The reason it’s clearly victim blaming is because the moment you say “If she’d worn something more modest, it may not have happened” you’ve apportioned partial responsibility for the incident on the victim. This is not a tricky concept. If you want a fucking appalling example of how that logic blames the victim, consider the 2006 case where a rapist in Manitoba was given no jail time after the judge commented she was wearing “tube tops with no bra, high heels and plenty of makeup”, that by doing this she had indicated she “wanted to party”, leading him to conclude “This is a case of misunderstood signals and inconsiderate behavior.”
But you argue it’s not victim blaming? Please. It’s slut shaming, and it’s used by bigots to support their stance. When Missouri say a rise in reports of increasing sexual harassment in the workplace, one of the first responses was a plan to enforce more modest dress codes*.
Of course bigots these days are media savvy enough that they can’t just come out and say “Bitches were asking for it, what’s a red blooded man gonna do”, so we see shit awful Appeal to Common Sense fallacies. An example of this (I’m not calling you a bigot, btw) is the whole “Well you lock your doors/use a seat belt”. It’s the work of seconds to find reams of research showing that wearing a seat belt reduces the risk of injury. It’s similarly easy to find piles of evidence showing many acts of theft are opportunistic.
So, now all you have to do is find similarly compelling evidence showing that incidents of sexual assault have a correlation to choice of dress. And yes, the onus is on you to prove your case, rather than a piss poor attempt to shift the burden of evidence to me, and worse than that asking me to prove a negative. Fuck me, what do they teach in schools these days? You’re the one claiming there’s a link between clothing and incidents of sexual assault, you put forward the stats. And while you’re at it, you might want to find some evidence showing that overall levels of sexual assault go down with modest dress codes, because otherwise what you’re suggesting is that women engage in an arms race of increasing modesty, just to make sure they’re the least likely to be assaulted.
Finally, I’d like you to consider just what such diversionary arguments actually result in. It results in not sorting the actual problem, because you’re directing attention away from the actual cause. Have a look at the huge surge in groping on Japanese trains, mostly on women who are wearing full office attire. What’s your suggestion for dress code there? Or should women instead give up travelling in crowded public transport.
Or maybe, just maybe, we should stop conversations about what women are wearing, and look at just how men become sexual predators? Just a thought, but maybe that’ll actually improve things.