The Order of the Phoenix was growing thin, but would it grow thinner? As the few remaining wizards gathered together again, they could immediately tell they had lost yet another one of their Order.
They had to search a bit, but they did eventually find the body of Shadowfacts. He was in the secret passageway that ran between the Hog’s Head and Hogwarts. He looked as if he died very quickly.
**
ShadowFacts, who was Aberforth Dumbledore is dead. He was a member of the Order of the Phoenix and had no additional powers beyond voting for the daily lynch.**
“So, we few who remain must work together to save the world,” sighed one wizard.
The rest sadly nodded in agreement.
It is now Day 6. Day 6 will run until Thursday at Noon Eastern.
Question one: Inner Stickler, what’s up with saying “oh, that’s right, I was playing Mafia?” and then disappearing until a meaningless vote with 18 minutes left? And if you’re going to make that vote, why do it because of apparently a slight disagreement over a philosophy expressed by many people who voted for Zeriel?
Question two: I considered saying this yesterday but didn’t want to do it without a full day to figure things out: what’s up with the golden snitch? If it’s going to have any benefit to us at this point, I assume that it’s going to be because we’ve talked about it. So what happened to it? Obviously I had it at one point. Where’s it got to now, and what has it done in the meantime? If there exists a way to use it to confirm anybody or catch anybody out in a lie I think now’s the time. And if there doesn’t at least my curiosity will be satisfied. Who’s got it? Has it been moving every night?
I feel like it was just a just as good or better reason for a vote than all the people who voted for Zeriel because he had one line votes or because their gut said to. That’s weak stuff in my opinion, especially on Day 5. As for my vote, I felt I was stuck in a bad place. (A place I did have a large part in making because of my procrastination but a bad place nonetheless.) I wasn’t going to vote for Hardly and risk a lynchless day, but I didn’t want to vote for Zeriel just because he was the vote leader and I didn’t think he was scum anyway. I am also getting tired of people saying how confident they are about their votes on now known townies. People were so sure Chronos and now Zeriel were scum. Could it be that your metric for judging scumminess is not calibrated correctly?
Dead:
**
Omi no Kami – Antonin Dolohov(Death Eater – no special powers)** Drain Bead – Harry Potter(Order of the Phoenix Occlumens and Chosen One) NormalPhase – Severus Snape(No Chosen Allignment) Red Skeezix – Lord Voldemort(Death Eater – Leader and Occlumens) LittlePlasticNinja – Alastar Moody (Order of the Phoenix – no special powers)
Rysto – Albus Dumbledore(Vote Charger/Protector – Had to choose one per Day/Night cycle)
Chronos – Horace Slughorn(Order of the Phoenix – no special powers)
LittlePlasticNinja – George Weasley(Order of the Phoenix – Loving Brother)
Meeko – Fleur Delacour(Order of the Phoenix – no special powers
Zeriel – Remus Lupin(Order of the Phoenix – no special powers)
ShadowFacts – Aberforth Dumbledore(Order of the Phoenix – no special powers)
Be as dismissive as you like about other people’s voting rationale and hit rate. The point is that however you felt about everything else, you voted for ShadowFacts. And ShadowFacts neither said his gut told him to vote nor voted because Zeriel had a one-line vote. He had a lengthy (epic, for this game) back and forth with Zeriel which was prompted by a review of Zeriel’s posts.
In fact, the only person who referenced a gut feeling about Zeriel was Chipacabra, who you didn’t vote for.
I voted for shadowfacts because he was the one talking about what qualifies as an easy vote. At that point my choice was to impede the zeriel lynch or have no effect on it all. So I chose yo use my vote to establish how i felt about Shadowfact’s rationale. I didn’t vote for Chipacabra, although I thought about it, because it doesn’t take a lot of thinking to see how lazy it is to vote by gut on Day 5. If I thought there was a possibility that Chipacabra was going to get lynched yesterday, then I would have voted for him over Shadowfacts. But I decided to register my disapproval with the reasoning that I thought was more seductive and therefore dangerous.
And clearly my scumdar is crap because I thought Chronos was scum and he was not. It was possibly the first time in my mafia career that I thought I had hit gold and freakin’ storyteller, a mason and topnotch mafia player agreed with my case. And then I was wrong. It was a long and hard way to fall and I’m feeling petrified at being wrong again. And I see the reason for the misstep as jumping on something like a voting record or phrasing and using it as the case.
Can you explain this please? We’re right sat the death of the day, we have zeriel on one more vote than Meeko and you throw this curveball. You really should have been voting for one of the lynchees. This reeks of trying to avoid accountability and I am HIGHLY inclined to vote you for it.
We’re getting close to the wire here. 7 left; if there are 2 scum remaining then if we miss today, tomorrow is lylo, yeah?
Inner’s vote yesterday really bugs me, too. If you really thought that both zeriel and hardly were innocent, why didn’t you speak up earlier and defend them? Why throw in a last minute vote for a third party?
