get nearer.
Buttigieg announces early at 24.7 million. I think only Bernie might beat that. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/01/us/politics/pete-buttigieg-fundraising.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share
NYT article is probably paywalled
Bernie sent out an email about receiving 5 million individual donations although not revealing the donation amount. There’s a whisper number of 28.5 million which would be an amazing haul considering the heart attack scare.
I assume he’s waiting for tomorrow to release the actual numbers, I was kinda surprised to see Pete release this morning given the holiday and the slow news day focusing on New Years Resolutions, hangover solutions, and legal marijuana (in the Chicago news market)
Sanders seemed far more concerned about the number of donations than their dollar value.
In an email today his campaign implied that they hoped to get 50 million donations total if he wins the primary and goes on to run in the general, at an average of $27 each. That will raise over a billion dollars which is about what a presidential campaign costs.
I could see some devoted Bernie fans donating $27/month every month for a year. But still, if only a million voters do that that is only a quarter of the fundraising goal.
I’m not sure if Sanders can run a campaign on small donations alone. It would be groundbreaking if he did, but I’m not sure if its possible.
Then again, ActBlue raised 1.5 billion in 2018, and. Mostly in small donations. Plus around another billion in 2019.
Yeah, I’ve never seen the focus on the number of donations as being important. If I want to give $100 to a candidate, does it really matter if I make a $100 donation once, twenty $5 donations or 100 $1 donations. It’s kinda like how people tout how enthusiastic Bernie’s voters are. The vote counts the same, this isn’t Olympic synchronised diving with extra style points for enthusiasm.
It will be interesting to see his fundraising. He could have released the dollar amount today rather just the the donation numbers. I assume he’s waiting for tomorrow and a normal work and news day. I think, had he truly blow out Buttigieg, say 30 million or more, he would have released that today.
Wow! Bernie’s Q4 came in at a mind blowing $34.5 million. That’s much higher than I thought. For a guy who started the quarter with a heart attack, I simply can’t believe it. That surely is going to be the Q4 winner. https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/476472-sanders-campaign-says-345-million-raised-in-fourth-quarter
I can’t find a detailed breakdown yet , but I’m going to assume there were no transfers from his Senate war chest.
Bernie, I despise you, but I tip my hat to you.
Bernie is doing great after his heart attack, his health is even better than before. Sanders’s Doctors Say He’s Fit for Presidency After Heart Attack
And I’ll believe that just as much as Trump’s doctors but that’s not the point of this thread.
I tip my hat again to Bernie: he kicked ass and took names with his Q4 fundraising.
I’m a Sanders supporter, he has a lot of loyalty from his base who will probably not be affected by things like a heart attack in a 78 year old. Swing voters may, but his base wouldn’t.
However Sander’s base is probably only about ~10 million people at most.
Yeah, there’s no doubt he’s got the most fervent supporters and it’s obvious they stuck with him heart attack be dammed.
I’m a Pete supporter and I would stop donating to him if he suffered a heart attack. I’d wait until I knew he was healthy and back out on the trail before resuming donations.
And perhaps that’s what some Sanders people did. Once Bernie was back out there, they may have made catch up donations.
Sorry, I guess I got confused by you bringing it up in post # 4 and again in post #6, then in post #9 and now I see it again in post #13.
The reason I brought it up was the effect on fundraising. For the purposes of this thread, I don’t care if Bernie is on his deathbed or running the Boston Marathon today, this thread is about Q4 Democratic fundraising and how it’ll affect their campaigns going forward.
As I’ve said twice, Bernie kicked ass in Q4 fundraising and has plenty of money to keep his campaign going, hire staff and open field offices. Bernie’s staff can go to bed at night knowing the check will clear.
Lack of money killed the Harris and Beto campaigns along with questionable decisions about how to spend the money they had.
Biden reports at $22.7 million. That’s not great and I can’t wait to see if that means his support is a mile wide but an inch deep. A former VP shouldn’t be behind the former mayor of South Bend and a Senator from Vermont.
Ok, Liz, we’re waiting on you. It’ll be interesting to see if she tries to bury it on a Friday afternoon news dump.
I thought Warren said she was near 17 million near the end of hte quarter. If you assume some end of the quarter last minute donations, I’m guessing she got around ~$20 million.
I’ll guess 20-21 million as well and that’s really not good for her campaign. I think wasting December on fundraising purity on top of the M4A flip flop may have really hurt her ability to raise money in Q4 and may partially explain Bernie’s amazing numbers.
Of course we’re only getting the early numbers now and I’ll be very eager to see the full FEC reports in the middle of the month. Cash on hand as well as if any money came from campaign transfers.
Yang reported a very impressive 16.5 million, far more than I would have thought and ten million more than Q3. That’s not the numbers of a minor gadfly so he will be around for a while. I’ve heard his organization is pretty lean so he probably won’t burn though the cash super quickly, but he’s also got to stay viable in IA and NH which means expensive TV ads.
NYT link, may be paywalled.
It is also the highest amount Biden has had yet. So it’s actually good news for him (especially when you consider his terrible 3Q).