I have two factual questions and several speculative ones. I don’t know in which formum this thread should be, and have chosen GD because I really do want answers, and political threads don’t do well in IMO or MPIMS.
So, if Kerry were hit tonight (Tues, Jul 27) and killed by a flaming toilet seat from the sky (or died for any other reason for that matter), who would be the Democratic nominee. Does the VP candidate presumptive get it, or does it open to the floor? (Factual question # 1). If Kerry died next week, after he and Edwards were nominated, would it then default automatically to the VP candidate? (Factual question # 2).
Speculation: If it did get thrown to the floor, whom would the convention nominate? Who would be the VP nominee? Would the Dems have a better or worse chance of winning the election? Would the Pubs think this was a good thing or a bad (Kerry out, <Your candidate here> in, not the Dems winning!)?
I think there’d be a floor fight between the Dean supporters and those who believe that, rightly or wrongly, Dean is perceived as too radical. I think Edwards would take the nomination, possibly at the cost of giving Dean the VP slot. If Edwards were not locked into Dean as VP, I think he would try to get Bill Clinton as his running mate - unlike Kerry, I don’t think he would fear being overshadowed, as he is quite charismatic himself. I think the Pubs would jump for joy, and then lose big time in November.
If Dean did get the nomination, I think he’d try to get a southern moderate Dem to run with him (possibly Edwards?), but I don’t know if he could overcome the perception that the Republicans so effectively created of his being a wild and irresponsible bleeding heart liberal.
I apologize to the Moderators if this is in the wrong forum; as I said, I didn’t know where to put it.