@ Story, I asked a single question: why didn’t you open it up for discussion? I felt that Town could have benefited from the discussion and voting. You responded with a detailed explanation of your reasons and I saw no need to comment further.
/Snipped, underlined
This doesn’t read right to me. You didn’t think Zeriel was scum so you didn’t vote for him. But at the same time you didn’t vote for Hardly because you didn’t want to risk saving Zeriel? Is that what you meant?
I’m not sure where you got this. All I meant was that I wasn’t going to do a WoW on myself and try and convince everyone I was town.
Here, I made a mistake. You are absolutely correct in that **Zeriel’**s actions make sense. I can only blame my sleep-deprived brain… excuses are, of course, useless.
That said, I still would have voted for Zeriel. You are absolutely correct that I didn’t want to vote for him based on his vote for me, nor did I see the wagon on **Zeriel **to be more than vaguely substantiated. But Storyteller, my vote had context; reread the part just before I voted for him:
I thought this was pretty clear but to elaborate: I wanted to vote for someone. After reading over the thread, I narrowed my choices to Zeriel, OAOW, and InnerStickler (for various reasons, all of which I described in that post, and all of whom were equally slightly suspicious). Given these three choices, the fact that many other people thought Zeriel was scum (even if I didn’t see it), the fact that I thought he’d done something scummy*, and the fact we don’t know what happens with a tie (and with OAOW voting for me & you/**IS **not yet voting I thought this a real possibility) it seems logical for me to vote for him.
*Again, even seeing that I was mistaken in this point, I had reason to vote **Zeriel** over **OAOW** and **IS**, all other things being equal.
With regards to the Chronos thing, I didn’t “mount a defense” for him because I didn’t have one – I simply didn’t think the case against him was that strong. I said I wanted to look at you if Chronos flipped Town because, as I said, “I think [Storyteller’s] analysis convinced/confirmed a bunch of votes towards [Chronos].” Makes perfect sense to me to look at the people who argue for a townie’s lynch.
But all this is moot (for me) since I consider you confirmed town. And certainly, I see where you are coming from… just trying to explain my thought process.
OK, I’m going to do this assuming I’m town, since, well, I am. When InnerStickler voted for ShadowFacts yesterDay the vote was 5/4 (Zeriel/me). (I’m totally ripping off Shadow’s post 284, here.)
If IS is scum he could
a) Vote for me.
Since **IS **is scum, he that knows both **me **and **Zeriel **are town. Voting for me to tie the game when he (presumably) doesn’t know what happens with a tie seems dumb. To quote the late ShadowFacts, “Not very plausible.”
b) Vote for Zeriel.
Since IS is scum, he knows that both me and Zeriel are town. Voting for Zeriel so that he is lynched would make sense. The downside is that his late vote looks like a cherry-on-top type of thing which I think he would try to avoid. Plausible
c) Vote for someone else
Given the three options, this makes the most sense, in my mind. I do kind of think it’s odd that a scum would put such a useless (towards lynching) vote on someone they turn around and kill.
d) Not vote
He already did this on Day 1. I don’t think a scum would do so again (especially in light of Zeriel’s recent posts about lurking).
If IS is town he could
a) Vote for me.
Dunno what IS thinks of me, but a townie wouldn’t put us in a tie not knowing what will happen. Not likely.
b) Vote for Zeriel
Since IS is town, we can take him at his word. He said today he didn’t think Zeriel was scum. Voting for Zeriel would be pointless since it’s clear he was going to be lynched unless IS votes for me (unlikely, per above). For a townie, it would be far better to
c) Vote for someone else
So that, on the off chance IS killed his suspicions are voiced. Or,
d) Not vote
If he genuinely doesn’t suspect anyone. Given Zeriel’s posts about lurking and the fact he was suspicious of Shadow, this is less likely.
Conclusion: IS’s vote is useless for determining his alignment. In both cases, the best move is to vote for neither me nor Zeriel.
Assuming I am town, is my logic faulty? All this also ignores the fact that IS waited so long to vote. On the one hand that seems kind of scummy, on the other, I find it hard to believe a scum would put themselves in such a position (and post as little as IS has, in previous days).
I had it last Night, and passed it. I was asked to submit an ordered list of recipients, which I did.
I have some thoughts regarding everything else, but I have limited free time and desperately need to check in on the Conspiracy game that i have been neglecting. More tomorrow (Monday).
No, I didn’t vote for Hardly because I didn’t want to prevent town from getting information. If I had made Zeriel survive Yesterday, who’s to say that we wouldn’t have done it all over again today?
So as it turns out, I do (again). I hadn’t yet received it when I asked the question, but I have now. Unless somebody else has some insight I’m going to assume that whatever it does isn’t something I can use to help us. I was thinking there might be some kind of take it into the bathtub and have it snitch on everybody mechanism, but there’s no indication that that’s true.