How long left for VHS videocassettes?

With CD replacing audio tape and DVD-Video replacing VHS, any guesses as to how much life VHS has in it?
Realistically, how many more years can we expect VHS cassettes
(pre-recorded and blank) to be produced? Will VHS completely disappear or will something similar to audio cassettes happen, where both are produced?
Are there any advantages of VHS over DVD which might mean it does not become obselete?

Your thoughts please.

In China, VHS is a dead media platform. CD’s and DVD’s are the only platforms you can buy. It’s a problem for me because I’ve got the old wheezing VCD player for the English language kiddie tapes for the bambina…

I loathe VHS. They are big, bulky, shithouse quality, and you need a VCR to play them. Here, I only ever hire (or buy) DVD or VCD.

I don’t see DVD replacing VHS so much as VCD replacing it. As far as I can tell, it’s still going to be expensive and tricky for the home user to produce universally-readable DVDs for some while now - there seem to be too many different standards. It will come, in a year or so.

VCDs or even general data CDs can carry quite lengthy and hi-quality video files, thanks to today’s codecs, and they can be read cross-platform and cross-technology (PC/laptop/TV-player) with ease.

DVDs are of course the future, but not until recordable DVD is as widespread as standardised as burnable CDs are now.

I like VHS. Unlike dvds, you can record to VHS again & again. Unless you want a pricey dvd recorder & dvdrws.

DVDs aren’t compatible with hdtv format it seems. Far as I know there are no hdtv dvd recorders. There are however, hdtv compatible video recorders (About $1000 & $9 per cassette).

So, Im sure vhs is going to be around a long time. Maybe not so much for renting videos, but for the home use.

Also with a dvd, one big scratch & you’re dvd is toast. Not so with vhs.

DVD will replace VHS when recorders drop under $100 and you can get a 10 pack of DVDR’s for under $10. The other thing that needs to happen is for the manufacturers to standarize formats. Get rid of this DVD-R/RW and DVD+R/RW crap. Give us one format that will play on any DVD player sold at Walmart. As far as it going away completely, look at it this way. Vinyl LP’s haven’t gone away yet, have they? You can still walk inyto Best Buy and buy a turntable. No reason to think VHS will ever just drop off the face of the planet either.
Istara, VCD will never be the medium of choice in the US. It’s just too much of a pain in the butt to deal with. There are stand alone VCD recorders, but from what I understand, they are of an inferior quality. That leaves transferring the video to your hard drive, encoding it to proper format and burning it. Way too much effort required for the average person. Plus the fact that they are really only associated with pirated movies downloaded off of the internet. There are no legitimate VCD releases in the US.

For playback only, VHS will slowly fade over the next decade.

But people really really like using their VCRs to record shows and watch them later. And most of them are not willing to pay a monthly fee just to use new technology to do it. (hello, TIVO). And nobody wants a massive collection of self-burned DVDs of last night’s show complete with ads…

As for HDTV-- its supposed start date keeps getting pushed back-- and pushed back again.

The average home viewer doesn’t care about quality once it gets past a certain point-- which producers repeatedly fail to recognize.

I’m with ya all the way, excpet for this bit. There are in fact, a very few legit VCD rleases in the US. However, most of them are several years old and on the low end in terms of title recognition. I recall seeing them for sale at Computer City a few years back before it was bought out by CompUSA.

sigh my typing is for crap today. please excuse…

VHS will still probably be around a few more years, although it is making a quick exit. Which sucks, 'cos I got a lot of old shows on VHS that aren’t available on DVD. Not to mention my porn collection.

VHS will be around until the hand held portable video cameras are made DVD compatible. I am envisioning something with a hard drive on it comparable to my mp3 jukebox that can hold maybe 20+ gigs of information on it (or several hours worth of video) and have it easily transferred onto another digital media (such as DVD) quickly and cheaply. I don’t see that happening for at least another 5 years, if not 10.

It begins…

You can still get new blank Beta tapes. (Yes, I’m still using Beta.) Given that VHS had a much bigger peak, you should still be able to buy blank tapes for at least 15 years. Cheap pre-recorded VHS videos will probably go away fairly quickly, ~5-7 years.

Note that the US FCC mandate for complete conversion to broadcast HDTV (likely to be pushed back a couple years) will obsolete a lot of equipment faster than anything.

VHS will be around until cable boxes/TV’s have built in Tivo-like devices.

8mm and MiniDV camcorders have shown how little people care that their home movies are compatible. That really only leaves taping shows for VHS, and if people can get that for $5 extra a month on their cable bill, I think they’ll do it, which then makes VHS obsolete.

Sunspace, I meant to add that they have to be as cheap, if not cheaper, as well. However, that is an interesting link. I wasn’t able to find pricing info there. I also suspect that recording directly onto DVD may have some extra problems, especially if there is any movement involved. I can see the disk skipping around a lot (which is the reason I mentioned something like hard drive recording then to DVD).