Not sure how this is GD material (looks more like a poll to me…and a poll where anyone out of lock step is going to get leaped on like a particularly juicy deer…), but I’ll play along.
Unlike most here (are claiming), I did actually initially support the war in Iraq. I felt it was necessary to remove what I considered a dangerous (and anti-US) regime from the region, and also provide a base of operations for the US in what is probably the number one region of strategic importants to the US. I felt that Saddam had more than provoked both the US and the region, had flaunted the UN for years, and basically needed to be removed from power. I also felt that a crushing victory in Iraq would give the Iran’s and Syria’s of the region pause.
Over the years however I’ve come to see my previous attitude and stance as wrong…and wrong headed. A quick and crushing victory, while more than possible for the US at the macro level, doesn’t seem to be in the cards at the micro level…IOW we could and did destroy the Iraqi military, infrastructure and government cohesion, while completely failing to qwell the aftermath. In rhetrospect (for me…I know some of you feel you knew this all along, and maybe you did) this seems obvious in the region we are talking about where anti-West/anti-American sentiment runs so high.
So, where do I stand today? I think going into Iraq was a HUGE mistake and distracted from our efforts in Afghanistan. I think we have trapped ourselves in Iraq for the foreseeable future to no good end…and in doing so have shown the world our soft underbelly so to speak. The US military is VERY good at destroying other nations militaries, their infrastructure, their C&C…even their governments. Its not so good at this kind of low boil insurgency…and the American people are completely intolerant of this kind of long, drawn out affair.
That said however, I still don’t think we should bolt from Iraq. Yeah, it was a huge mistake. Yeah, our dick is firmly caught in our own golf shoes. However, I don’t think its in our best interests to bolt and leave the Iraqi people holding the bag…and not just for their sake (though to be honest I think we owe them something for throwing their nation into chaos). The main reasons I don’t think we should bolt are the location of Iraq in a region that is of vital strategic importance not just of the US but of the world…and Iran and the possible ramifications of an all out civil war in Iraq between Sunni and Shi’ia (with Iran being a predominently Shi’a nation…and Saudi being predominantly Sunni). I think that would be a Very Bad Thing, personally.
So…my hopes at this point are that things keep from flying completely apart between now and when we finally kick the dust of Bush et al from our collective boots…and that whoever takes over as the next administration can actually find its collective ass with both hands wrt Iraq.
And yeah…its probably all wishful thinking. Hope springs eternal, and all that jazz…
-XT