Overall population in the New Orleans city limits is down by roughly 50%. Many of those folks have moved to nearby neighboring communities within the greater metropolitan area and commute in to work. The Central Business District, Financial District, and French Quarter are probably between 80% and 90% of where they were in terms of shops, restaurants, and the like from before the storm.
As far as the UNO study you linked, I confess that I did not take a close look at it. One problem that many demographers are having is that it’s hard to find people using normal approaches short of a full census. For example, counting electrical hookups as an indicator of population levels is prone to big error, since many people are living in trailers with an electrical hookup while working on a house with an electrical hookup. As such, I tend to cast a jaundiced eye at those sorts of estimations, but instead look at the conditions I see around me (I’m looking at the Superdome - - about 100 yards away from my office at the moment) so I like to think that I have a pretty good handle on the pulse of the city.
I believe that if the Democrats had wanted to come here, we could have made it happen. There would have been glitches, certainly, but the convention could occur.
As for your political arguments, personally I think that one factor largely overlooked in this thread is that a lot of the mess can be laid at the feet of the democratic governor and the democratic mayor. Both made huge mistakes with the disaster. One reason the Mississippi disaster effort was better managed than the Louisiana disaster effort is that Gov. Barbour was very specific about what he wanted from the Federal government and FEMA. Governor Blanco was much less specific, according to some reports repeating “Send us everything you’ve got,” rather than requesting, for example, 40,000 MREs and cases of water be delivered to a specific location.
It’s my understanding that in order for the Federal government to make such specific decisions about where to deploy federal assets (Federal troops, National Guard, supplies, materials), the Governor has to give the Feds permission to “federalize” the effort. Governor Blanco took 3 days to decide that no, thank you, I won’t allow you to federalize the recovery effort. This is one major reason significant portions of the Federal effort were so poorly executed - - the state was in the way.
*I’m not * saying that the Feds didn’t make their own mistakes. Down here, FEMA stands for “Fix Everything, MY ASS!”. Regardless, having the convention here carries political risk for fewer potential electoral college rewards.
I understand Microsoft’s decision, but I don’t necessarily agree with it. Yes, some people would be inconvenienced in getting here and getting around here. It’s not like I, and other New Orleanians, have not been inconvenienced daily since late August 2005. If we can survive here full-time, I think some folks can survive for a week or so. But if I were organizing a big meeting and felt that a significant number of people would have a hard time getting there, I’d look for a more stable venue, too. How’s that for talking out of both sides of my mouth?