I’ll have plenty of beer in the fridge, and there’s harder stuff if necessary. And I’ll be watching the returns, likely on CNN.
The irony? I am not American, and have no say in this. But I agree with my fellow Canadians in other threads, that the outcome of this American election will affect us in some way too. Might be good, might be bad, but the effects will be felt up here.
Plus, I rather like @Ann_Hedonia 's “Airport Lounge Rules.” 
Yep, I fear that it’s the same “gut feeling” that had him predicting Hillary would get 358 EV’s and that Biden would coast to victory with 400 EV’s.
I wish we had an “Ann Selzer” on this board who had a good track record the last two elections that we could have some reliance on their prediction, but best I can tell we’re all in the “your guess is as good as mine” boat.
Like you, I’m hoping beyond hope that VP Harris clears 300 EV’s and removes all doubt for shenanigans.
I Truly pray you are right in all areas of this…
I actually made a vow that if VP Harris wins I will give up alcohol, which for people who know me personally is a HUGE sacrifice. But if America is ready to evolve, then so am I.
Oh, I see.
Love it! I’m there. But I’m very optimistic, too.
Good luck, America. I wished you good luck eight years ago and, well, we know how that went…
good one
Don’t know what, if any, implications this might have for turnout tomorrow:
Basically, Missouri’s gotten a lot of rain over the last couple of days with more expected overnight, and evacuation plans are in place for a few southern Missouri communities. These are going to be red-trending counties. Early voting turnout at least in St. Louis (the bluest part of the state) has been pretty crazy.
Whether the potential evacuations have a significant impact on turnout, whether there will be extensions of voting, and whether it makes a difference anyway (Missouri’s gone deep red in the last 20 years) remains to be seen.
(Incidentally, the date in the preview is wrong.)
I’m not the sort to feel comfortable giving concrete predictions one way or the other, which is why I’ve stayed away from the formal prediction threads.
However, given the import of this election, and the fact anyone who has read any of my posts over the last few months know where my loyalties lay, I’ll go on record with a prediction and a few random thoughts.
Kamala Harris wins the EC and popular vote. I’m not confident enough in calling EC numbers to do that, but I think the popular vote goes to her by at least 3% Reports of early voting being off the charts again makes me think total turnout could top 2020 numbers.
“The Blue Wall” states of PA, WI, and MI hold for Harris just as they did for Biden. GA, NV, and AZ go for Trump. NC is going to be very interesting and I think Harris takes it by a nose. In the post election autopsy it will be discovered that Mark Robinson played a role in costing Trump the state.
Polling is so much noise right now, and has been the entire campaign season. That could come down to just how close things are going to be of course. I’ve read the “is polling broken” thread in its entirety, but to be honest I’ve really only really understood about half of it. That said, I am familiar with the credibility of Ann Selzer’s Iowa poll and it’s caught my attention in a way others have not. Harris up by 4 in Iowa is a, to quote President Biden after the ACA was passed, “Big Friggin Deal.” I’ll be very curious to see which way the state goes and by how much. That’s the first time I think I’ve ever said that. If Harris takes Iowa that’s the ballgame.
My vote is already in and I’ll be watching the returns tomorrow night, probably on MSNBC. I’ll be pulling for democrats nationwide of course, but I’ll have extra enthusiasm for Elissa Slotkin, hopefully my next senator for MI, and Colin Allred in TX because I want Cruz to have a really bad night.
Did you ever notice that–and it doesn’t matter which side of the aisle the person saying it is on–that every time someone says that they’re going to leave the country if the election doesn’t go the way they want they always name a whiter country than America?
This thread to follow progress in the election for POTUS #46.
List any interesting events during voting.
Then follow the state of vote counting.
Then - if Trump loses - the inevitable legal challenges.
Edit - apologies, I didn’t spot the existing thread. I did look.
I wanted to early vote. I didn’t make it because of the drive, and my other responsibilities. I will vote tomorrow as my precinct is 4 min. away. I’m curious what it will be like since they’ve condensed al 2? or 3? pricincts into 1. It has never ever been busy or lined up where we vote.
My sister chewed me out for not asking for mail voting. I kinda like voting in person; it feels, " official," I guess.
Hubster votes by mail as it’s difficult for him to get in and out, climb stairs, wait, etc. It just didn’t occur to me to mail vote. Maybe next time.
Thank you, St_Cad, for starting this thread. This will be the first federal election in which I won’t watch TV coverage. (I turned it off early for the first time in 2016.) I canceled cable earlier this year, but I don’t even want to go to websites with great coverage. I want to do as I did for the debates and get the updates here. Too much is at stake, and the outcome is too uncertain. So thanks.
I’m trying not to read the optimistic predictions here, though. I’m nervous enough to be superstitious, and I don’t want anyone to jinx it.
I love voting. Every presidential election, I have the same dinner I had the first time I could vote: a BLT and Cheetos. Not exactly heat-healthy, but I like my tradition. I’m hoping I don’t need alcohol.
ETA: Just heard Jimmy Kimmel say, “It feels like the whole country is waiting to get the results of a biopsy.” Sounds about right.
Voting has begun and ended in Dixville Notch, NH. Only six voters. Time for the count.
Result:
3 Trump
3 Harris
An even split.
Heh, hopefully more than half of Texas hopes Cruz has a bad night. That dick needs to go down as bad as Trump does.
Ooof, right in the Dixville Notch.
Myself? I don’t really have any predictions. It feels like Harris will win, but that might be wishful thinking when reading the tea leaves. I’ve already voted, and I’ll be picking up whiskey and beer on the way home from the doctor tomorrow. Maybe some version of sparkling wine if I’m feeling hopeful and don’t mind having a headache Wed., when I have to go back to work.
Comparing and contrasting the candidates’ final rallies
Harris;
Trump;
One of these people doesn’t expect to win. Guess which one!
Hasn’t Canada been more welcoming to refugees from places like India than the US, for many years? That’s my impression, right or wrong, but AFAIK Canada is not “whiter” than the US.
Other than that, my personal experience has been that people who want to leave the US are interested in immigrating to Thailand, Indonesia, or New Zealand. So on the whole, no - not “whiter countr[ies] than America.”
Not really, most of my friends that fantasize about leaving the US want to move to Costa Rica. Personally I’d go for the Bahamas or maybe Trinidad.
I’d laugh my ass off if they got pinched before they voted themselves.
Honestly, if he got locked up in a looney bin for the rest of his life instead of a couple years in prison, I’d be okay with that.
People, you gotta vote.
No excuses not to.
If, in 2012 my 107 year old grandmother could vote, you can. She cast her first presidential ballot in 1928. and her 22nd in 2012.