Election Day Omnibus thread

I envy your enthusiasm and optimism. I’m afraid I’m expecting the opposite. Harris will win the popular vote so that’s something.

I’m heading to take a shower then off to the polls with my wife. Voting in a comfortably blue state won’t help Harris much but we will do our part.

Front Range Colorado is due for a snowstorm but after the polls close.
Votes to watch for
House CD 5 - could flip to Democratic
House CD 8 - could flip to Republican

Propositions that are interesting to watch due to the amount of misinformation and lies put out, Colorado culture and voter ignorance.
Prop 80 - Would allow for public funding of private school education. Some areas of the state would use it to kill of public schools.
Prop 127 - Would prohibit shooting bobcats, mountain lions and lynx in the face for trophies.
Prop 131 - Written by Kent Thiry to change election rules so that Kent Thiry could get elected to a state office. The only person that wants him in office is Kent Thiry.

Electoral College Prediction: Harris 292, Trump 246
Question: If it turns out to be 269 - 269, would a faithless elector vote for the popular vote winner thereby preventing the elction by Congress?
2nd Question: If it is 269 - 269 and after the House/Senate elections, could we have a President and Vice-President from different parties?

ETA: Got CNN on

May you associate that trash TV forever with a Harris win and a tanTrump defeat!

Or a therapy frog.

Petting those can have some interesting visual effects. Or so I’m toad.

Or therapy log to hit the insurrectionist supporters.

I live directly across the street from my polling place. As I left the house this morning at 7am there was a line going out the door of the church and stretching all the way to the street, probably 100 people. Now, it was precisely 7am, which is when the polls open in GA, so the doors may still have been locked. But if not, the lobby would have held another 40 or so.

I’ve only waited in line once to vote, in 2008. Other than that I zip across the street, vote, and make it back before the commercial break is over, practically.

I thought maybe he meant a therapy fig. A fig-shaped stress ball.

In theory, yes. In practice, I highly doubt it. These electors are hardcore Trumpist at this point - some of them are in fact the same “alternate electors” from 2020.

Yes. But the House is by state delegation (almost certainly GOP) and the Senate is quite likely to be GOP as well.

Thoughts: Does a high turnout favor Harris or Trump? Harris, right?

Depends on where it is. Cities, yes Harris. Rural areas (like we saw with the early vote in Nevada) - Trump.

Affluent suburbs, Harris.

Overall? Hard to say, probably Harris but maybe not by as much as in the past.

ETA: There is some thought that the record turnout in 2020 helped Trump quite a bit. There are anecdotes about Amish voters (to use one example) that almost never vote coming out for Trump this cycle. So there is no guarantee more voters = more Harris voters.

The number one thing to watch is urban and suburban turnout, IMO. Big cities have been lagging in early vote (in some states) - they need to show up today.

Only in America…

This oughtta be the headline, in many languages, for all news agencies. In huge type, like Neil Armstrong’s moon landing.

What could be more important, and speak the truth about the character of the most powerful nation in the world? :slight_smile:

Shooting an animal in the face for a trophy does seem counterproductive.

And I see this headline

1st-time Puerto Rican voter wants Trump to win because she wants “a better life in the future”

Had to check, no it was not The Onion.
And as I’ve pointed out many times, I’m a non-Maga 70s/80s Republican and I was the first one here to say they would vote for Harris (back when it was a protest vote). I hear these intelligent people around me (older white men. why do you ask?) and people online supporting insurrectionist Trump and I’m at the point of thinking, “Are you fucking joking?”

This generally comes down to which side is more enthusiastic. It’s a good question as to whether Trump voters are more enthusiastic to put him back in office than Harris voters are to keep him out.

It’s Colorado. God ordered us to shot defenseless animals to show our dominion over them. Didn’t you read Genesis? I support hunting for food - elk tastes good. But I do not support trophy hunting unless you defeated the animal in hand-to-hand combat. In that case you earned the trophy.

I see lots of discussion here about Nate Silver and 538, but the Economist’s predictor has made a big move in Harris’ favor today, from 50/50 to 56/43

Like I’ve said before, if Trump wins it’s the Democrats who didn’t vote fault.

Another intriguing fact is that presidential approval rating and state-of-the-nation doesn’t mean as much as it did before. The NYT/Siena poll reports that Biden’s approval rating is only 40% and that only 28% of voters think the nation is going in the right direction, and that no incumbent party has kept the White House with such low numbers. Indeed, it wasn’t long ago that approval ratings below 50% spelled serious trouble for an incumbent. Yet Harris is poised to win.

That in turn is a reason why ditching Biden for Harris was so important - although Harris is his VP, she is still not Biden himself, and so she can escape some of the baggage/burden that come with his low presidential approval ratings and voter satisfaction.

Anyne else have the rickety little voting booths, with the ballpoint pens that make it a challenge to completely fill in the boxes? Yeah, really minor 1st world problem, but every election, as soon as I start filling in the first box, I realize how much I dislike it.

What is the current idea as to when news orgs will report reults? When THAT state’s polls close? Or wait for the west coast? WHen do you think we will start getting meaningful (not final) results?

I’m playing music from 7-930 CST. Wonder what the news will be when I get in my car at 940?