I’ve had an idea for an extended thought experiment, the genesis of which might have something to do with watching “The Amazing Race 5”. Though it involves a lot of speculation, some of the questions generated will be factual, so I think I can start it in GQ. Here goes:
If all other human beings in the world were killed this instant, (say a powerful, malevolent alien does this as a challenge to you) would you be able to get from point A to within X meters of B in time T? (Hopefully the reward for doing so includes the restoration of the world to its state just before the PMA killed everyone). For what values of A, X, B, T is the task feasible?
I don’t think it makes that much difference if all others vanish, or die. The latter condition seems a bit harder to me, if only from a psycholgical aspect.
How about from A=Los Angeles to B=New York in T= one week? (The distance X is not needed for the first examples I discuss). I think this is feasible. You need a car, gas, roads, food and water. Getting a car will be easy. The roads will be littered with crashed vehicles, but you will have the only moving one. Thus in daylight, driving east on I-10, you may see a car in the road, but you know it won’t be moving, so you can pass it easily enough if there is room. How long will the electricity in L.A. and the rest of the country be on? I know there are humans who monitor the power grid. There will be some plane crashes and other accidents caused when all other humans die at the start of the problem. Will these cause instabilites in the power grid? It seems possible to me that credit-card transactions might go through for a few hours or days. You could then fill up at a credit-card gas pump just as you do now. Even without electricity, I think you would learn in a day or two what kind of wrench you need to open up a storage tank at a gas station. You could then get gas with a bucket and a rope, no? If power is gone, fresh food will be gone after a few weeks, but I think you might be able to eat filet mignon this whole trip. Couldn’t stuff last that long in a walk-in freezer?
Could LA-NY be done in 3 days? It is about 5000 km, so you would have to average 70 km/hr.
Manhattan - Newark in an hour? I can’t drive a motorcycle. I think that would be better than a car, because the bridges and tunnels will be clogged with stalled cars. A bicycle would take too long.
If my ideas about food and gasoline are correct, could you do LA - Mexico City in a month?
I guess for some values of T the season will make a difference. I don’t think LA - Montreal in a month starting on December 1 would be possible. Perhaps if you could find and learn to drive a snow plow?
LA to Buenos Aires?in less than a year? I know the Trans-American highway goes down the west of South America. Is there a highway across the Andes?
Ok, how about somewhere not connected by land to North America, say, LA to Hawaii in a year? The question is by plane or by ship? If ship, what kind, sailboat or power? A sailboat takes less fuel. It is lower-tech , so it might be easier to learn. I have done some sailing (but not blue-water sailing) and driven a water-skiing boat, and I can’t decide right now which I would use. With power boats you have a lot of choice in size. What’s the largest boat that one person can operate? Could a Naval engineer (trained to do so) operate the USS Ronald Reagan by herself? An Arleigh Burke class destroyer? It usually has 20 officers 300 enlisted men.
Assuming you can find an ocean-worthy ship, are there any spots on the surface of the earth you could not get to? I think the answer is yes.
A= Kathmandu, T=infinite, B=The top of Mt. Everest, X=0 , seems impossible to me. No training, no porters. You’d have to find your own equipment.
Even with X set high enough to avoid mountain climbing, I think you still have to learn how to fly to get to the South Pole, or anywhere in Antarctica. I know Scott and Amundsen did it with only dog sleds, but remember there are no other people to help.
(Mentioning dogs makes me think of the other animals in the world. They will all survive the initial kill-off of humans. For long trips, will large predatory animals be a problem? )
Can a person teach themself to fly the kind of aircraft necessary to cross thousands of miles of ocean or ice cap? I think a non-pilot could learn to fly a Cessna 150. You would have access to plenty of written materials. Unlike the pioneers of aviation, you would have confidence that the plane was capable of stable flight. The problem would be progressing to more complicated planes. Plenty of people died learning to fly more advanced planes, and there are no instructors are around.
What would be the optimal course of self-(flight)-instruction if you were going to attempt to fly from LA to Sydney, Australia? I would guess a 747 is too complicated. The range of an older technology plane such as a Catalina PBY (flying boat) is only 2500 mi. Maybe you could tow it behind your ship, or hoist it aboard if you are taking the Ronald Reagan. To fly to the South Pole, you might need something like a C-130.
The South Pole is my pick for the hardest spot on the surface of the earth to get to. Would something like Kinshasa-Urumuchi be harder than L.A. - South Pole?
Some other places where humans have been that are not on the surface of the earth, such as the Moon, or the Mariana Trench seem impossible. Every spot more than 100m. deep in the ocean is impossible unless a single person can learn to operate a submarine (the complement of an SSN is around 150).
Comments?