Factors in handicapping the democratic race to the White House post Super Tuesday.

I just answered this in the other thread…
I don’t hate Hillary or Chelsea or Bill. I don’t want to see another Clinton in the WH. mkay…

Yeah - poor Hillary :smiley: that’s a good one spoke-.

Well, Shuster’s (claimed) objection to Chelsea was due to the fact (perception?) that the Clintons shield her from the press (“slamming any reporter who seeks to chat with chelsea” in his words), while she’s actively, directly, and personally contacting superdelegates (and others). Kind of promotes the feeling of “back-room” politics-as-usual. I don’t think Romney did any such thing…though I have to admit that I never paid Romney much mind and so might have missed it.

Not that I care one way or the other, just pointing it out.

Add one more to the pot. . . [ul][*]Rhode Island Attorney General Patrick Lynch endorses Barack Obama.[/ul]

I love these updates.

Then you’re going to REALLY love this one. . .

It’s looking very good in Nebraska right now. Caucus-goers are returning with early results: (bolding mine)

[ul][li]Judge Patricia M. Wald, former Chief Judge of the D.C. Circuit and recently a member of the Iraq Intelligence Commission endorses Barack Obama.[/ul] [/li][quote]
I have spent more than 40 years of my near-80 in public service as a federal judge, international judge, Justice Department official, and public interest lawyer. A veteran of the woman’s movement since its infancy in the 1960’s, an ardent Democrat, and an equally ardent supporter of women’s rights-to-choose, to work, to live as we see fit, and yes, one day to elect a woman President, I hail the advances in my life-time that have resulted in Senator Clinton’s dramatic bid for our nation’s highest office.

But legions of women my age have fought for the opportunity to be judged on our skills, talents and abilities, not on our gender. Perhaps we were naive, but we believed if we were allowed to enter the game alongside men, we would prove our worth. That is the standard by which, I believe, Senator Clinton’s candidacy should now be judged.

Which is prelude to why I support Barack Obama and why, with a troop of wonderfully gritty older women, I spent 8 days on the icy streets of Cedar Rapids, Iowa – with a return to the hustings in Delaware last week – campaigning for Senator Obama.
[/quote]

Just got back from my WA caucus. 3:1 for Obama.

Obama is receiving 6 delegates from my precinct to the county convention, Clinton gets 2.

:slight_smile:

Keep’em coming!

Ok, my pleasure! [ul][li]The Cleveland Plain Dealer, the largest newspaper in Ohio, has endorsed Barack Obama for President.[/ul][/li]
:smiley:

I just got back from our caucus (central WA). Although I can only conclusively say that my precinct gave 2 delegates to Obama, 0 for Hillary (12 people, 10/1 OBama/Clinton split, 1 uncommitted), my sense was that the room was at least 2/3 for Obama.

And many thanks for that!

Just got back from the caucus - it was huge. Probably about 1,000 people there. Before they started, they asked everyone who’d caucused before to raise their hand. And no joke, only four people did.

I sat back and watched our precinct do its thang. 26 people there - 20 for Obama, 4 for Clinton, 1 Edwards, 1 Uncommitted. No one changed their mind. 4 delegates for Obama, 2 for Clinton.

The coolest part was the demographics of the Obama people: two younger couples, about 2 mid-thirties women by themselves, a 50-ish dad and his 18-ish daughter (she voted), 3 older women by themselves, 3 older men by themselves, and (the best part) an older couple in their mid-sixties with whom I talked before at the monthly neighbourhood association meeting. From talking with him before, I would have sworn he was conservative, but he was there with his wife, for Obama. Just goes to show. Only one black guy in the group, but then the whole area is pretty solidly white, so no surprises there. I’m missing a few from the total, but there was 20.

The Clinton people were a 70-ish couple, and two late forties women by themselves.

It was fun, although loud and tiring.

And my wife voted Obama.

ETA: For every Hillary sticker I saw on someone, I probably saw about 5 Obama ones, if not more. Oddly, every table had a large “Hillary” campaign sign on it, probably placed there by a precinct supporter.

Great! I see a lot of people turning out for him, let’s hope he can pull it off in the end! I know he can! We had the phones going like crazy today for Obama - such support, such die hard support!

A recent CNN poll shows Clinton beating McCain by 50% to 47% – within the 3% margin of error – but Obama beating McCain by 52% to 44%. A Time poll shows similar results.

So in terms of hanicapping what does that tell people reading those numbers? That Obama has a better chance of winning against McCain right? How would/should a superdelegate look at those numbers?

Woo Hoo HOO! Go Mrs. Aguecheek!

Anecdotal evidence of a WA landslide coming in. . .

And so on and so on.

Etc., etc., etc.

It’ll be interesting to see what happened elsewhere in the state and what the final, official results will be. I can’t wait!!!

WA 27-321 (first tally):Clinton 24
Kucinich 1 (immediately switched to Obama)
Obama 91
Uncommitted 8
This is not the final tally (the Elder Ottlet was due at work, so we had to leave early), but it didn’t look as if many minds were being changed by the discussion. If these results hold, it means 12 delegates will be going to the county convention for Obama vs 3 for Clinton, with 1 uncommitted.

(I heard a report on CNN this morning to the effect that Obama should do well in the SoW because Seattlites are affluent and well-educated. This precinct is in central Tacoma, blue-collar, and decidedly under the median in education and income.)

From the Seattle Post Intelligencer:

CNN has Washington at 67% Obama, 32% Clinton. With 35% counted. Ouch…

And they’ve called Nebraska; Obama 69 / Clinton 31.

Washington is called for Obama now, too.

:smiley: