France runoff, Macron vs Le Pen

New legislature elections are on the way, so we shall see. Le Pen is not retiring from politics altogether, simply from standing again for the Presidency. Although she says she’s developing a new interest in breeding cats (no, seriously), she’s also not ruling out being a significant figure in her party - and I’ve seen commentary suggesting that her strength has been party management. She might well be a or the driving force behind a serious push in the legislatives. One of the TV networks in France had an interesting map of where her support was, in terms of the 35000 or so individual communes - the smallest unit of government: essentially rural and depressed areas: you could see how that might be used as a basis for a campaign on economic issues/precarity. If, that is, the local organisation is there and can be disciplined enough not to fall back on the old anti-democratic and racist strand in French politics.

Meanwhile, on the left, Mélenchon is trying to build on his success in the first round to build a unified left/green campaign for the legislatives, with himself aiming to become prime minister, of course.

And the traditional conservatives are tearing themselves apart over whether to ally with Macron’s party or to run separately (which got them nowhere in the presidential election).

All makes sense, and I suspect international electoral waves are an illusion influenced by small sample size.

Still, especially but not only if you/me are wrong about that, the Slovenia election results are more good news for liberalism.

This particular election had one race on the ballot and it was fixed between two candidates.

Most elections involves many races and many parties.

The U.S. in particular uses the presidential election day to hold thousands of local elections, with any given district possibly needing to parse dozens of races among dozens of parties, along with referenda and other miscellaneous decisions.

Apples and bunches of grapes.