Hillary’s plan?
She is going to simply try to win PA and KY and whatever else she can and try to convince the supers to go for her. The thing about this though is that it’s going to be really difficult. Hillary will have to win over a much larger percentage of the SDs if she continues as predicted.
Obama won’t win PA. I’d imagine that this plays out like the rest of Obama’s spreadsheet predicted. How the hell did they come up with those numbers anyway?
So then we have to wait until the convention or maybe before to realize that Obama will be the nominee. Hillary, who should have known when to stop long ago, will probably lose without grace.
Now, who knows, but Obama could possible put some pressure on her soon. Obama’s quite period here is being seen by many at DailyKos as being part of an attempt to air his possibly dirty laundry. He has disclosed his earmarks, did that long Rezko interview, plans on releasing his taxes, etc. This could mean that he plans to go on attack against HRC in a big way regarding her non-disclosing self. Really, what does she have to hide?
The superdelegates? It’s really hard to say what they are up to. BO vs. HRC really is a fight for the soul of the democratic party. You’ve got your corporatist DLC side and your Obama/Dean side too. The DLC side was obviously in power the last time the Clintons ran things. So everyone who was in that group endorsed Hillary early on. Remember how her superdelegate lead was so high in the beginning? I think she’s already gotten all of the low-hanging fruit, really. The people who endorse now all seem to be going in Obama’s direction. I think the others are simply afraid because they know that Hillary is a vindictive bitch and will come down on them hard if she wins somehow. A lot probably wish they didn’t have to decide it…
Anyway, the SDs probably will go for Obama. I mean how can you legitimately overturn the popular vote? I know I sure as hell wouldn’t do that. And really, I think the majority of people would agree that it has to happen in the most democratic fashion regardless of who wins. Just because the system is set up to be less than democratic, doesn’t mean that supporting such a means to the nomination is a good idea. Hillary seems to think that as long as superdelegates are required of both of them that it doesn’t matter who has more pledged delegates.
Of course Obama will end up with something between 500k to 1 million more votes than Hillary.
Of course it depends on how she runs her campaign in the next 40 days. Obama and Hillary are said to have made a truce the other day so I’m expecting ShRillary to come out any time soon (Shame on you, Barack Obama!). If this continues, you’ll probably see Superdelegates working their way towards BO behind the scenes.
I think I speak for most people when I say that I feel that I don’t mind if Hillary chases her pipe dream and ruins her own reputation, but I do mind if she ruins Barack’s chances. I don’t give a shit if she stays in and somehow wins democratically, but this end-around approach won’t fly.